Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 59%
$2.6K
-$566.39
Smart Money Signal
17 of 30 top traders (57%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 51.7¢ | $921.04 | $939.59 | +$18.55 | 54% 15321-12840 (28161) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 96¢ | $477.52 | $497.55 | +$20.03 | 93% 22818-1742 (24560) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 53.1¢ | $375.96 | — | -$375.96 | 56% 13584-10832 (24416) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 69.4¢ | $252.67 | $233.03 | -$19.63 | 49% 5051-5218 (10269) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 39.2¢ | $226.08 | — | -$226.08 | 58% 37494-26736 (64230) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 88.1¢ | $173.99 | $191.6 | +$17.61 | 55% 7241-5930 (13171) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 57.9¢ | $93.29 | $85.67 | -$7.63 | 56% 12303-9499 (21802) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $82.06 | $82.91 | +$0.85 | 55% 8467-6906 (15373) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $39.33 | $82.7 | +$43.36 | 57% 11844-8820 (20664) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 37.8¢ | $37.58 | $76.06 | +$38.48 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 66.6¢ | $63.32 | $95.06 | +$31.74 | 56% 57694-44567 (102261) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.4¢ | $49.16 | — | -$49.16 | 59% 6579-4550 (11129) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $77.48 | $44 | -$33.48 | 60% 12031-7917 (19948) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 88.4¢ | $56.19 | $37.5 | -$18.69 | 64% 57804-32541 (90345) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $44.4 | $60 | +$15.6 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $39.11 | $50 | +$10.89 | 55% 23712-19172 (42884) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 53.6¢ | $29.78 | $55.59 | +$25.81 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 96.4¢ | $26.91 | $27.91 | +$1 | 63% 51408-30257 (81665) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 56.9¢ | $29.17 | $34.24 | +$5.06 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.5¢ | $35.07 | — | -$35.07 | 59% 62048-43126 (105174) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.5¢ | $5.87 | — | -$5.87 | 55% 44309-36802 (81111) |
GA gansinimenCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $4.81 | — | -$4.81 | 51% 16978-16539 (33517) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $5.18 | $7 | +$1.82 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $4.08 | — | -$4.08 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
Invested
$921.04
Value
$939.59
PnL
+$18.55
Record
54%
15321-12840 (28161)
Invested
$477.52
Value
$497.55
PnL
+$20.03
Record
93%
22818-1742 (24560)
Invested
$375.96
Value
—
PnL
-$375.96
Record
56%
13584-10832 (24416)
Invested
$252.67
Value
$233.03
PnL
-$19.63
Record
49%
5051-5218 (10269)
Invested
$226.08
Value
—
PnL
-$226.08
Record
58%
37494-26736 (64230)
Invested
$173.99
Value
$191.6
PnL
+$17.61
Record
55%
7241-5930 (13171)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$93.29
Value
$85.67
PnL
-$7.63
Record
56%
12303-9499 (21802)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$82.06
Value
$82.91
PnL
+$0.85
Record
55%
8467-6906 (15373)
Invested
$39.33
Value
$82.7
PnL
+$43.36
Record
57%
11844-8820 (20664)
Invested
$37.58
Value
$76.06
PnL
+$38.48
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
Invested
$63.32
Value
$95.06
PnL
+$31.74
Record
56%
57694-44567 (102261)
Invested
$49.16
Value
—
PnL
-$49.16
Record
59%
6579-4550 (11129)
Invested
$77.48
Value
$44
PnL
-$33.48
Record
60%
12031-7917 (19948)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$56.19
Value
$37.5
PnL
-$18.69
Record
64%
57804-32541 (90345)
Invested
$44.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$15.6
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
Invested
$39.11
Value
$50
PnL
+$10.89
Record
55%
23712-19172 (42884)
Invested
$29.78
Value
$55.59
PnL
+$25.81
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$26.91
Value
$27.91
PnL
+$1
Record
63%
51408-30257 (81665)
Invested
$29.17
Value
$34.24
PnL
+$5.06
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
Invested
$35.07
Value
—
PnL
-$35.07
Record
59%
62048-43126 (105174)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.87
Value
—
PnL
-$5.87
Record
55%
44309-36802 (81111)
Invested
$4.81
Value
—
PnL
-$4.81
Record
51%
16978-16539 (33517)
Invested
$5.18
Value
$7
PnL
+$1.82
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
Invested
$4.08
Value
—
PnL
-$4.08
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $939.59
hoodquant
Down — $497.55
GoodFallen
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm0
Down — $233.03
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $191.6
FairValueMachine
Down — $85.67
machinelearned
Down — $82.91
EZTRADENL2
Down — $82.7
thesidehustle
Down — $76.06