Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Up 63%
2 arb excluded
$13.0K
-$949.59
Smart Money Signal
19 of 31 top traders (61%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR arcsine-barrister | Up | $7.9K | $7.9K | +$47.23 | 56% 3641-2826 (6467) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$14.68 | 93% 23201-1758 (24959) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 50.2¢ | $642.9 | $770.94 | +$128.03 | 66% 99090-51342 (150432) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 55.1¢ | $605.47 | — | -$605.47 | 64% 58160-32830 (90990) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $518.64 | $524.54 | +$5.9 | 49% 5176-5326 (10502) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 48.4¢ | $400 | — | -$400 | 37% 149-258 (407) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 74.8¢ | $364.82 | $405.85 | +$41.03 | 51% 17046-16595 (33641) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 73.1¢ | $286.43 | $328.08 | +$41.65 | 57% 11959-8957 (20916) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 50.5¢ | $292 | — | -$292 | 58% 37751-26971 (64722) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 61.4¢ | $162.81 | $196 | +$33.2 | 55% 7812-6453 (14265) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 53¢ | $132.24 | $200.34 | +$68.1 | 56% 57906-44729 (102635) |
 ohioism | Upavg 76¢ | $168.35 | $150.07 | -$18.28 | 64% 39977-22851 (62828) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 75¢ | $122.17 | $136.31 | +$14.14 | 58% 60418-44109 (104527) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 54.7¢ | $104.83 | $141 | +$36.17 | 57% 7773-5955 (13728) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 65.2¢ | $135.83 | $129.49 | -$6.34 | 55% 23820-19252 (43072) |
AN antsaslykuARB<$100 | Downavg 29.6¢ | $110.71 | $90.04 | -$20.67 | 66% 112022-58386 (170408) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.5¢ | $43.66 | $90.04 | +$46.38 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29.6¢ | $67.05 | — | -$67.05 | |
AS asidjasiodja | Upavg 73¢ | $120.52 | $107.92 | +$13.32 | 61% 94646-59611 (154257) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 78.2¢ | $88.37 | $90.3 | +$1.93 | 52% 90065-84555 (174620) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100 | Upavg 51.9¢ | $76.21 | $81.76 | +$5.55 | 55% 7377-6046 (13423) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.9¢ | $42.42 | $81.76 | +$39.34 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.4¢ | $33.79 | — | -$33.79 | |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 53.1¢ | $68.73 | $100.82 | +$32.09 | 60% 12163-8036 (20199) |
AA aaa221 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $101.62 | $60 | +$4.29 | 64% 22780-12562 (35342) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $38.7 | $94.39 | +$55.69 | 51% 19993-19160 (39153) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.1¢ | $30.1 | — | -$30.1 | 59% 6704-4682 (11386) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.7¢ | $69.4 | — | -$69.4 | 74% 102400-36373 (138773) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $19.04 | — | -$19.04 | 34% 18735-35730 (54465) |
Invested
$7,929.74
Value
$7.9K
PnL
+$47.23
Record
56%
3641-2826 (6467)
Invested
$1,453.58
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$14.68
Record
93%
23201-1758 (24959)
Invested
$642.9
Value
$770.94
PnL
+$128.03
Record
66%
99090-51342 (150432)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$605.47
Value
—
PnL
-$605.47
Record
64%
58160-32830 (90990)
Invested
$518.64
Value
$524.54
PnL
+$5.9
Record
49%
5176-5326 (10502)
Invested
$400
Value
—
PnL
-$400
Record
37%
149-258 (407)
Invested
$364.82
Value
$405.85
PnL
+$41.03
Record
51%
17046-16595 (33641)
Invested
$286.43
Value
$328.08
PnL
+$41.65
Record
57%
11959-8957 (20916)
Invested
$292
Value
—
PnL
-$292
Record
58%
37751-26971 (64722)
Invested
$162.81
Value
$196
PnL
+$33.2
Record
55%
7812-6453 (14265)
Invested
$132.24
Value
$200.34
PnL
+$68.1
Record
56%
57906-44729 (102635)
ohioismInvested
$168.35
Value
$150.07
PnL
-$18.28
Record
64%
39977-22851 (62828)
Invested
$122.17
Value
$136.31
PnL
+$14.14
Record
58%
60418-44109 (104527)
Invested
$104.83
Value
$141
PnL
+$36.17
Record
57%
7773-5955 (13728)
Invested
$135.83
Value
$129.49
PnL
-$6.34
Record
55%
23820-19252 (43072)
Invested
$110.71
Value
$90.04
PnL
-$20.67
Record
66%
112022-58386 (170408)
Both legs:
Invested
$120.52
Value
$107.92
PnL
+$13.32
Record
61%
94646-59611 (154257)
Invested
$88.37
Value
$90.3
PnL
+$1.93
Record
52%
90065-84555 (174620)
Invested
$76.21
Value
$81.76
PnL
+$5.55
Record
55%
7377-6046 (13423)
Both legs:
Invested
$68.73
Value
$100.82
PnL
+$32.09
Record
60%
12163-8036 (20199)
Invested
$101.62
Value
$60
PnL
+$4.29
Record
64%
22780-12562 (35342)
Invested
$38.7
Value
$94.39
PnL
+$55.69
Record
51%
19993-19160 (39153)
Invested
$30.1
Value
—
PnL
-$30.1
Record
59%
6704-4682 (11386)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$69.4
Value
—
PnL
-$69.4
Record
74%
102400-36373 (138773)
Invested
$19.04
Value
—
PnL
-$19.04
Record
34%
18735-35730 (54465)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
Up — $7.9K
hoodquant
Up — $1.5K
Bonereaper
Up — $770.94
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm0
Up — $524.54
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
gansinimen
Up — $405.85
EZTRADENL2
Up — $328.08
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
sfkjbsr457
Up — $196