Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Up 64%
$11.2K
-$234.74
Smart Money Signal
21 of 35 top traders (60%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.2K | $3.2K | +$3.16 | 59% 62084-43185 (105269) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30.48 | 56% 29279-23029 (52308) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 81.2¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$49.65 | 56% 14197-11140 (25337) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 66.4¢ | $789.17 | $926.96 | +$137.79 | 56% 13606-10852 (24458) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $710.45 | $717.63 | +$7.18 | 93% 22893-1747 (24640) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 59.7¢ | $323.42 | $375.2 | +$51.77 | 56% 12327-9516 (21843) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $337.74 | $349.99 | +$12.25 | 77% 9320-2762 (12082) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 85¢ | $327.06 | $328.34 | +$1.28 | 60% 12052-7944 (19996) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 57.8¢ | $271.93 | $304.61 | +$32.68 | 49% 5071-5242 (10313) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 79.9¢ | $167.97 | $164.46 | -$3.51 | 55% 7269-5950 (13219) |
SP spartacray | Upavg 75.8¢ | $206.65 | $144.14 | -$62.51 | 53% 27000-24047 (51047) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 76.1¢ | $136.1 | $130.29 | -$5.81 | 55% 23740-19185 (42925) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Downavg 50.5¢ | $217.24 | — | -$217.24 | 57% 11862-8849 (20711) |
AN antsaslyku | Upavg 63.1¢ | $70.63 | $104.09 | +$33.46 | 66% 111803-58146 (169949) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 60.6¢ | $116.37 | — | -$116.37 | 59% 6614-4574 (11188) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Upavg 74.6¢ | $79.75 | $88.45 | +$8.69 | 57% 10233-7665 (17898) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $81.86 | $63.84 | -$18.02 | 67% 53174-26585 (79759) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 70.8¢ | $43.2 | $61.06 | +$17.86 | 51% 19890-19043 (38933) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $36.84 | $34.09 | -$2.75 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 45.7¢ | $31.6 | $69.21 | +$37.6 | 58% 50863-37010 (87873) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $22.48 | $21 | -$1.48 | 58% 37531-26786 (64317) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $19.47 | $16.14 | -$3.33 | 66% 125021-64333 (189354) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.9¢ | $23.12 | — | -$23.12 | 55% 8485-6933 (15418) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.8¢ | $10.87 | — | -$10.87 | 46% 37996-44793 (82789) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $28.62 | — | -$28.62 | 57% 7686-5888 (13574) |
Invested
$3,154.85
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$3.16
Record
59%
62084-43185 (105269)
Invested
$3,017.52
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30.48
Record
56%
29279-23029 (52308)
Invested
$1,128.69
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$49.65
Record
56%
14197-11140 (25337)
Invested
$789.17
Value
$926.96
PnL
+$137.79
Record
56%
13606-10852 (24458)
Invested
$710.45
Value
$717.63
PnL
+$7.18
Record
93%
22893-1747 (24640)
FairValueMachineInvested
$323.42
Value
$375.2
PnL
+$51.77
Record
56%
12327-9516 (21843)
NIULAI4Invested
$337.74
Value
$349.99
PnL
+$12.25
Record
77%
9320-2762 (12082)
Invested
$327.06
Value
$328.34
PnL
+$1.28
Record
60%
12052-7944 (19996)
Invested
$271.93
Value
$304.61
PnL
+$32.68
Record
49%
5071-5242 (10313)
Invested
$167.97
Value
$164.46
PnL
-$3.51
Record
55%
7269-5950 (13219)
Invested
$206.65
Value
$144.14
PnL
-$62.51
Record
53%
27000-24047 (51047)
Invested
$136.1
Value
$130.29
PnL
-$5.81
Record
55%
23740-19185 (42925)
Invested
$217.24
Value
—
PnL
-$217.24
Record
57%
11862-8849 (20711)
Invested
$70.63
Value
$104.09
PnL
+$33.46
Record
66%
111803-58146 (169949)
Invested
$116.37
Value
—
PnL
-$116.37
Record
59%
6614-4574 (11188)
Invested
$79.75
Value
$88.45
PnL
+$8.69
Record
57%
10233-7665 (17898)
Invested
$81.86
Value
$63.84
PnL
-$18.02
Record
67%
53174-26585 (79759)
Invested
$43.2
Value
$61.06
PnL
+$17.86
Record
51%
19890-19043 (38933)
Invested
$36.84
Value
$34.09
PnL
-$2.75
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
Invested
$31.6
Value
$69.21
PnL
+$37.6
Record
58%
50863-37010 (87873)
Invested
$22.48
Value
$21
PnL
-$1.48
Record
58%
37531-26786 (64317)
Invested
$19.47
Value
$16.14
PnL
-$3.33
Record
66%
125021-64333 (189354)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$23.12
Value
—
PnL
-$23.12
Record
55%
8485-6933 (15418)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$10.87
Value
—
PnL
-$10.87
Record
46%
37996-44793 (82789)
Invested
$28.62
Value
—
PnL
-$28.62
Record
57%
7686-5888 (13574)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.2K
THG.
Up — $3.0K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.1K
GoodFallen
Up — $926.96
hoodquant
Up — $717.63
FairValueMachine
Up — $375.2
NIULAI4
Up — $349.99
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $328.34
ply-pm0
Up — $304.61
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $164.46