Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 90%
$15.1K
$561.16
Smart Money Signal
26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR arcsine-barrister | Down | $4.2K | $4.2K | +$2.41 | 56% 3627-2814 (6441) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30.01 | 74% 102203-36340 (138543) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.2¢ | $2.8K | $2.9K | +$51 | 93% 22775-1740 (24515) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 93.8¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$59.05 | 57% 7636-5856 (13492) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 97.7¢ | $680.21 | $696.29 | +$16.08 | 46% 37948-44658 (82606) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 92.5¢ | $542.53 | $552.8 | +$39.97 | 64% 57769-32502 (90271) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 97¢ | $516.06 | $532 | +$15.94 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 52.6¢ | $165.24 | $283.95 | +$118.71 | 58% 37465-26708 (64173) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 79¢ | $391.97 | $244.09 | -$133.14 | 54% 14395-12216 (26611) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 53.3¢ | $133.15 | $250 | +$116.85 | 34% 18574-35577 (54151) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 65.9¢ | $147.84 | $212.37 | +$64.52 | 54% 15270-12803 (28073) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 60.3¢ | $92.22 | $142 | +$49.78 | 56% 13561-10816 (24377) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 62.3¢ | $85.39 | $136.99 | +$51.6 | 55% 7219-5914 (13133) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 90¢ | $91 | $100 | +$9 | 51% 16971-16536 (33507) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 97¢ | $97 | $100 | +$3 | 57% 10193-7628 (17821) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 87.7¢ | $98.99 | $89.99 | -$9 | 49% 5030-5201 (10231) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $60 | $75 | +$15 | 55% 8447-6888 (15335) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $39.6 | $60.95 | +$21.35 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 97.5¢ | $52.49 | $53.86 | +$1.37 | 53% 26919-23984 (50903) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $50.18 | $62.08 | +$11.9 | 66% 124813-64240 (189053) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $44.84 | $54.45 | +$9.61 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $37.4 | $44 | +$6.6 | 60% 12015-7895 (19910) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 86.6¢ | $25.55 | $29.5 | +$3.95 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 53.8¢ | $25.7 | $47.78 | +$22.08 | 59% 6568-4537 (11105) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $11.1 | $10.63 | -$0.47 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
Invested
$4,189.52
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$2.41
Record
56%
3627-2814 (6441)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,970.89
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30.01
Record
74%
102203-36340 (138543)
Invested
$2,814
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$51
Record
93%
22775-1740 (24515)
Invested
$1,192.81
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$59.05
Record
57%
7636-5856 (13492)
pspspsps5Invested
$680.21
Value
$696.29
PnL
+$16.08
Record
46%
37948-44658 (82606)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$542.53
Value
$552.8
PnL
+$39.97
Record
64%
57769-32502 (90271)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$516.06
Value
$532
PnL
+$15.94
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
Invested
$165.24
Value
$283.95
PnL
+$118.71
Record
58%
37465-26708 (64173)
Invested
$391.97
Value
$244.09
PnL
-$133.14
Record
54%
14395-12216 (26611)
Invested
$133.15
Value
$250
PnL
+$116.85
Record
34%
18574-35577 (54151)
Invested
$147.84
Value
$212.37
PnL
+$64.52
Record
54%
15270-12803 (28073)
Invested
$92.22
Value
$142
PnL
+$49.78
Record
56%
13561-10816 (24377)
Invested
$85.39
Value
$136.99
PnL
+$51.6
Record
55%
7219-5914 (13133)
Invested
$91
Value
$100
PnL
+$9
Record
51%
16971-16536 (33507)
Invested
$97
Value
$100
PnL
+$3
Record
57%
10193-7628 (17821)
Invested
$98.99
Value
$89.99
PnL
-$9
Record
49%
5030-5201 (10231)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$60
Value
$75
PnL
+$15
Record
55%
8447-6888 (15335)
Invested
$39.6
Value
$60.95
PnL
+$21.35
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
Invested
$52.49
Value
$53.86
PnL
+$1.37
Record
53%
26919-23984 (50903)
Invested
$50.18
Value
$62.08
PnL
+$11.9
Record
66%
124813-64240 (189053)
Invested
$44.84
Value
$54.45
PnL
+$9.61
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
Invested
$37.4
Value
$44
PnL
+$6.6
Record
60%
12015-7895 (19910)
Invested
$25.55
Value
$29.5
PnL
+$3.95
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
Invested
$25.7
Value
$47.78
PnL
+$22.08
Record
59%
6568-4537 (11105)
Invested
$11.1
Value
$10.63
PnL
-$0.47
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
Down — $4.2K
BoneOhio
Down — $3.0K
hoodquant
Down — $2.9K
wzbbb
Down — $1.3K
pspspsps5
Down — $696.29
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $552.8
MayorMamdani
Down — $532
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $283.95
tmsd-test
Down — $244.09
Little-big
Down — $250