Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.5K

Combined PnL

$268.68

Smart Money Signal

21 of 29 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up21 traders

Total Value$4.4K

Total Shares4,390

Combined PnL+$465.7

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares475

Combined PnL-$197.02

Up — 72%Down — 28%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 53.9¢	$1.1K	$1.2K	+$69.65	54% 15321-12840 (28161)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 56.7¢	$483.88	$428.25	-$55.64	56% 13584-10832 (24416)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 45.8¢	$342.64	$455.47	+$112.83	56% 12303-9499 (21802)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 63.8¢	$387.28	$390.63	+$3.35	49% 5051-5218 (10269)
NIULAI4	Upavg 93¢	$280.6	$301.66	+$21.06	77% 9313-2755 (12068)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 58.7¢	$209.66	$240.99	+$31.33	57% 11844-8820 (20664)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 76¢	$191.89	$192.86	+$0.97	60% 12031-7917 (19948)
SP spartacray	Upavg 65.1¢	$141.32	$190.27	+$48.94	53% 26986-24032 (51018)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 47¢	$117.14	$170.21	+$53.08	57% 70079-53264 (123343)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 84.2¢	$133.06	$108.04	-$25.02	55% 7241-5930 (13171)
13 13897651CTR	Downavg 58.9¢	$115.99	—	-$115.99	59% 6579-4550 (11129)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 72.8¢	$86.01	$98.34	+$12.33	65% 124499-66595 (191094)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 75¢	$91.58	$69	-$22.58	64% 57804-32541 (90345)
└ Up leg	Upavg 75¢	$51.78	$69	+$17.22
└ Down leg	Downavg 17.9¢	$39.8	—	-$39.8
SE seeeeeeb	Upavg 47¢	$126.8	$269.78	+$142.98	51% 681-658 (1339)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$72.51	$75.48	+$2.97	66% 124869-64274 (189143)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$61.03	$78.03	+$17	46% 37968-44693 (82661)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 83.6¢	$54.78	$55	+$0.22	55% 8467-6906 (15373)
SI sir-upalot<$100	Upavg 54¢	$48.49	$58.99	+$10.5	55% 23712-19172 (42884)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 84.5¢	$38.86	$46	+$7.14	49% 77653-81002 (158655)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 76.2¢	$19.3	$20.47	+$1.17	55% 17472-14100 (31572)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Upavg 39.5¢	$7.92	$17	+$9.08	54% 10578-9036 (19614)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 59.5¢	$17.85	—	-$17.85	34% 18599-35593 (54192)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 18.1¢	$16.48	—	-$16.48	66% 111736-58065 (169801)
AtomforgeCTR<$100	Downavg 52.8¢	$20.24	—	-$20.24	65% 3944-2129 (6073)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 45¢	$8.18	$18.18	+$10	58% 37494-26736 (64230)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$1,102.22

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$69.65

Record

54%

15321-12840 (28161)

GoodFallen

Invested

$483.88

Value

$428.25

PnL

-$55.64

Record

56%

13584-10832 (24416)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$342.64

Value

$455.47

PnL

+$112.83

Record

56%

12303-9499 (21802)

ply-pm0

Invested

$387.28

Value

$390.63

PnL

+$3.35

Record

49%

5051-5218 (10269)

NIULAI4

Invested

$280.6

Value

$301.66

PnL

+$21.06

Record

77%

9313-2755 (12068)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$209.66

Value

$240.99

PnL

+$31.33

Record

57%

11844-8820 (20664)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$191.89

Value

$192.86

PnL

+$0.97

Record

60%

12031-7917 (19948)

spartacray

Invested

$141.32

Value

$190.27

PnL

+$48.94

Record

53%

26986-24032 (51018)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$117.14

Value

$170.21

PnL

+$53.08

Record

57%

70079-53264 (123343)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$133.06

Value

$108.04

PnL

-$25.02

Record

55%

7241-5930 (13171)

13897651CTR

Down

Invested

$115.99

Value

—

PnL

-$115.99

Record

59%

6579-4550 (11129)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$86.01

Value

$98.34

PnL

+$12.33

Record

65%

124499-66595 (191094)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Invested

$91.58

Value

$69

PnL

-$22.58

Record

64%

57804-32541 (90345)

Both legs:

Up$51.7875¢+$17.22

Down$39.817.9¢-$39.8

seeeeeeb

Invested

$126.8

Value

$269.78

PnL

+$142.98

Record

51%

681-658 (1339)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$72.51

Value

$75.48

PnL

+$2.97

Record

66%

124869-64274 (189143)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$61.03

Value

$78.03

PnL

+$17

Record

46%

37968-44693 (82661)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$54.78

Value

$55

PnL

+$0.22

Record

55%

8467-6906 (15373)

sir-upalot<$100

Invested

$48.49

Value

$58.99

PnL

+$10.5

Record

55%

23712-19172 (42884)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$38.86

Value

$46

PnL

+$7.14

Record

49%

77653-81002 (158655)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$19.3

Value

$20.47

PnL

+$1.17

Record

55%

17472-14100 (31572)

thesidehustle<$100

Invested

$7.92

Value

$17

PnL

+$9.08

Record

54%

10578-9036 (19614)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$17.85

Value

—

PnL

-$17.85

Record

34%

18599-35593 (54192)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$16.48

Value

—

PnL

-$16.48

Record

66%

111736-58065 (169801)

AtomforgeCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$20.24

Value

—

PnL

-$20.24

Record

65%

3944-2129 (6073)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$8.18

Value

$18.18

PnL

+$10

Record

58%

37494-26736 (64230)

Smart Money Signal

21 of 29 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xe05cf0fa...1e97da

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793246100

Traders in this Market

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $1.2K

+$69.65

GoodFallen

Up — $428.25

-$55.64

FairValueMachine

Up — $455.47

+$112.83

ply-pm0

Up — $390.63

+$3.35

NIULAI4

Up — $301.66

+$21.06

EZTRADENL2

Up — $240.99

+$31.33

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $192.86

+$0.97

spartacray

Up — $190.27

+$48.94

uninformedfloww

Up — $170.21

+$53.08

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $108.04

-$25.02

Trade on Polymarket