Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 68%
$3.4K
-$102.32
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 90.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | -$44.36 | 66% 99090-51342 (150432) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 63.4¢ | $384.26 | $408.48 | +$35.99 | 64% 58160-32830 (90990) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 68.3¢ | $283.95 | $314.68 | +$30.74 | 49% 5176-5326 (10502) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 96¢ | $237.61 | $247.51 | +$9.9 | 77% 9369-2808 (12177) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 67.7¢ | $197.95 | $212.04 | +$14.1 | 55% 7812-6453 (14265) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $186.12 | $188 | +$1.88 | 93% 23201-1758 (24959) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 69.6¢ | $137.07 | $166.94 | +$32.17 | 55% 7377-6046 (13423) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 38.8¢ | $200 | — | -$200 | 37% 149-258 (407) |
AN antsaslyku | Upavg 62.6¢ | $95.33 | $103.1 | +$7.77 | 66% 112022-58386 (170408) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 73.6¢ | $79 | $76.12 | -$2.88 | 60% 12163-8036 (20199) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $82.59 | $133.67 | +$51.08 | 59% 6704-4682 (11386) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Upavg 65.1¢ | $49.48 | $76.02 | +$26.54 | 51% 17046-16595 (33641) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 57.8¢ | $69.4 | $120 | +$50.6 | 57% 11959-8957 (20916) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.5¢ | $76.09 | — | -$76.09 | 55% 8592-7028 (15620) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 61.5¢ | $36.89 | $60 | +$23.11 | 64% 22780-12562 (35342) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $34.11 | $33.99 | -$0.12 | 57% 7773-5955 (13728) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.3¢ | $29.28 | — | -$29.28 | 55% 23820-19252 (43072) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $14.85 | — | -$14.85 | 34% 18735-35730 (54465) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.2¢ | $12.33 | — | -$12.33 | 52% 90065-84555 (174620) |
NO Nobey1<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $7 | $9.99 | +$3 | 40% 461-689 (1150) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.8¢ | $3.33 | — | -$3.33 | 58% 60418-44109 (104527) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.9¢ | $6.45 | — | -$5.95 | 61% 94646-59611 (154257) |
Invested
$1,319.72
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$44.36
Record
66%
99090-51342 (150432)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$384.26
Value
$408.48
PnL
+$35.99
Record
64%
58160-32830 (90990)
Invested
$283.95
Value
$314.68
PnL
+$30.74
Record
49%
5176-5326 (10502)
NIULAI4Invested
$237.61
Value
$247.51
PnL
+$9.9
Record
77%
9369-2808 (12177)
Invested
$197.95
Value
$212.04
PnL
+$14.1
Record
55%
7812-6453 (14265)
Invested
$186.12
Value
$188
PnL
+$1.88
Record
93%
23201-1758 (24959)
Invested
$137.07
Value
$166.94
PnL
+$32.17
Record
55%
7377-6046 (13423)
Invested
$200
Value
—
PnL
-$200
Record
37%
149-258 (407)
Invested
$95.33
Value
$103.1
PnL
+$7.77
Record
66%
112022-58386 (170408)
Invested
$79
Value
$76.12
PnL
-$2.88
Record
60%
12163-8036 (20199)
Invested
$82.59
Value
$133.67
PnL
+$51.08
Record
59%
6704-4682 (11386)
Invested
$49.48
Value
$76.02
PnL
+$26.54
Record
51%
17046-16595 (33641)
Invested
$69.4
Value
$120
PnL
+$50.6
Record
57%
11959-8957 (20916)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$76.09
Value
—
PnL
-$76.09
Record
55%
8592-7028 (15620)
Invested
$36.89
Value
$60
PnL
+$23.11
Record
64%
22780-12562 (35342)
Invested
$34.11
Value
$33.99
PnL
-$0.12
Record
57%
7773-5955 (13728)
Invested
$29.28
Value
—
PnL
-$29.28
Record
55%
23820-19252 (43072)
Invested
$14.85
Value
—
PnL
-$14.85
Record
34%
18735-35730 (54465)
Invested
$12.33
Value
—
PnL
-$12.33
Record
52%
90065-84555 (174620)
Invested
$7
Value
$9.99
PnL
+$3
Record
40%
461-689 (1150)
Invested
$3.33
Value
—
PnL
-$3.33
Record
58%
60418-44109 (104527)
Invested
$6.45
Value
—
PnL
-$5.95
Record
61%
94646-59611 (154257)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $1.3K
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $408.48
ply-pm0
Up — $314.68
NIULAI4
Up — $247.51
sfkjbsr457
Up — $212.04
hoodquant
Up — $188
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $166.94
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
antsaslyku
Up — $103.1
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $76.12