Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 72%
$4.3K
$869.1
Smart Money Signal
18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 47¢ | $904.97 | $1.7K | +$838.25 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $502.17 | $502.67 | +$0.5 | 59% 62163-43312 (105475) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 77.4¢ | $409.55 | $400.14 | -$9.4 | 54% 15461-12923 (28384) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 85.4¢ | $380.76 | $382.42 | +$1.66 | 66% 99072-51320 (150392) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 75.2¢ | $342.91 | $298.83 | -$44.08 | 64% 58129-32808 (90937) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 77.4¢ | $140.49 | $139.51 | -$0.98 | 56% 13719-10915 (24634) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 77.4¢ | $124.39 | $153.87 | +$29.47 | 60% 12150-8027 (20177) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 90¢ | $107.92 | $118.8 | +$10.88 | 51% 17039-16590 (33629) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $75.19 | $113.39 | +$38.2 | 59% 6693-4671 (11364) |
PB PBot-6 | Downavg 44¢ | $77.64 | $149.2 | +$71.56 | 58% 50939-37072 (88011) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 71.4¢ | $56.65 | $77.65 | +$21 | 49% 5160-5320 (10480) |
SF sfkjbsr457<$100 | Downavg 84.6¢ | $71.96 | $54.25 | -$17.71 | 55% 7798-6445 (14243) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92.6¢ | $45.69 | $43.16 | -$2.52 | 52% 90032-84524 (174556) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $29.2 | $20 | -$9.2 | 57% 11944-8950 (20894) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $24 | — | -$24 | 58% 12586-9256 (21842) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $16.2 | — | -$16.2 | 51% 19978-19143 (39121) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 79.7¢ | $18.76 | $21.65 | +$3.1 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.2¢ | $10.38 | — | -$10.38 | 55% 7362-6039 (13401) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $17.32 | $25.47 | +$8.15 | 56% 12434-9581 (22015) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.1¢ | $6.84 | — | -$6.84 | 12% 18265-132965 (151230) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $11.39 | — | -$11.39 | 57% 7763-5950 (13713) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.5 | $5 | +$0.5 | 64% 39962-22836 (62798) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $4.93 | $6.66 | +$1.73 | 66% 112010-58363 (170373) |
PA Parad0XCTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 56% 2179-1704 (3883) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 55% 8583-7015 (15598) |
Invested
$904.97
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$838.25
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
Invested
$502.17
Value
$502.67
PnL
+$0.5
Record
59%
62163-43312 (105475)
Invested
$409.55
Value
$400.14
PnL
-$9.4
Record
54%
15461-12923 (28384)
Invested
$380.76
Value
$382.42
PnL
+$1.66
Record
66%
99072-51320 (150392)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$342.91
Value
$298.83
PnL
-$44.08
Record
64%
58129-32808 (90937)
Invested
$140.49
Value
$139.51
PnL
-$0.98
Record
56%
13719-10915 (24634)
Invested
$124.39
Value
$153.87
PnL
+$29.47
Record
60%
12150-8027 (20177)
Invested
$107.92
Value
$118.8
PnL
+$10.88
Record
51%
17039-16590 (33629)
Invested
$75.19
Value
$113.39
PnL
+$38.2
Record
59%
6693-4671 (11364)
Invested
$77.64
Value
$149.2
PnL
+$71.56
Record
58%
50939-37072 (88011)
Invested
$56.65
Value
$77.65
PnL
+$21
Record
49%
5160-5320 (10480)
Invested
$71.96
Value
$54.25
PnL
-$17.71
Record
55%
7798-6445 (14243)
Invested
$45.69
Value
$43.16
PnL
-$2.52
Record
52%
90032-84524 (174556)
Invested
$29.2
Value
$20
PnL
-$9.2
Record
57%
11944-8950 (20894)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$24
Record
58%
12586-9256 (21842)
Invested
$16.2
Value
—
PnL
-$16.2
Record
51%
19978-19143 (39121)
Invested
$18.76
Value
$21.65
PnL
+$3.1
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
Invested
$10.38
Value
—
PnL
-$10.38
Record
55%
7362-6039 (13401)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$17.32
Value
$25.47
PnL
+$8.15
Record
56%
12434-9581 (22015)
Invested
$6.84
Value
—
PnL
-$6.84
Record
12%
18265-132965 (151230)
Invested
$11.39
Value
—
PnL
-$11.39
Record
57%
7763-5950 (13713)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.5
Record
64%
39962-22836 (62798)
Invested
$4.93
Value
$6.66
PnL
+$1.73
Record
66%
112010-58363 (170373)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
56%
2179-1704 (3883)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
55%
8583-7015 (15598)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $1.7K
0x50f7
Down — $502.67
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $400.14
Bonereaper
Down — $382.42
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $298.83
GoodFallen
Down — $139.51
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $153.87
gansinimen
Down — $118.8
13897651
Down — $113.39
PBot-6
Down — $149.2