Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 83%
$4.6K
$323.4
Smart Money Signal
21 of 26 top traders (81%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 67.8¢ | $864.19 | $928.2 | +$64.01 | 54% 15452-12914 (28366) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 71.9¢ | $496.78 | $560.47 | +$63.68 | 64% 58097-32792 (90889) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 64.2¢ | $400.19 | $478.7 | +$78.51 | 66% 99051-51306 (150357) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.4¢ | $476.42 | $484.02 | +$7.6 | 93% 23128-1756 (24884) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 66.2¢ | $350.95 | $381.71 | +$30.76 | 56% 12425-9572 (21997) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 65.3¢ | $368.59 | $314.23 | -$54.36 | 56% 13708-10907 (24615) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $221.87 | $253.94 | +$32.07 | 49% 5150-5310 (10460) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 37.3¢ | $200 | — | -$200 | 36% 131-234 (365) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 68.6¢ | $112.26 | $163.66 | +$51.4 | 55% 7353-6028 (13381) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 83.6¢ | $140.49 | $151 | +$10.51 | 55% 7794-6444 (14238) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 64.7¢ | $90.54 | $99.18 | +$8.64 | 60% 12140-8017 (20157) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $78.57 | $148.62 | +$70.05 | 58% 37705-26921 (64626) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 63¢ | $85.7 | $100 | +$14.3 | 55% 23790-19221 (43011) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 63.7¢ | $118.37 | $182.33 | +$63.96 | 59% 6685-4661 (11346) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 59.2¢ | $44.26 | $74.62 | +$30.36 | 66% 111990-58338 (170328) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 77.3¢ | $108.19 | $139.98 | +$31.8 | 57% 11936-8938 (20874) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $42 | $60 | +$18 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $19.5 | $25 | +$5.5 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.6¢ | $4.04 | — | -$4.04 | 52% 89996-84488 (174484) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $3.2 | $5 | +$1.8 | 50% 7780-7789 (15569) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.3¢ | $14.99 | — | -$1.38 | 61% 94573-59553 (154126) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $0.72 | $1 | +$0.28 | 56% 57846-44687 (102533) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 55% 8574-7005 (15579) |
NO Nobey1CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 448-678 (1126) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3639-2825 (6464) |
Invested
$864.19
Value
$928.2
PnL
+$64.01
Record
54%
15452-12914 (28366)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$496.78
Value
$560.47
PnL
+$63.68
Record
64%
58097-32792 (90889)
Invested
$400.19
Value
$478.7
PnL
+$78.51
Record
66%
99051-51306 (150357)
Invested
$476.42
Value
$484.02
PnL
+$7.6
Record
93%
23128-1756 (24884)
FairValueMachineInvested
$350.95
Value
$381.71
PnL
+$30.76
Record
56%
12425-9572 (21997)
Invested
$368.59
Value
$314.23
PnL
-$54.36
Record
56%
13708-10907 (24615)
Invested
$221.87
Value
$253.94
PnL
+$32.07
Record
49%
5150-5310 (10460)
Invested
$200
Value
—
PnL
-$200
Record
36%
131-234 (365)
Invested
$112.26
Value
$163.66
PnL
+$51.4
Record
55%
7353-6028 (13381)
Invested
$140.49
Value
$151
PnL
+$10.51
Record
55%
7794-6444 (14238)
Invested
$90.54
Value
$99.18
PnL
+$8.64
Record
60%
12140-8017 (20157)
Invested
$78.57
Value
$148.62
PnL
+$70.05
Record
58%
37705-26921 (64626)
Invested
$85.7
Value
$100
PnL
+$14.3
Record
55%
23790-19221 (43011)
Invested
$118.37
Value
$182.33
PnL
+$63.96
Record
59%
6685-4661 (11346)
Invested
$44.26
Value
$74.62
PnL
+$30.36
Record
66%
111990-58338 (170328)
Invested
$108.19
Value
$139.98
PnL
+$31.8
Record
57%
11936-8938 (20874)
Invested
$42
Value
$60
PnL
+$18
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$19.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$5.5
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
Invested
$4.04
Value
—
PnL
-$4.04
Record
52%
89996-84488 (174484)
Invested
$3.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.8
Record
50%
7780-7789 (15569)
Invested
$14.99
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
61%
94573-59553 (154126)
Invested
$0.72
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.28
Record
56%
57846-44687 (102533)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
55%
8574-7005 (15579)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
448-678 (1126)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3639-2825 (6464)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $928.2
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $560.47
Bonereaper
Up — $478.7
hoodquant
Up — $484.02
FairValueMachine
Up — $381.71
GoodFallen
Up — $314.23
ply-pm0
Up — $253.94
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $163.66
sfkjbsr457
Up — $151