Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 62%
1 arb excluded
$4.3K
-$46.54
Smart Money Signal
17 of 29 top traders (59%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 96.4¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$18.53 | 66% 99072-51320 (150392) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $563.46 | $738.15 | +$174.7 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.6¢ | $358.41 | $738.15 | +$379.74 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.4¢ | $205.04 | — | -$205.04 | |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 81.4¢ | $245.22 | $265.54 | +$20.32 | 54% 15461-12923 (28384) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 76.4¢ | $231.41 | $218.11 | -$13.3 | 64% 58129-32808 (90937) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $133.65 | $135 | +$1.35 | 93% 23157-1756 (24913) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 97.3¢ | $113.8 | $108.24 | -$5.55 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 82.2¢ | $94.21 | $103.26 | +$9.05 | 56% 13719-10915 (24634) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 95¢ | $99.75 | $105 | +$5.25 | 12% 18265-132965 (151230) |
SF sfkjbsr457<$100 | Upavg 76.7¢ | $91.64 | $89.99 | -$1.65 | 55% 7798-6445 (14243) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 56¢ | $78.39 | $139.99 | +$61.59 | 57% 11944-8950 (20894) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $71.3 | $85.35 | +$14.06 | 60% 12150-8027 (20177) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 71.1¢ | $57.09 | $67.76 | +$10.67 | 49% 5160-5320 (10480) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 58.4¢ | $49.15 | $63.37 | +$14.22 | 55% 7362-6039 (13401) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $51.05 | $51 | -$0.05 | 57% 7763-5950 (13713) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.9¢ | $79.6 | — | -$79.6 | 55% 8583-7015 (15598) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 74.5¢ | $47.08 | $60 | +$12.92 | 56% 12434-9581 (22015) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $37.67 | — | -$37.67 | 59% 6693-4671 (11364) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 71.1¢ | $25.26 | $35.53 | +$10.26 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $4.12 | — | -$4.12 | 59% 62163-43312 (105475) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $20 | — | -$20 | 58% 12586-9256 (21842) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $14.13 | — | -$14.13 | 74% 102386-36369 (138755) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.4¢ | $16.09 | — | -$16.09 | 55% 23790-19221 (43011) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $12.26 | — | -$12.26 | 58% 50939-37072 (88011) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $12.74 | $13 | +$0.26 | 65% 4012-2170 (6182) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $8.36 | — | -$8.36 | 58% 60398-44091 (104489) |
Invested
$1,998.34
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$18.53
Record
66%
99072-51320 (150392)
Invested
$563.46
Value
$738.15
PnL
+$174.7
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
Both legs:
Invested
$245.22
Value
$265.54
PnL
+$20.32
Record
54%
15461-12923 (28384)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$231.41
Value
$218.11
PnL
-$13.3
Record
64%
58129-32808 (90937)
Invested
$133.65
Value
$135
PnL
+$1.35
Record
93%
23157-1756 (24913)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$113.8
Value
$108.24
PnL
-$5.55
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
Invested
$94.21
Value
$103.26
PnL
+$9.05
Record
56%
13719-10915 (24634)
Invested
$99.75
Value
$105
PnL
+$5.25
Record
12%
18265-132965 (151230)
Invested
$91.64
Value
$89.99
PnL
-$1.65
Record
55%
7798-6445 (14243)
Invested
$78.39
Value
$139.99
PnL
+$61.59
Record
57%
11944-8950 (20894)
Invested
$71.3
Value
$85.35
PnL
+$14.06
Record
60%
12150-8027 (20177)
Invested
$57.09
Value
$67.76
PnL
+$10.67
Record
49%
5160-5320 (10480)
Invested
$49.15
Value
$63.37
PnL
+$14.22
Record
55%
7362-6039 (13401)
Invested
$51.05
Value
$51
PnL
-$0.05
Record
57%
7763-5950 (13713)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$79.6
Value
—
PnL
-$79.6
Record
55%
8583-7015 (15598)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$47.08
Value
$60
PnL
+$12.92
Record
56%
12434-9581 (22015)
Invested
$37.67
Value
—
PnL
-$37.67
Record
59%
6693-4671 (11364)
Invested
$25.26
Value
$35.53
PnL
+$10.26
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
Invested
$4.12
Value
—
PnL
-$4.12
Record
59%
62163-43312 (105475)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$20
Record
58%
12586-9256 (21842)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$14.13
Value
—
PnL
-$14.13
Record
74%
102386-36369 (138755)
Invested
$16.09
Value
—
PnL
-$16.09
Record
55%
23790-19221 (43011)
Invested
$12.26
Value
—
PnL
-$12.26
Record
58%
50939-37072 (88011)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$12.74
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.26
Record
65%
4012-2170 (6182)
Invested
$8.36
Value
—
PnL
-$8.36
Record
58%
60398-44091 (104489)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $2.0K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $265.54
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $218.11
hoodquant
Up — $135
MayorMamdani
Up — $108.24
GoodFallen
Up — $103.26
Hsilverbasher
Up — $105
sfkjbsr457
Up — $89.99
EZTRADENL2
Up — $139.99