Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 54%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

-$102.99

Smart Money Signal

15 of 27 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up15 traders

Total Value$2.9K

Total Shares2,871

Combined PnL+$206.79

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,368

Combined PnL-$309.77

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 68.8¢	$607.16	$658.86	+$51.7	54% 15450-12912 (28362)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 71.8¢	$447.81	$439.84	-$7.97	56% 13706-10905 (24611)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 68.6¢	$362.44	$417.07	+$54.63	66% 98941-51224 (150165)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 71.3¢	$287.27	$315.56	+$28.29	56% 12423-9570 (21993)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 81.3¢	$292.07	$298.98	+$6.91	49% 5150-5307 (10457)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 82.2¢	$245.39	$216.04	-$29.35	60% 12138-8014 (20152)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 50.5¢	$156.52	—	-$156.52	58% 37704-26918 (64622)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 61.3¢	$127.82	$140.3	+$12.47	57% 11933-8935 (20868)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 76.7¢	$113.98	$143.1	+$29.11	55% 7350-6025 (13375)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Downavg 47.4¢	$136.44	$104.49	-$31.95	59% 6683-4657 (11340)
└ Down leg	Downavg 47.4¢	$76.03	—	-$76.03
└ Up leg	Upavg 57.8¢	$60.41	$104.49	+$44.08
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 29.9¢	$60	—	-$60	58% 12577-9241 (21818)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 68.6¢	$55.3	$80	+$24.7	55% 8574-7000 (15574)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 65.6¢	$62.73	$69.67	+$6.93	64% 57982-32684 (90666)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$15.03	—	-$15.03	59% 62157-43293 (105450)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 70.7¢	$41.7	$59.01	+$17.3	64% 22658-12474 (35132)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$5.95	—	-$5.95	57% 7752-5941 (13693)
NIULAI4CTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$29.53	—	-$29.53	77% 9355-2798 (12153)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 57.3¢	$12.04	$21	+$8.96	12% 18256-132960 (151216)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 19.6¢	$12.93	—	-$12.93	52% 89994-84473 (174467)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 22.5¢	$15.26	—	-$8.83	61% 94572-59547 (154119)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$4.67	—	-$4.67	66% 111986-58335 (170321)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 16.6¢	$8.85	—	-$8.85	63% 51684-30413 (82097)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$4.03	—	-$4.03	34% 18700-35695 (54395)
NO Nobey1<$100	Upavg 74¢	$7.4	$10	+$2.6	40% 445-676 (1121)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$2.4	—	-$2.4	50% 7779-7789 (15568)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$607.16

Value

$658.86

PnL

+$51.7

Record

54%

15450-12912 (28362)

GoodFallen

Invested

$447.81

Value

$439.84

PnL

-$7.97

Record

56%

13706-10905 (24611)

Bonereaper

Invested

$362.44

Value

$417.07

PnL

+$54.63

Record

66%

98941-51224 (150165)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$287.27

Value

$315.56

PnL

+$28.29

Record

56%

12423-9570 (21993)

ply-pm0

Invested

$292.07

Value

$298.98

PnL

+$6.91

Record

49%

5150-5307 (10457)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$245.39

Value

$216.04

PnL

-$29.35

Record

60%

12138-8014 (20152)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$156.52

Value

—

PnL

-$156.52

Record

58%

37704-26918 (64622)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$127.82

Value

$140.3

PnL

+$12.47

Record

57%

11933-8935 (20868)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$113.98

Value

$143.1

PnL

+$29.11

Record

55%

7350-6025 (13375)

13897651ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$136.44

Value

$104.49

PnL

-$31.95

Record

59%

6683-4657 (11340)

Both legs:

Down$76.0347.4¢-$76.03

Up$60.4157.8¢+$44.08

wowitsamazingCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$60

Value

—

PnL

-$60

Record

58%

12577-9241 (21818)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$55.3

Value

$80

PnL

+$24.7

Record

55%

8574-7000 (15574)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$62.73

Value

$69.67

PnL

+$6.93

Record

64%

57982-32684 (90666)

0x50f7CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15.03

Value

—

PnL

-$15.03

Record

59%

62157-43293 (105450)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$41.7

Value

$59.01

PnL

+$17.3

Record

64%

22658-12474 (35132)

wzbbbCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$5.95

Value

—

PnL

-$5.95

Record

57%

7752-5941 (13693)

NIULAI4CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$29.53

Value

—

PnL

-$29.53

Record

77%

9355-2798 (12153)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$12.04

Value

$21

PnL

+$8.96

Record

12%

18256-132960 (151216)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$12.93

Value

—

PnL

-$12.93

Record

52%

89994-84473 (174467)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15.26

Value

—

PnL

-$8.83

Record

61%

94572-59547 (154119)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.67

Value

—

PnL

-$4.67

Record

66%

111986-58335 (170321)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.85

Value

—

PnL

-$8.85

Record

63%

51684-30413 (82097)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.03

Value

—

PnL

-$4.03

Record

34%

18700-35695 (54395)

Nobey1<$100

Invested

$7.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.6

Record

40%

445-676 (1121)

RLWGCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

50%

7779-7789 (15568)

Smart Money Signal

15 of 27 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x666291e3...38c215

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793305500

Traders in this Market

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $658.86

+$51.7

GoodFallen

Up — $439.84

-$7.97

Bonereaper

Up — $417.07

+$54.63

FairValueMachine

Up — $315.56

+$28.29

ply-pm0

Up — $298.98

+$6.91

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $216.04

-$29.35

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$156.52

EZTRADENL2

Up — $140.3

+$12.47

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $143.1

13897651

Arbitrage — excluded