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DownUpDownUpDownDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$2.0K
Combined PnL
$736.9
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares1,973
Combined PnL+$869.07
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares298
Combined PnL-$132.17
Down β 67%Up β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE penguin1125 | Downavg 56Β’ | $1.0K | $1.8K | +$786.97 | 47% 109-122 (231) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.5Β’ | $86.17 | β | -$86.17 | 58% 50847-36987 (87834) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 49Β’ | $57 | $116.33 | +$59.33 | 68% 98984-47279 (146263) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $46 | β | -$46 | 34% 18605-35595 (54200) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 57.4Β’ | $47.23 | $70 | +$22.77 | 59% 6591-4553 (11144) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3628-2815 (6443) |
PE
penguin1125Invested
$1,000
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$786.97
Record
47%
109-122 (231)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$86.17
Value
β
PnL
-$86.17
Record
58%
50847-36987 (87834)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$57
Value
$116.33
PnL
+$59.33
Record
68%
98984-47279 (146263)
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$46
Value
β
PnL
-$46
Record
34%
18605-35595 (54200)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$47.23
Value
$70
PnL
+$22.77
Record
59%
6591-4553 (11144)
AR
arcsine-barrister<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3628-2815 (6443)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe88b4fb4...06b925
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793251800