Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 79%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

$201.39

Smart Money Signal

23 of 30 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$4.0K

Total Shares3,979

Combined PnL+$302.12

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares980

Combined PnL-$100.73

Up — 77%Down — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 83.7¢	$942.13	$941.89	-$0.24	66% 99109-51360 (150469)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 58¢	$473.67	$525.99	+$52.32	54% 15489-12934 (28423)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 80¢	$543.43	$455.52	-$87.91	64% 58184-32863 (91047)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 51.2¢	$201.94	$367	+$165.06	57% 7784-5961 (13745)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 64.2¢	$189.51	$266.58	+$77.07	57% 12461-9593 (22054)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 37.8¢	$172.65	$256.37	+$83.72	58% 37772-27004 (64776)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 62.3¢	$239.57	$220.18	-$19.39	57% 11965-8970 (20935)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 87¢	$217.08	$208.99	-$8.09	54% 7970-6670 (14640)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 97.4¢	$166.89	$106.27	-$23.38	65% 124925-66828 (191753)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$96.27	$127.82	+$31.56	59% 6714-4692 (11406)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$63.66	$127.82	+$64.17
└ Down leg	Downavg 47.3¢	$32.61	—	-$32.61
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 54.3¢	$93.7	$100	+$6.3	56% 13744-10928 (24672)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 93.2¢	$113.25	$69.88	-$43.37	60% 12176-8043 (20219)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 46.8¢	$63.61	$70.52	+$6.91	49% 5188-5334 (10522)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 79.7¢	$79.08	$57.06	+$17.11	61% 94696-59644 (154340)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 68.2¢	$36.37	$53.31	+$16.94	52% 90119-84595 (174714)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 71¢	$36.83	$50	+$13.17	55% 23835-19256 (43091)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 84.9¢	$40.49	$47.69	+$7.2	64% 22856-12613 (35469)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 61¢	$28.98	$44	+$15.02	55% 7387-6056 (13443)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 99¢	$59.56	$39.86	-$19.7	58% 60444-44134 (104578)
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5<$100	Upavg 48.4¢	$27.12	$56	+$28.88	—
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 61.5¢	$37.9	—	-$37.9	56% 57941-44749 (102690)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Downavg 2.5¢	$13.76	—	-$13.76	55% 8602-7038 (15640)
NE never-stop-clickingCTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$23.43	—	-$23.43	32% 92-196 (288)
wowitsamazing<$100	Upavg 54.8¢	$13.13	$23.97	+$10.83	58% 12615-9290 (21905)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 3.6¢	$10.79	—	-$10.79	48% 23240-25517 (48757)

Bonereaper

Invested

$942.13

Value

$941.89

PnL

-$0.24

Record

66%

99109-51360 (150469)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$473.67

Value

$525.99

PnL

+$52.32

Record

54%

15489-12934 (28423)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$543.43

Value

$455.52

PnL

-$87.91

Record

64%

58184-32863 (91047)

wzbbb

Invested

$201.94

Value

$367

PnL

+$165.06

Record

57%

7784-5961 (13745)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$189.51

Value

$266.58

PnL

+$77.07

Record

57%

12461-9593 (22054)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$172.65

Value

$256.37

PnL

+$83.72

Record

58%

37772-27004 (64776)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$239.57

Value

$220.18

PnL

-$19.39

Record

57%

11965-8970 (20935)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$217.08

Value

$208.99

PnL

-$8.09

Record

54%

7970-6670 (14640)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$166.89

Value

$106.27

PnL

-$23.38

Record

65%

124925-66828 (191753)

13897651ARB<$100

Invested

$96.27

Value

$127.82

PnL

+$31.56

Record

59%

6714-4692 (11406)

Both legs:

Up$63.6649.8¢+$64.17

Down$32.6147.3¢-$32.61

GoodFallen

Invested

$93.7

Value

$100

PnL

+$6.3

Record

56%

13744-10928 (24672)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$113.25

Value

$69.88

PnL

-$43.37

Record

60%

12176-8043 (20219)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$63.61

Value

$70.52

PnL

+$6.91

Record

49%

5188-5334 (10522)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$79.08

Value

$57.06

PnL

+$17.11

Record

61%

94696-59644 (154340)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$36.37

Value

$53.31

PnL

+$16.94

Record

52%

90119-84595 (174714)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$36.83

Value

$50

PnL

+$13.17

Record

55%

23835-19256 (43091)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$40.49

Value

$47.69

PnL

+$7.2

Record

64%

22856-12613 (35469)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$28.98

Value

$44

PnL

+$15.02

Record

55%

7387-6056 (13443)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$59.56

Value

$39.86

PnL

-$19.7

Record

58%

60444-44134 (104578)

0x0d2d...7ff5<$100

Invested

$27.12

Value

$56

PnL

+$28.88

Record

—

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$37.9

Value

—

PnL

-$37.9

Record

56%

57941-44749 (102690)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$13.76

Value

—

PnL

-$13.76

Record

55%

8602-7038 (15640)

never-stop-clickingCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$23.43

Value

—

PnL

-$23.43

Record

32%

92-196 (288)

wowitsamazing<$100

Invested

$13.13

Value

$23.97

PnL

+$10.83

Record

58%

12615-9290 (21905)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$10.79

Value

—

PnL

-$10.79

Record

48%

23240-25517 (48757)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 30 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xf6197edd...b62e07

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793331300

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $941.89

-$0.24

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $525.99

+$52.32

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $455.52

-$87.91

wzbbb

Up — $367

+$165.06

FairValueMachine

Up — $266.58

+$77.07

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $256.37

+$83.72

EZTRADENL2

Up — $220.18

-$19.39

sfkjbsr457

Up — $208.99

-$8.09

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $106.27

13897651

Arbitrage — excluded