Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 70%
1 arb excluded
$5.0K
$138.84
Smart Money Signal
18 of 25 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 63.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.1K | -$156.39 | 56% 14287-11206 (25493) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $691.32 | $782.9 | +$91.58 | 77% 9332-2772 (12104) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 51.8¢ | $551.17 | $612.26 | +$61.09 | 49% 5097-5260 (10357) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 57.8¢ | $603.44 | $582.37 | -$21.07 | 56% 13634-10870 (24504) |
SP spartacrayCTR | Downavg 48.4¢ | $261.46 | — | -$261.46 | 53% 27038-24068 (51106) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 65.4¢ | $195.09 | $161.77 | -$33.32 | 55% 23757-19198 (42955) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 67.6¢ | $230.62 | $340.99 | +$110.37 | 59% 6632-4597 (11229) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Downavg 41.9¢ | $309.11 | — | -$309.11 | 56% 12354-9532 (21886) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.5¢ | $43.6 | — | -$43.6 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 72.9¢ | $250.46 | $236.04 | -$14.41 | 57% 11882-8874 (20756) |
TR trdyugiolkwCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.4¢ | $52.05 | — | -$52.05 | 57% 10246-7680 (17926) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 53.2¢ | $70.64 | $82.06 | +$11.43 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 35.1¢ | $143.56 | — | -$143.56 | 55% 8511-6950 (15461) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $77.67 | $88 | +$10.33 | 55% 7296-5969 (13265) |
WZ wzbbbARB<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $35.16 | $39.98 | +$4.82 | 57% 7702-5901 (13603) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.6¢ | $13.57 | — | -$13.57 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54¢ | $21.59 | $39.98 | +$18.39 | |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 34.9¢ | $18.93 | $54.18 | +$35.25 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 4.8¢ | $24.03 | $497.59 | +$473.56 | 62% 43662-26649 (70311) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $11.46 | — | -$11.46 | 12% 18180-132911 (151091) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 5.6¢ | $20.83 | $369.65 | +$348.82 | 59% 62097-43210 (105307) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $33.6 | $40 | +$6.4 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 74.4¢ | $19.72 | $20.05 | +$0.33 | 66% 111846-58190 (170036) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $5.73 | $10.23 | +$4.5 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $6.9 | $13.02 | +$6.12 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 65% 3980-2143 (6123) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 34.9¢ | $28.16 | $0.74 | +$28.56 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
Invested
$1,270.08
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$156.39
Record
56%
14287-11206 (25493)
NIULAI4Invested
$691.32
Value
$782.9
PnL
+$91.58
Record
77%
9332-2772 (12104)
Invested
$551.17
Value
$612.26
PnL
+$61.09
Record
49%
5097-5260 (10357)
Invested
$603.44
Value
$582.37
PnL
-$21.07
Record
56%
13634-10870 (24504)
Invested
$261.46
Value
—
PnL
-$261.46
Record
53%
27038-24068 (51106)
Invested
$195.09
Value
$161.77
PnL
-$33.32
Record
55%
23757-19198 (42955)
Invested
$230.62
Value
$340.99
PnL
+$110.37
Record
59%
6632-4597 (11229)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$309.11
Value
—
PnL
-$309.11
Record
56%
12354-9532 (21886)
Invested
$43.6
Value
—
PnL
-$43.6
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
Invested
$250.46
Value
$236.04
PnL
-$14.41
Record
57%
11882-8874 (20756)
Invested
$52.05
Value
—
PnL
-$52.05
Record
57%
10246-7680 (17926)
Invested
$70.64
Value
$82.06
PnL
+$11.43
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$143.56
Value
—
PnL
-$143.56
Record
55%
8511-6950 (15461)
Invested
$77.67
Value
$88
PnL
+$10.33
Record
55%
7296-5969 (13265)
Invested
$35.16
Value
$39.98
PnL
+$4.82
Record
57%
7702-5901 (13603)
Both legs:
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$18.93
Value
$54.18
PnL
+$35.25
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$24.03
Value
$497.59
PnL
+$473.56
Record
62%
43662-26649 (70311)
Invested
$11.46
Value
—
PnL
-$11.46
Record
12%
18180-132911 (151091)
Invested
$20.83
Value
$369.65
PnL
+$348.82
Record
59%
62097-43210 (105307)
Invested
$33.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$6.4
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Invested
$19.72
Value
$20.05
PnL
+$0.33
Record
66%
111846-58190 (170036)
Invested
$5.73
Value
$10.23
PnL
+$4.5
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
Invested
$6.9
Value
$13.02
PnL
+$6.12
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
65%
3980-2143 (6123)
Invested
$28.16
Value
$0.74
PnL
+$28.56
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.1K
NIULAI4
Up — $782.9
ply-pm0
Up — $612.26
GoodFallen
Up — $582.37
spartacray
CTRDown — $0
sir-upalot
Up — $161.77
13897651
Up — $340.99
FairValueMachine
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
EZTRADENL2
Up — $236.04