Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 59%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.7K

Combined PnL

-$547.18

Smart Money Signal

21 of 34 top traders (62%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up21 traders

Total Value$3.5K

Total Shares3,493

Combined PnL+$152.72

Down13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,697

Combined PnL-$699.91

Up — 62%Down — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$999.7	$1.0K	+$10.1	74% 102231-36345 (138576)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 62.1¢	$807.13	$786.99	-$20.14	54% 15321-12840 (28161)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 37.1¢	$182.36	—	-$182.36	58% 37494-26736 (64230)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 68.4¢	$293.59	$247	-$46.59	56% 13584-10832 (24416)
13 13897651	Upavg 61.1¢	$243	$397.41	+$154.42	59% 6579-4550 (11129)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 99¢	$148.58	$150.08	+$1.5	56% 57694-44567 (102261)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 57.6¢	$146.39	$140.17	-$6.22	49% 5051-5218 (10269)
Atomforge	Upavg 96.4¢	$132.66	$137.65	+$4.99	65% 3944-2129 (6073)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 88.6¢	$154.68	$120.3	-$34.23	60% 12031-7917 (19948)
FairValueMachineCTR	Downavg 51.5¢	$141.25	—	-$141.25	56% 12303-9499 (21802)
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Downavg 64.8¢	$142.78	$52.12	-$90.66	57% 11844-8820 (20664)
└ Down leg	Downavg 64.8¢	$115.41	—	-$115.41
└ Up leg	Upavg 52.5¢	$27.37	$52.12	+$24.75
GA gansinimen	Upavg 82¢	$85	$100	+$15	51% 16978-16539 (33517)
AS asdaefefARB<$100	Upavg 80.8¢	$124.83	$109.28	-$15.55	66% 124869-64274 (189143)
└ Up leg	Upavg 80.8¢	$88.26	$109.28	+$21.02
└ Down leg	Downavg 68¢	$36.57	—	-$36.57
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$61.46	—	-$61.46	34% 18599-35593 (54192)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Upavg 94.3¢	$61.3	$65	+$3.7	57% 10208-7647 (17855)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 70.6¢	$50.84	$58.19	+$7.35	55% 17472-14100 (31572)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Downavg 24.5¢	$62.38	—	-$62.38	55% 8467-6906 (15373)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 94¢	$47.76	$50.81	+$3.05	52% 89634-84083 (173717)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 89.3¢	$45.31	$50.72	+$5.41	61% 94187-59243 (153430)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 79¢	$79.04	—	-$79.04	64% 39791-22743 (62534)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 37.7¢	$19.51	$43.88	+$24.37	55% 7241-5930 (13171)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Downavg 67¢	$30.82	—	-$30.82	55% 23712-19172 (42884)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 81¢	$24.6	$30	+$5.4	68% 98971-47271 (146242)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 72¢	$30	$41.66	+$11.66	66% 111736-58065 (169801)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 44¢	$18.04	—	-$18.04	57% 7662-5869 (13531)

BoneOhio

Invested

$999.7

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$10.1

Record

74%

102231-36345 (138576)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$807.13

Value

$786.99

PnL

-$20.14

Record

54%

15321-12840 (28161)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$182.36

Value

—

PnL

-$182.36

Record

58%

37494-26736 (64230)

GoodFallen

Invested

$293.59

Value

$247

PnL

-$46.59

Record

56%

13584-10832 (24416)

13897651

Invested

$243

Value

$397.41

PnL

+$154.42

Record

59%

6579-4550 (11129)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$148.58

Value

$150.08

PnL

+$1.5

Record

56%

57694-44567 (102261)

ply-pm0

Invested

$146.39

Value

$140.17

PnL

-$6.22

Record

49%

5051-5218 (10269)

Atomforge

Invested

$132.66

Value

$137.65

PnL

+$4.99

Record

65%

3944-2129 (6073)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$154.68

Value

$120.3

PnL

-$34.23

Record

60%

12031-7917 (19948)

FairValueMachineCTR

Down

Invested

$141.25

Value

—

PnL

-$141.25

Record

56%

12303-9499 (21802)

EZTRADENL2ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$142.78

Value

$52.12

PnL

-$90.66

Record

57%

11844-8820 (20664)

Both legs:

Down$115.4164.8¢-$115.41

Up$27.3752.5¢+$24.75

gansinimen

Invested

$85

Value

$100

PnL

+$15

Record

51%

16978-16539 (33517)

asdaefefARB<$100

Invested

$124.83

Value

$109.28

PnL

-$15.55

Record

66%

124869-64274 (189143)

Both legs:

Invested

$61.46

Value

—

PnL

-$61.46

Record

34%

18599-35593 (54192)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Invested

$61.3

Value

$65

PnL

+$3.7

Record

57%

10208-7647 (17855)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$50.84

Value

$58.19

PnL

+$7.35

Record

55%

17472-14100 (31572)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$62.38

Value

—

PnL

-$62.38

Record

55%

8467-6906 (15373)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$47.76

Value

$50.81

PnL

+$3.05

Record

52%

89634-84083 (173717)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$45.31

Value

$50.72

PnL

+$5.41

Record

61%

94187-59243 (153430)

ohioismCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$79.04

Value

—

PnL

-$79.04

Record

64%

39791-22743 (62534)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$19.51

Value

$43.88

PnL

+$24.37

Record

55%

7241-5930 (13171)

sir-upalotCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$30.82

Value

—

PnL

-$30.82

Record

55%

23712-19172 (42884)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$24.6

Value

$30

PnL

+$5.4

Record

68%

98971-47271 (146242)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$30

Value

$41.66

PnL

+$11.66

Record

66%

111736-58065 (169801)

wzbbbCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$18.04

Value

—

PnL

-$18.04

Record

57%

7662-5869 (13531)

Smart Money Signal

21 of 34 top traders (62%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x242d5bf0...75c6e9

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793247300

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Up — $1.0K

+$10.1

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $786.99

-$20.14

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$182.36

GoodFallen

Up — $247

-$46.59

13897651

Up — $397.41

+$154.42

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $150.08

+$1.5

ply-pm0

Up — $140.17

-$6.22

Atomforge

Up — $137.65

+$4.99

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $120.3

FairValueMachine

Down — $0