Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 69%
$2.8K
-$123.85
Smart Money Signal
18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 80.1¢ | $873.01 | $776.17 | -$96.83 | 56% 14271-11198 (25469) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 82.3¢ | $490.28 | $553.73 | +$63.45 | 55% 8499-6944 (15443) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 69.5¢ | $285.6 | $300.58 | +$14.98 | 56% 13624-10860 (24484) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 71.6¢ | $198.65 | $257.68 | +$59.58 | 55% 7279-5958 (13237) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 71.2¢ | $157.53 | $190.7 | +$33.17 | 53% 27003-24047 (51050) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 65.8¢ | $115.62 | $175.41 | +$59.79 | 56% 12342-9526 (21868) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Upavg 52.6¢ | $131.5 | — | -$131.5 | 34% 18638-35630 (54268) |
ST std0 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $127.46 | $120 | -$7.46 | 67% 53175-26585 (79760) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 81.1¢ | $91.43 | $112.74 | +$21.31 | 55% 23749-19190 (42939) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.7¢ | $96.24 | — | -$96.24 | 59% 6624-4583 (11207) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 73.5¢ | $105.09 | $79.55 | -$25.54 | 60% 12063-7951 (20014) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $27.1 | — | -$27.1 | 48% 23158-25364 (48522) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $44.75 | $65.2 | +$20.45 | 66% 111826-58168 (169994) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $46.36 | $57.85 | +$11.49 | 66% 125065-64347 (189412) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.5¢ | $16.32 | — | -$16.32 | 46% 38004-44821 (82825) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $36.49 | $41 | +$4.51 | 61% 94330-59348 (153678) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Upavg 10.6¢ | $14.52 | — | -$14.52 | 57% 11869-8860 (20729) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $17.85 | $18.03 | +$0.18 | 63% 51515-30317 (81832) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 66.9¢ | $36.51 | $16 | +$13.05 | 65% 22322-12252 (34574) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $9.26 | $10 | +$0.74 | 55% 44432-36934 (81366) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.9¢ | $26.4 | — | -$18 | 51% 19894-19056 (38950) |
NO Nobey1<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $6.6 | $10 | +$3.4 | 39% 414-640 (1054) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $6.86 | $7.71 | +$0.85 | 65% 3962-2141 (6103) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 77% 9323-2765 (12088) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5.01 | $10.02 | +$5.01 | 58% 50870-37018 (87888) |
Invested
$873.01
Value
$776.17
PnL
-$96.83
Record
56%
14271-11198 (25469)
machinelearnedInvested
$490.28
Value
$553.73
PnL
+$63.45
Record
55%
8499-6944 (15443)
Invested
$285.6
Value
$300.58
PnL
+$14.98
Record
56%
13624-10860 (24484)
Invested
$198.65
Value
$257.68
PnL
+$59.58
Record
55%
7279-5958 (13237)
Invested
$157.53
Value
$190.7
PnL
+$33.17
Record
53%
27003-24047 (51050)
FairValueMachineInvested
$115.62
Value
$175.41
PnL
+$59.79
Record
56%
12342-9526 (21868)
Invested
$131.5
Value
—
PnL
-$131.5
Record
34%
18638-35630 (54268)
Invested
$127.46
Value
$120
PnL
-$7.46
Record
67%
53175-26585 (79760)
Invested
$91.43
Value
$112.74
PnL
+$21.31
Record
55%
23749-19190 (42939)
Invested
$96.24
Value
—
PnL
-$96.24
Record
59%
6624-4583 (11207)
Invested
$105.09
Value
$79.55
PnL
-$25.54
Record
60%
12063-7951 (20014)
Invested
$27.1
Value
—
PnL
-$27.1
Record
48%
23158-25364 (48522)
Invested
$44.75
Value
$65.2
PnL
+$20.45
Record
66%
111826-58168 (169994)
Invested
$46.36
Value
$57.85
PnL
+$11.49
Record
66%
125065-64347 (189412)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$16.32
Value
—
PnL
-$16.32
Record
46%
38004-44821 (82825)
Invested
$36.49
Value
$41
PnL
+$4.51
Record
61%
94330-59348 (153678)
Invested
$14.52
Value
—
PnL
-$14.52
Record
57%
11869-8860 (20729)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$17.85
Value
$18.03
PnL
+$0.18
Record
63%
51515-30317 (81832)
Invested
$36.51
Value
$16
PnL
+$13.05
Record
65%
22322-12252 (34574)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.26
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.74
Record
55%
44432-36934 (81366)
Invested
$26.4
Value
—
PnL
-$18
Record
51%
19894-19056 (38950)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.4
Record
39%
414-640 (1054)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$6.86
Value
$7.71
PnL
+$0.85
Record
65%
3962-2141 (6103)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
77%
9323-2765 (12088)
Invested
$5.01
Value
$10.02
PnL
+$5.01
Record
58%
50870-37018 (87888)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $776.17
machinelearned
Down — $553.73
GoodFallen
Down — $300.58
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $257.68
spartacray
Down — $190.7
FairValueMachine
Down — $175.41
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
std0
Down — $120
sir-upalot
Down — $112.74
13897651
CTRUp — $0