Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 56%
$3.0K
-$278.81
Smart Money Signal
14 of 26 top traders (54%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 56.9¢ | $683.92 | $870.14 | +$186.22 | 56% 13533-10808 (24341) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $629.03 | $552.79 | -$76.24 | 49% 5009-5185 (10194) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 36.5¢ | $356.73 | — | -$356.73 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 64.7¢ | $330.94 | $329.87 | -$1.07 | 56% 12260-9471 (21731) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 73.7¢ | $308.56 | $286.47 | -$20.79 | 55% 7197-5897 (13094) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 62¢ | $222.84 | $208 | -$14.84 | 57% 7613-5842 (13455) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 54.4¢ | $131.4 | $165 | +$33.6 | 55% 23669-19145 (42814) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $123.18 | $160.9 | +$37.72 | 57% 11799-8791 (20590) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 50.1¢ | $106.11 | $143.19 | +$37.08 | 60% 11995-7877 (19872) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 59.4¢ | $94.7 | $159.48 | +$64.78 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $49.5 | $99.18 | +$49.68 | 55% 8430-6868 (15298) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $80.22 | — | -$80.22 | 62% 43616-26566 (70182) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $68.5 | — | -$41.06 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $37.45 | — | -$37.45 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $29.81 | $24.85 | -$4.96 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $20.37 | $26.37 | +$6 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $21.12 | — | -$21.12 | 65% 3921-2112 (6033) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $15.68 | $16 | +$0.32 | 93% 22702-1736 (24438) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $13.23 | — | -$13.23 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $11.95 | — | -$11.95 | 59% 6540-4526 (11066) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.8¢ | $8.79 | — | -$8.79 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $5.93 | — | -$5.93 | 64% 39757-22720 (62477) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 50% 7697-7703 (15400) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 29.2¢ | $1.8 | $6.17 | +$4.37 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR | Upavg 76¢ | $121.2 | — | -$1.41 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
Invested
$683.92
Value
$870.14
PnL
+$186.22
Record
56%
13533-10808 (24341)
Invested
$629.03
Value
$552.79
PnL
-$76.24
Record
49%
5009-5185 (10194)
Invested
$356.73
Value
—
PnL
-$356.73
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
FairValueMachineInvested
$330.94
Value
$329.87
PnL
-$1.07
Record
56%
12260-9471 (21731)
Invested
$308.56
Value
$286.47
PnL
-$20.79
Record
55%
7197-5897 (13094)
Invested
$222.84
Value
$208
PnL
-$14.84
Record
57%
7613-5842 (13455)
Invested
$131.4
Value
$165
PnL
+$33.6
Record
55%
23669-19145 (42814)
Invested
$123.18
Value
$160.9
PnL
+$37.72
Record
57%
11799-8791 (20590)
Invested
$106.11
Value
$143.19
PnL
+$37.08
Record
60%
11995-7877 (19872)
pspspsps5Invested
$94.7
Value
$159.48
PnL
+$64.78
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$49.5
Value
$99.18
PnL
+$49.68
Record
55%
8430-6868 (15298)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$80.22
Value
—
PnL
-$80.22
Record
62%
43616-26566 (70182)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$68.5
Value
—
PnL
-$41.06
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$37.45
Value
—
PnL
-$37.45
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$29.81
Value
$24.85
PnL
-$4.96
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$20.37
Value
$26.37
PnL
+$6
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$21.12
Value
—
PnL
-$21.12
Record
65%
3921-2112 (6033)
Invested
$15.68
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.32
Record
93%
22702-1736 (24438)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.23
Value
—
PnL
-$13.23
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$11.95
Value
—
PnL
-$11.95
Record
59%
6540-4526 (11066)
Invested
$8.79
Value
—
PnL
-$8.79
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.93
Value
—
PnL
-$5.93
Record
64%
39757-22720 (62477)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
50%
7697-7703 (15400)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$6.17
PnL
+$4.37
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$121.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.41
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoodFallen
Down — $870.14
ply-pm0
Down — $552.79
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
FairValueMachine
Down — $329.87
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $286.47
wzbbb
Down — $208
sir-upalot
Down — $165
EZTRADENL2
Down — $160.9
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $143.19
pspspsps5
Down — $159.48