Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Down 94%
$16.2K
$2.0K
Smart Money Signal
30 of 34 top traders (88%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | +$3.1 | 59% 62097-43210 (105307) |
TH THG. | Downavg 95.3¢ | $2.9K | $3.1K | +$143.93 | 56% 29291-23029 (52320) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 80.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$74.29 | 56% 14287-11206 (25493) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$19.71 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 98.1¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$24.73 | 74% 102303-36356 (138659) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 62.8¢ | $805.56 | $1.3K | +$477.49 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 94.6¢ | $517.17 | $541.39 | +$24.21 | 77% 9332-2772 (12104) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 70.7¢ | $421.82 | $507.43 | +$85.61 | 56% 13634-10870 (24504) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 73.5¢ | $265.64 | $345.04 | +$79.4 | 57% 10246-7680 (17926) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 84.1¢ | $387.47 | $292.63 | -$94.84 | 55% 8511-6950 (15461) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 63¢ | $234 | $300 | +$66 | 51% 17003-16557 (33560) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 74.1¢ | $247.81 | $293.35 | +$45.54 | 53% 27038-24068 (51106) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $279.98 | $586.51 | +$306.54 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 62.6¢ | $195.04 | $268 | +$72.96 | 56% 12354-9532 (21886) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $212.51 | $263.99 | +$51.48 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 94¢ | $166.38 | $177 | +$10.62 | 57% 7702-5901 (13603) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 75.1¢ | $93.9 | $106.65 | +$12.74 | 60% 12076-7966 (20042) |
VE Vega7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 74% 2941-1043 (3984) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $84.75 | — | -$84.75 | 59% 6632-4597 (11229) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $111.41 | $163.35 | +$51.94 | 56% 57762-44611 (102373) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $58.11 | $68.95 | +$10.84 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 63¢ | $75.6 | $120 | +$44.4 | 57% 11882-8874 (20756) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96.4¢ | $62.73 | $59.69 | +$1.96 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
AN antsaslyku | Downavg 64.4¢ | $71.93 | $111.72 | +$39.79 | 66% 111846-58190 (170036) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 67.2¢ | $58.64 | $66.73 | +$8.09 | 55% 23757-19198 (42955) |
Invested
$3,094.91
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$3.1
Record
59%
62097-43210 (105307)
Invested
$2,938.07
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$143.93
Record
56%
29291-23029 (52320)
Invested
$1,549
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$74.29
Record
56%
14287-11206 (25493)
Invested
$1,281.95
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$19.71
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
BoneOhioInvested
$1,262.23
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$24.73
Record
74%
102303-36356 (138659)
Invested
$805.56
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$477.49
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
NIULAI4Invested
$517.17
Value
$541.39
PnL
+$24.21
Record
77%
9332-2772 (12104)
Invested
$421.82
Value
$507.43
PnL
+$85.61
Record
56%
13634-10870 (24504)
Invested
$265.64
Value
$345.04
PnL
+$79.4
Record
57%
10246-7680 (17926)
machinelearnedInvested
$387.47
Value
$292.63
PnL
-$94.84
Record
55%
8511-6950 (15461)
Invested
$234
Value
$300
PnL
+$66
Record
51%
17003-16557 (33560)
Invested
$247.81
Value
$293.35
PnL
+$45.54
Record
53%
27038-24068 (51106)
Invested
$279.98
Value
$586.51
PnL
+$306.54
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
FairValueMachineInvested
$195.04
Value
$268
PnL
+$72.96
Record
56%
12354-9532 (21886)
pspspsps5Invested
$212.51
Value
$263.99
PnL
+$51.48
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
Invested
$166.38
Value
$177
PnL
+$10.62
Record
57%
7702-5901 (13603)
Invested
$93.9
Value
$106.65
PnL
+$12.74
Record
60%
12076-7966 (20042)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
74%
2941-1043 (3984)
Invested
$84.75
Value
—
PnL
-$84.75
Record
59%
6632-4597 (11229)
Invested
$111.41
Value
$163.35
PnL
+$51.94
Record
56%
57762-44611 (102373)
Invested
$58.11
Value
$68.95
PnL
+$10.84
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
Invested
$75.6
Value
$120
PnL
+$44.4
Record
57%
11882-8874 (20756)
Invested
$62.73
Value
$59.69
PnL
+$1.96
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
Invested
$71.93
Value
$111.72
PnL
+$39.79
Record
66%
111846-58190 (170036)
Invested
$58.64
Value
$66.73
PnL
+$8.09
Record
55%
23757-19198 (42955)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.1K
THG.
Down — $3.1K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.6K
hoodquant
Down — $1.3K
BoneOhio
Down — $1.3K
uninformedfloww
Down — $1.3K
NIULAI4
Down — $541.39
GoodFallen
Down — $507.43
trdyugiolkw
Down — $345.04
machinelearned
Down — $292.63