Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 70%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.4K

Combined PnL

$154.38

Smart Money Signal

22 of 31 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$7.2K

Total Shares7,179

Combined PnL+$669.57

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,109

Combined PnL-$515.19

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 94.1¢	$3.2K	$3.3K	+$117.37	66% 99072-51320 (150392)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 60.6¢	$777.55	$878.79	+$101.24	54% 15461-12923 (28384)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.3¢	$785.17	$799	+$13.83	93% 23157-1756 (24913)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 61.4¢	$619.61	$521.88	-$67.75	64% 58129-32808 (90937)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 63.1¢	$457.16	$573.97	+$116.81	56% 13719-10915 (24634)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 48.6¢	$375.07	—	-$375.07	58% 37728-26945 (64673)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 75.9¢	$234.93	$259.65	+$24.72	60% 12150-8027 (20177)
SF sfkjbsr457	Upavg 81.3¢	$185.79	$200	+$14.21	55% 7798-6445 (14243)
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$156.8	$154.61	-$2.19	49% 5160-5320 (10480)
└ Up leg	Upavg 72.3¢	$111.74	$154.61	+$42.87
└ Down leg	Downavg 33.5¢	$45.06	—	-$45.06
ohioismARB<$100	Downavg 27.4¢	$117.39	$75.06	-$42.33	64% 39962-22836 (62798)
└ Down leg	Downavg 27.4¢	$68.6	—	-$68.6
└ Up leg	Upavg 65¢	$48.79	$75.06	+$26.27
FairValueMachine	Upavg 69¢	$133.44	$182.99	+$49.54	56% 12434-9581 (22015)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 53.4¢	$68.97	$129.06	+$60.09	57% 11944-8950 (20894)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 80¢	$63.21	$79	+$15.79	12% 18265-132965 (151230)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$48.52	—	-$48.52	58% 50939-37072 (88011)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$5.01	—	-$5.01	55% 8583-7015 (15598)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 89¢	$44.5	$50	+$5.5	55% 23790-19221 (43011)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 64.8¢	$38.9	$46.94	+$20.97	64% 22724-12523 (35247)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 36.5¢	$26.53	—	-$26.53	57% 7763-5950 (13713)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 64¢	$48.05	$75.08	+$27.03	56% 57878-44713 (102591)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 75.7¢	$31.65	$27.22	-$4.43	55% 7362-6039 (13401)
GA gansinimenCTR<$100	Downavg 30¢	$14.35	—	-$14.35	51% 17039-16590 (33629)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 46.5¢	$24	—	-$24	34% 18719-35716 (54435)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 12.5¢	$10.16	—	-$10.16	55% 44682-37145 (81827)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 32.2¢	$11.55	—	-$11.55	52% 90032-84524 (174556)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 72.9¢	$9.84	$13.5	+$3.66	66% 112010-58363 (170373)

Bonereaper

Invested

$3,190.8

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$117.37

Record

66%

99072-51320 (150392)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$777.55

Value

$878.79

PnL

+$101.24

Record

54%

15461-12923 (28384)

hoodquant

Invested

$785.17

Value

$799

PnL

+$13.83

Record

93%

23157-1756 (24913)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$619.61

Value

$521.88

PnL

-$67.75

Record

64%

58129-32808 (90937)

GoodFallen

Invested

$457.16

Value

$573.97

PnL

+$116.81

Record

56%

13719-10915 (24634)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$375.07

Value

—

PnL

-$375.07

Record

58%

37728-26945 (64673)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$234.93

Value

$259.65

PnL

+$24.72

Record

60%

12150-8027 (20177)

sfkjbsr457

Invested

$185.79

Value

$200

PnL

+$14.21

Record

55%

7798-6445 (14243)

ply-pm0ARB<$100

Invested

$156.8

Value

$154.61

PnL

-$2.19

Record

49%

5160-5320 (10480)

Both legs:

Up$111.7472.3¢+$42.87

Down$45.0633.5¢-$45.06

ohioismARB<$100

Down

Invested

$117.39

Value

$75.06

PnL

-$42.33

Record

64%

39962-22836 (62798)

Both legs:

Down$68.627.4¢-$68.6

Up$48.7965¢+$26.27

FairValueMachine

Invested

$133.44

Value

$182.99

PnL

+$49.54

Record

56%

12434-9581 (22015)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$68.97

Value

$129.06

PnL

+$60.09

Record

57%

11944-8950 (20894)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$63.21

Value

$79

PnL

+$15.79

Record

12%

18265-132965 (151230)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$48.52

Value

—

PnL

-$48.52

Record

58%

50939-37072 (88011)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$5.01

Value

—

PnL

-$5.01

Record

55%

8583-7015 (15598)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$44.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$5.5

Record

55%

23790-19221 (43011)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$38.9

Value

$46.94

PnL

+$20.97

Record

64%

22724-12523 (35247)

wzbbbCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$26.53

Value

—

PnL

-$26.53

Record

57%

7763-5950 (13713)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$48.05

Value

$75.08

PnL

+$27.03

Record

56%

57878-44713 (102591)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$31.65

Value

$27.22

PnL

-$4.43

Record

55%

7362-6039 (13401)

gansinimenCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$14.35

Value

—

PnL

-$14.35

Record

51%

17039-16590 (33629)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$24

Value

—

PnL

-$24

Record

34%

18719-35716 (54435)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$10.16

Value

—

PnL

-$10.16

Record

55%

44682-37145 (81827)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$11.55

Value

—

PnL

-$11.55

Record

52%

90032-84524 (174556)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$9.84

Value

$13.5

PnL

+$3.66

Record

66%

112010-58363 (170373)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 31 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xb81cebff...73d189

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793322600

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $3.3K

+$117.37

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $878.79

+$101.24

hoodquant

Up — $799

+$13.83

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $521.88

-$67.75

GoodFallen

Up — $573.97

+$116.81

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$375.07

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $259.65

+$24.72

sfkjbsr457

Up — $200

ply-pm0

Arbitrage — excluded

ohioism

Arbitrage — excluded