Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 72%
$5.6K
-$383.32
Smart Money Signal
18 of 26 top traders (69%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | +$31.35 | 56% 29299-23029 (52328) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.2¢ | $913.27 | $930 | +$16.73 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
AL almachCTR | Downavg 52¢ | $260 | — | -$260 | 55% 48224-39763 (87987) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 57.9¢ | $208.24 | $252.89 | +$44.65 | 56% 13658-10876 (24534) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 55¢ | $232.27 | $220.56 | -$11.71 | 49% 5112-5267 (10379) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 86.5¢ | $255.95 | $295.99 | +$40.04 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 53.1¢ | $181.52 | — | -$181.52 | 59% 6645-4619 (11264) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 63.1¢ | $124.89 | $159.72 | +$34.84 | 60% 12097-7981 (20078) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 54.3¢ | $116.61 | $133.81 | +$17.2 | 56% 12372-9545 (21917) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 89¢ | $103.15 | $113.64 | +$10.49 | 62% 43672-26664 (70336) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86.4¢ | $67.81 | $69.04 | +$1.23 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $63.78 | $65.56 | +$1.78 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $71.25 | — | -$71.25 | 57% 11898-8892 (20790) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.6¢ | $61.82 | $50.56 | -$3.68 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 87.1¢ | $48.76 | $56 | +$7.24 | 12% 18220-132943 (151163) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $20.93 | — | -$20.93 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $44.66 | $26.96 | -$17.7 | 57% 7715-5914 (13629) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 57.4¢ | $19.37 | $32.85 | +$13.48 | 67% 53201-26615 (79816) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $24 | — | -$24 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $14.88 | $14.55 | -$0.33 | 55% 8533-6963 (15496) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $13.39 | $8.54 | -$4.85 | 51% 17007-16559 (33566) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 91.2¢ | $9.37 | $7.04 | -$2.33 | 55% 7313-5987 (13300) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 66% 111894-58227 (170121) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.26 | $4.79 | +$0.53 | 46% 38045-44903 (82948) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.03 | — | -$1.03 | 77% 9340-2782 (12122) |
Invested
$3,103.65
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$31.35
Record
56%
29299-23029 (52328)
Invested
$913.27
Value
$930
PnL
+$16.73
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$260
Value
—
PnL
-$260
Record
55%
48224-39763 (87987)
Invested
$208.24
Value
$252.89
PnL
+$44.65
Record
56%
13658-10876 (24534)
Invested
$232.27
Value
$220.56
PnL
-$11.71
Record
49%
5112-5267 (10379)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$255.95
Value
$295.99
PnL
+$40.04
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
Invested
$181.52
Value
—
PnL
-$181.52
Record
59%
6645-4619 (11264)
Invested
$124.89
Value
$159.72
PnL
+$34.84
Record
60%
12097-7981 (20078)
FairValueMachineInvested
$116.61
Value
$133.81
PnL
+$17.2
Record
56%
12372-9545 (21917)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$103.15
Value
$113.64
PnL
+$10.49
Record
62%
43672-26664 (70336)
Invested
$67.81
Value
$69.04
PnL
+$1.23
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
Invested
$63.78
Value
$65.56
PnL
+$1.78
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
Invested
$71.25
Value
—
PnL
-$71.25
Record
57%
11898-8892 (20790)
Invested
$61.82
Value
$50.56
PnL
-$3.68
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
Invested
$48.76
Value
$56
PnL
+$7.24
Record
12%
18220-132943 (151163)
Invested
$20.93
Value
—
PnL
-$20.93
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$44.66
Value
$26.96
PnL
-$17.7
Record
57%
7715-5914 (13629)
Invested
$19.37
Value
$32.85
PnL
+$13.48
Record
67%
53201-26615 (79816)
Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$24
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$14.88
Value
$14.55
PnL
-$0.33
Record
55%
8533-6963 (15496)
Invested
$13.39
Value
$8.54
PnL
-$4.85
Record
51%
17007-16559 (33566)
Invested
$9.37
Value
$7.04
PnL
-$2.33
Record
55%
7313-5987 (13300)
Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
66%
111894-58227 (170121)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$4.26
Value
$4.79
PnL
+$0.53
Record
46%
38045-44903 (82948)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$1.03
Value
—
PnL
-$1.03
Record
77%
9340-2782 (12122)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up — $3.1K
hoodquant
Up — $930
almach
CTRDown — $0
GoodFallen
Up — $252.89
ply-pm0
Up — $220.56
MayorMamdani
Up — $295.99
13897651
CTRDown — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $159.72
FairValueMachine
Up — $133.81
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $113.64