Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 83%
$4.3K
-$147.02
Smart Money Signal
20 of 25 top traders (80%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 95.7¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$28.71 | 57% 7625-5849 (13474) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Upavg 38.4¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 34% 91-173 (264) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.8¢ | $580.91 | $594 | +$13.09 | 93% 22744-1740 (24484) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 65.6¢ | $313.83 | $478.23 | +$164.4 | 48% 23100-25234 (48334) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 82.9¢ | $428.16 | $288.48 | -$35.22 | 54% 14387-12207 (26594) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 88.4¢ | $235.19 | $265.99 | +$30.8 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 76.2¢ | $150.81 | $198 | +$47.19 | 57% 11809-8802 (20611) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 75.8¢ | $134.4 | $160 | +$25.6 | 53% 26919-23984 (50903) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 86.6¢ | $128.71 | $146.28 | +$17.58 | 55% 7209-5906 (13115) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 82¢ | $138.09 | $129.76 | -$8.33 | 49% 5019-5194 (10213) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 60.1¢ | $113.38 | $188.78 | +$75.4 | 34% 18565-35570 (54135) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 76¢ | $76.22 | $100.28 | +$24.07 | 58% 60182-43943 (104125) |
 Bossgirl<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $39.27 | $51 | +$11.73 | 54% 4601-3920 (8521) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $37.43 | $25 | -$12.43 | 55% 8437-6880 (15317) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $38.3 | $45.85 | +$7.55 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $42.79 | — | -$42.79 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $24 | $30 | +$6 | 56% 13547-10813 (24360) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $29 | $31.87 | +$2.87 | 56% 57656-44547 (102203) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $21.6 | $30 | +$8.4 | 56% 12272-9476 (21748) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $24.41 | $28.69 | +$4.28 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $16.04 | — | -$16.04 | 62% 43621-26580 (70201) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93.1¢ | $18.63 | $19 | +$0.37 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $3.5 | $5 | +$1.5 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.74 | — | -$1.74 | 60% 12004-7889 (19893) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3626-2814 (6440) |
Invested
$1,407.13
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$28.71
Record
57%
7625-5849 (13474)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
34%
91-173 (264)
Invested
$580.91
Value
$594
PnL
+$13.09
Record
93%
22744-1740 (24484)
Invested
$313.83
Value
$478.23
PnL
+$164.4
Record
48%
23100-25234 (48334)
Invested
$428.16
Value
$288.48
PnL
-$35.22
Record
54%
14387-12207 (26594)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$235.19
Value
$265.99
PnL
+$30.8
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
Invested
$150.81
Value
$198
PnL
+$47.19
Record
57%
11809-8802 (20611)
Invested
$134.4
Value
$160
PnL
+$25.6
Record
53%
26919-23984 (50903)
Invested
$128.71
Value
$146.28
PnL
+$17.58
Record
55%
7209-5906 (13115)
Invested
$138.09
Value
$129.76
PnL
-$8.33
Record
49%
5019-5194 (10213)
Invested
$113.38
Value
$188.78
PnL
+$75.4
Record
34%
18565-35570 (54135)
Invested
$76.22
Value
$100.28
PnL
+$24.07
Record
58%
60182-43943 (104125)
Bossgirl<$100Invested
$39.27
Value
$51
PnL
+$11.73
Record
54%
4601-3920 (8521)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$37.43
Value
$25
PnL
-$12.43
Record
55%
8437-6880 (15317)
Invested
$38.3
Value
$45.85
PnL
+$7.55
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
Invested
$42.79
Value
—
PnL
-$42.79
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
Invested
$24
Value
$30
PnL
+$6
Record
56%
13547-10813 (24360)
Invested
$29
Value
$31.87
PnL
+$2.87
Record
56%
57656-44547 (102203)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$21.6
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.4
Record
56%
12272-9476 (21748)
Invested
$24.41
Value
$28.69
PnL
+$4.28
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$16.04
Value
—
PnL
-$16.04
Record
62%
43621-26580 (70201)
Invested
$18.63
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.37
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
Invested
$3.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.5
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$1.74
Value
—
PnL
-$1.74
Record
60%
12004-7889 (19893)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3626-2814 (6440)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $1.4K
Imgonnadoit
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $594
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down — $478.23
tmsd-test
Down — $288.48
MayorMamdani
Down — $265.99
EZTRADENL2
Down — $198
spartacray
Down — $160
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $146.28
ply-pm0
Down — $129.76