Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 97%

Total Value

$17.1K

Combined PnL

$722.68

Smart Money Signal

31 of 33 top traders (94%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up31 traders

Total Value$17.1K

Total Shares17,130

Combined PnL+$1.9K

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,367

Combined PnL$-1.2K

Up — 94%Down — 6%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH THG.	Upavg 96¢	$3.0K	$3.1K	+$123.8	56% 29291-23029 (52320)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 96¢	$2.9K	$3.0K	+$120.32	59% 62097-43210 (105307)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 95.9¢	$2.5K	$2.6K	+$107.56	93% 22942-1749 (24691)
0X 0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825CTR	Downavg 51.8¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K	45% 70-87 (157)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 86.7¢	$835.18	$963.23	+$128.05	55% 44462-36957 (81419)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 84.9¢	$733.09	$858.56	+$125.47	56% 14287-11206 (25493)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 73¢	$1.2K	$1.6K	+$426.48	57% 70317-53442 (123759)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 72¢	$648	$900	+$252	48% 23169-25372 (48541)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 96.5¢	$626.06	$626.53	+$0.47	57% 7702-5901 (13603)
pspspsps5	Upavg 86.4¢	$427.01	$493.99	+$66.97	46% 38019-44852 (82871)
SP spartacray	Upavg 84.7¢	$335.28	$355.67	+$20.39	53% 27038-24068 (51106)
machinelearned	Upavg 86.9¢	$355.46	$322.8	-$32.66	55% 8511-6950 (15461)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 71¢	$237.6	$300	+$62.4	56% 13634-10870 (24504)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 76.9¢	$209.64	$251.65	+$42.01	49% 5097-5260 (10357)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 47.5¢	$173.88	$365.8	+$191.92	58% 37558-26812 (64370)
LI Little-big	Upavg 72.6¢	$181.6	$250.23	+$68.64	34% 18648-35642 (54290)
ST std0	Upavg 90.5¢	$145.99	$119.99	-$26	67% 53187-26596 (79783)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 70.4¢	$103.6	$140	+$36.4	57% 11882-8874 (20756)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 48¢	$96.06	$150.12	+$54.06	58% 50880-37022 (87902)
13 13897651	Upavg 55.1¢	$99.19	$171.77	+$72.58	59% 6632-4597 (11229)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 69.9¢	$83.54	$119.43	+$35.89	56% 12354-9532 (21886)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 83.3¢	$79.18	$62.08	-$17.1	60% 12076-7966 (20042)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 70¢	$53.4	$76.29	+$22.89	51% 19907-19065 (38972)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 73¢	$73.21	$100.29	+$27.08	56% 57762-44611 (102373)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 85.3¢	$46.42	$52.75	+$6.33	55% 7296-5969 (13265)

THG.

Invested

$2,971.2

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$123.8

Record

56%

29291-23029 (52320)

0x50f7

Invested

$2,887.69

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$120.32

Record

59%

62097-43210 (105307)

hoodquant

Invested

$2,521.44

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$107.56

Record

93%

22942-1749 (24691)

0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825CTR

Down

Invested

$1,225.73

Value

—

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

45%

70-87 (157)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$835.18

Value

$963.23

PnL

+$128.05

Record

55%

44462-36957 (81419)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$733.09

Value

$858.56

PnL

+$125.47

Record

56%

14287-11206 (25493)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$1,150.62

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$426.48

Record

57%

70317-53442 (123759)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$648

Value

$900

PnL

+$252

Record

48%

23169-25372 (48541)

wzbbb

Invested

$626.06

Value

$626.53

PnL

+$0.47

Record

57%

7702-5901 (13603)

pspspsps5

Invested

$427.01

Value

$493.99

PnL

+$66.97

Record

46%

38019-44852 (82871)

spartacray

Invested

$335.28

Value

$355.67

PnL

+$20.39

Record

53%

27038-24068 (51106)

machinelearned

Invested

$355.46

Value

$322.8

PnL

-$32.66

Record

55%

8511-6950 (15461)

GoodFallen

Invested

$237.6

Value

$300

PnL

+$62.4

Record

56%

13634-10870 (24504)

ply-pm0

Invested

$209.64

Value

$251.65

PnL

+$42.01

Record

49%

5097-5260 (10357)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$173.88

Value

$365.8

PnL

+$191.92

Record

58%

37558-26812 (64370)

Little-big

Invested

$181.6

Value

$250.23

PnL

+$68.64

Record

34%

18648-35642 (54290)

std0

Invested

$145.99

Value

$119.99

PnL

-$26

Record

67%

53187-26596 (79783)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$103.6

Value

$140

PnL

+$36.4

Record

57%

11882-8874 (20756)

PBot-6

Invested

$96.06

Value

$150.12

PnL

+$54.06

Record

58%

50880-37022 (87902)

13897651

Invested

$99.19

Value

$171.77

PnL

+$72.58

Record

59%

6632-4597 (11229)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$83.54

Value

$119.43

PnL

+$35.89

Record

56%

12354-9532 (21886)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$79.18

Value

$62.08

PnL

-$17.1

Record

60%

12076-7966 (20042)

devonpoll<$100

Invested

$53.4

Value

$76.29

PnL

+$22.89

Record

51%

19907-19065 (38972)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$73.21

Value

$100.29

PnL

+$27.08

Record

56%

57762-44611 (102373)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$46.42

Value

$52.75

PnL

+$6.33

Record

55%

7296-5969 (13265)

Smart Money Signal

31 of 33 top traders (94%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x2428567e...a13b37

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793270700

Traders in this Market

THG.

Up — $3.1K

+$123.8

0x50f7

Up — $3.0K

+$120.32

hoodquant

Up — $2.6K

+$107.56

0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.2K

MayorMamdani

Up — $963.23

+$128.05

CrouchPredictions

Up — $858.56

+$125.47

uninformedfloww

Up — $1.6K

+$426.48

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $900

+$252

wzbbb

Up — $626.53

+$0.47

pspspsps5

Up — $493.99

+$66.97

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