Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 74%

Total Value

$8.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Down

21 of 31 top traders (68%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down21 traders

Total Value$8.5K

Total Shares8,488

Combined PnL+$344.94

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,738

Combined PnL$-1.9K

Down — 68%Up — 32%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.6¢	$2.8K	$2.9K	+$39.16	93% 23082-1754 (24836)
TH THG.	Downavg 99¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$12.75	56% 29324-23030 (52354)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Upavg 47.5¢	$916.44	—	-$916.44	58% 37673-26899 (64572)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 58.2¢	$743.2	$928.74	+$185.54	66% 98940-51224 (150164)
MayorMamdani	Downavg 92.8¢	$681.05	$698.32	+$17.27	55% 44610-37084 (81694)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 92.3¢	$644.51	$678.32	+$33.81	64% 57982-32684 (90666)
machinelearned	Downavg 85.8¢	$332.08	$364.71	+$32.63	55% 8562-6992 (15554)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Downavg 96¢	$401.66	$296	-$86.93	48% 23211-25441 (48652)
pspspsps5	Downavg 94.1¢	$184.92	$190.9	+$5.98	46% 38100-44972 (83072)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Downavg 85.4¢	$186.21	$179.07	-$7.14	57% 11925-8923 (20848)
13 13897651	Downavg 62.5¢	$692.54	$354.16	+$73.66	59% 6675-4646 (11321)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 80.6¢	$158.02	$155	-$3.02	54% 15379-12880 (28259)
PB PBot-6CTR	Upavg 42.5¢	$116.87	—	-$116.87	58% 50925-37059 (87984)
LI Little-bigCTR	Upavg 49.3¢	$123.06	—	-$123.06	34% 18690-35687 (54377)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 73.6¢	$106.17	$111.01	+$4.83	60% 12127-8005 (20132)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 72¢	$74.33	$88	+$13.67	55% 7338-6017 (13355)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 94.6¢	$109.21	$84.53	-$24.68	49% 5140-5297 (10437)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Downavg 76¢	$55.5	$55	-$0.5	56% 13693-10898 (24591)
GA gansinimen<$100	Downavg 70.4¢	$38.34	$51.95	+$13.61	51% 17022-16571 (33593)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 76.6¢	$40.45	$52.81	+$12.36	52% 89954-84437 (174391)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 73¢	$29.36	$40.21	+$10.86	58% 60356-44051 (104407)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 81.5¢	$51	$16.33	+$0.7	64% 22587-12434 (35021)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Upavg 23.3¢	$18.95	—	-$18.95	56% 12410-9564 (21974)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 73¢	$4.48	$6	+$1.52	66% 111959-58297 (170256)
IM ImgonnadoitCTR	Upavg 35.5¢	$1.0K	—	-$700.38	35% 118-220 (338)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$2,821.84

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$39.16

Record

93%

23082-1754 (24836)

THG.

Down

Invested

$1,262.73

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$12.75

Record

56%

29324-23030 (52354)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$916.44

Value

—

PnL

-$916.44

Record

58%

37673-26899 (64572)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$743.2

Value

$928.74

PnL

+$185.54

Record

66%

98940-51224 (150164)

MayorMamdani

Down

Invested

$681.05

Value

$698.32

PnL

+$17.27

Record

55%

44610-37084 (81694)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$644.51

Value

$678.32

PnL

+$33.81

Record

64%

57982-32684 (90666)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$332.08

Value

$364.71

PnL

+$32.63

Record

55%

8562-6992 (15554)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down

Invested

$401.66

Value

$296

PnL

-$86.93

Record

48%

23211-25441 (48652)

pspspsps5

Down

Invested

$184.92

Value

$190.9

PnL

+$5.98

Record

46%

38100-44972 (83072)

EZTRADENL2

Down

Invested

$186.21

Value

$179.07

PnL

-$7.14

Record

57%

11925-8923 (20848)

13897651

Down

Invested

$692.54

Value

$354.16

PnL

+$73.66

Record

59%

6675-4646 (11321)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$158.02

Value

$155

PnL

-$3.02

Record

54%

15379-12880 (28259)

PBot-6CTR

Invested

$116.87

Value

—

PnL

-$116.87

Record

58%

50925-37059 (87984)

Little-bigCTR

Invested

$123.06

Value

—

PnL

-$123.06

Record

34%

18690-35687 (54377)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$106.17

Value

$111.01

PnL

+$4.83

Record

60%

12127-8005 (20132)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$74.33

Value

$88

PnL

+$13.67

Record

55%

7338-6017 (13355)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$109.21

Value

$84.53

PnL

-$24.68

Record

49%

5140-5297 (10437)

GoodFallen<$100

Down

Invested

$55.5

Value

$55

PnL

-$0.5

Record

56%

13693-10898 (24591)

gansinimen<$100

Down

Invested

$38.34

Value

$51.95

PnL

+$13.61

Record

51%

17022-16571 (33593)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$40.45

Value

$52.81

PnL

+$12.36

Record

52%

89954-84437 (174391)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Down

Invested

$29.36

Value

$40.21

PnL

+$10.86

Record

58%

60356-44051 (104407)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$51

Value

$16.33

PnL

+$0.7

Record

64%

22587-12434 (35021)

FairValueMachineCTR<$100

Invested

$18.95

Value

—

PnL

-$18.95

Record

56%

12410-9564 (21974)

antsaslyku<$100

Down

Invested

$4.48

Value

PnL

+$1.52

Record

66%

111959-58297 (170256)

ImgonnadoitCTR

Invested

$1,010.45

Value

—

PnL

-$700.38

Record

35%

118-220 (338)

Smart Money Signal

Down

21 of 31 top traders (68%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x0d862ff9...40925d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793304300

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $2.9K

+$39.16

THG.

Down — $1.3K

+$12.75

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$916.44

Bonereaper

Down — $928.74

+$185.54

MayorMamdani

Down — $698.32

+$17.27

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $678.32

+$33.81

machinelearned

Down — $364.71

+$32.63

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $296

-$86.93

pspspsps5

Down — $190.9

+$5.98

EZTRADENL2

Down — $179.07

-$7.14

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