Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Up 77%
$3.9K
-$949.06
Smart Money Signal
24 of 32 top traders (75%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$12.79 | 74% 102251-36346 (138597) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 56.3¢ | $871.26 | — | -$871.26 | 54% 15322-12840 (28162) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 48.8¢ | $364.03 | $558.56 | +$194.54 | 56% 13584-10833 (24417) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 59.6¢ | $320.52 | $307.24 | -$13.28 | 49% 5051-5220 (10271) |
SE seeeeeeb | Upavg 93¢ | $251.1 | $270 | +$18.9 | 51% 685-661 (1346) |
 ohioism | Upavg 83¢ | $166.1 | $200.14 | +$34.04 | 64% 39798-22745 (62543) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 49.1¢ | $145.91 | $196.88 | +$50.97 | 56% 12303-9500 (21803) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 74¢ | $202.39 | $160 | -$42.39 | 57% 70236-53366 (123602) |
 Atomforge | Upavg 88.9¢ | $124.38 | $139.84 | +$15.46 | 65% 3945-2129 (6074) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 54.6¢ | $111.07 | $136.73 | +$25.67 | 55% 7242-5931 (13173) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 99¢ | $102.96 | $104 | +$1.04 | 55% 44344-36830 (81174) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 47.5¢ | $47.5 | $100 | +$52.5 | 55% 23713-19172 (42885) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 24.9¢ | $123.84 | — | -$123.84 | 64% 57813-32547 (90360) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $89.58 | $88.42 | -$1.16 | 66% 124908-64287 (189195) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $76.23 | $77 | +$0.77 | 93% 22826-1744 (24570) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 69.1¢ | $43.2 | $62.52 | +$19.32 | 65% 124531-66611 (191142) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $99.6 | $60 | -$39.6 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Downavg 60.5¢ | $200.27 | — | -$200.27 | 57% 11844-8822 (20666) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 63.8¢ | $35.04 | $49.46 | +$14.42 | 61% 94214-59259 (153473) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $68.65 | $46.36 | -$22.28 | 55% 8469-6906 (15375) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $13.8 | $37.26 | +$23.46 | 55% 17500-14140 (31640) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 22.6¢ | $9.11 | $26.5 | +$17.39 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $37.08 | — | -$37.08 | 57% 7666-5875 (13541) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 36.9¢ | $4.8 | $12.99 | +$8.19 | 52% 89668-84106 (173774) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.1¢ | $22.63 | — | -$22.63 | 60% 12032-7918 (19950) |
BoneOhioInvested
$1,266.47
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$12.79
Record
74%
102251-36346 (138597)
Invested
$871.26
Value
—
PnL
-$871.26
Record
54%
15322-12840 (28162)
Invested
$364.03
Value
$558.56
PnL
+$194.54
Record
56%
13584-10833 (24417)
Invested
$320.52
Value
$307.24
PnL
-$13.28
Record
49%
5051-5220 (10271)
Invested
$251.1
Value
$270
PnL
+$18.9
Record
51%
685-661 (1346)
ohioismInvested
$166.1
Value
$200.14
PnL
+$34.04
Record
64%
39798-22745 (62543)
FairValueMachineInvested
$145.91
Value
$196.88
PnL
+$50.97
Record
56%
12303-9500 (21803)
Invested
$202.39
Value
$160
PnL
-$42.39
Record
57%
70236-53366 (123602)
AtomforgeInvested
$124.38
Value
$139.84
PnL
+$15.46
Record
65%
3945-2129 (6074)
Invested
$111.07
Value
$136.73
PnL
+$25.67
Record
55%
7242-5931 (13173)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$102.96
Value
$104
PnL
+$1.04
Record
55%
44344-36830 (81174)
Invested
$47.5
Value
$100
PnL
+$52.5
Record
55%
23713-19172 (42885)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$123.84
Value
—
PnL
-$123.84
Record
64%
57813-32547 (90360)
Invested
$89.58
Value
$88.42
PnL
-$1.16
Record
66%
124908-64287 (189195)
Invested
$76.23
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.77
Record
93%
22826-1744 (24570)
Invested
$43.2
Value
$62.52
PnL
+$19.32
Record
65%
124531-66611 (191142)
Invested
$99.6
Value
$60
PnL
-$39.6
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
Invested
$200.27
Value
—
PnL
-$200.27
Record
57%
11844-8822 (20666)
Invested
$35.04
Value
$49.46
PnL
+$14.42
Record
61%
94214-59259 (153473)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$68.65
Value
$46.36
PnL
-$22.28
Record
55%
8469-6906 (15375)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$37.26
PnL
+$23.46
Record
55%
17500-14140 (31640)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.11
Value
$26.5
PnL
+$17.39
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
Invested
$37.08
Value
—
PnL
-$37.08
Record
57%
7666-5875 (13541)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$12.99
PnL
+$8.19
Record
52%
89668-84106 (173774)
Invested
$22.63
Value
—
PnL
-$22.63
Record
60%
12032-7918 (19950)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Up — $1.3K
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
GoodFallen
Up — $558.56
ply-pm0
Up — $307.24
seeeeeeb
Up — $270
ohioism
Up — $200.14
FairValueMachine
Up — $196.88
uninformedfloww
Up — $160
Atomforge
Up — $139.84
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $136.73