Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 65%
$1.8K
$81.12
Smart Money Signal
16 of 24 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.9¢ | $382.86 | $391 | +$8.14 | 93% 22818-1742 (24560) |
RO Rock.San | Downavg 99.9¢ | $258.55 | $258.81 | +$0.26 | 89% 11920-1414 (13334) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 75¢ | $239.68 | $217.23 | -$22.45 | 54% 15321-12840 (28161) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 81.7¢ | $152.87 | $160.27 | +$7.4 | 64% 57804-32541 (90345) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 81.9¢ | $162.75 | $164.08 | +$1.33 | 60% 12031-7917 (19948) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $131.27 | $270.92 | +$139.65 | 58% 37494-26736 (64230) |
GA gansinimen<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $88 | $100 | +$12 | 51% 16978-16539 (33517) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 86.5¢ | $57.17 | $50 | -$7.17 | 55% 8467-6906 (15373) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $44.31 | $52.06 | +$7.75 | 49% 5051-5218 (10269) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $32.47 | $39.99 | +$7.52 | 53% 26986-24032 (51018) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $38.85 | $30.83 | -$8.02 | 55% 7241-5930 (13171) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $34.41 | — | -$34.41 | 59% 6579-4550 (11129) |
49 0x49ba...d2f6<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $12.5 | $50 | +$37.5 | — |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.4¢ | $15.64 | — | -$15.64 | 57% 7662-5869 (13531) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $20.16 | $21.22 | +$1.06 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $19.64 | $24.25 | +$4.61 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.6¢ | $27.9 | — | -$27.9 | 56% 13584-10832 (24416) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 91.3¢ | $19.75 | $15 | -$4.75 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.9¢ | $6.98 | — | -$6.98 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.1¢ | $6.79 | — | -$6.79 | 46% 37968-44693 (82661) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $8.14 | — | -$8.14 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 51% 19870-19016 (38886) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.6¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $15.63 | $0.01 | +$2.3 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
Invested
$382.86
Value
$391
PnL
+$8.14
Record
93%
22818-1742 (24560)
Invested
$258.55
Value
$258.81
PnL
+$0.26
Record
89%
11920-1414 (13334)
Invested
$239.68
Value
$217.23
PnL
-$22.45
Record
54%
15321-12840 (28161)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$152.87
Value
$160.27
PnL
+$7.4
Record
64%
57804-32541 (90345)
Invested
$162.75
Value
$164.08
PnL
+$1.33
Record
60%
12031-7917 (19948)
Invested
$131.27
Value
$270.92
PnL
+$139.65
Record
58%
37494-26736 (64230)
Invested
$88
Value
$100
PnL
+$12
Record
51%
16978-16539 (33517)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$57.17
Value
$50
PnL
-$7.17
Record
55%
8467-6906 (15373)
Invested
$44.31
Value
$52.06
PnL
+$7.75
Record
49%
5051-5218 (10269)
Invested
$32.47
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$7.52
Record
53%
26986-24032 (51018)
Invested
$38.85
Value
$30.83
PnL
-$8.02
Record
55%
7241-5930 (13171)
Invested
$34.41
Value
—
PnL
-$34.41
Record
59%
6579-4550 (11129)
Invested
$12.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$37.5
Record
—
Invested
$15.64
Value
—
PnL
-$15.64
Record
57%
7662-5869 (13531)
Invested
$20.16
Value
$21.22
PnL
+$1.06
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
Invested
$19.64
Value
$24.25
PnL
+$4.61
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
Invested
$27.9
Value
—
PnL
-$27.9
Record
56%
13584-10832 (24416)
Invested
$19.75
Value
$15
PnL
-$4.75
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.98
Value
—
PnL
-$6.98
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.79
Value
—
PnL
-$6.79
Record
46%
37968-44693 (82661)
Invested
$8.14
Value
—
PnL
-$8.14
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
51%
19870-19016 (38886)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
Invested
$15.63
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$2.3
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $391
Rock.San
Down — $258.81
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $217.23
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $160.27
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $164.08
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $270.92
gansinimen
Down — $100
machinelearned
Down — $50
ply-pm0
Down — $52.06
spartacray
Down — $39.99