Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
29
Up 73%
$3.0K
$-2.6K
Smart Money Signal
22 of 29 top traders (76%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 81.7¢ | $1.6K | $1.7K | +$122.36 | 57% 7613-5842 (13455) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 61¢ | $605.64 | — | -$605.64 | 56% 13533-10808 (24341) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 81.2¢ | $576.56 | — | -$576.56 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 50¢ | $263.77 | $522 | +$258.23 | 77% 9298-2742 (12040) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 45.1¢ | $358.61 | $480.8 | +$122.18 | 56% 12260-9471 (21731) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 63.7¢ | $494.89 | — | -$494.89 | 49% 5009-5185 (10194) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Upavg 62.5¢ | $313.69 | — | -$313.04 | 55% 7197-5897 (13094) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Upavg 72¢ | $240.09 | — | -$240.09 | 57% 11799-8791 (20590) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR | Upavg 65.4¢ | $192.71 | — | -$192.71 | 60% 11995-7877 (19872) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 81¢ | $255.42 | — | -$255.42 | 55% 8430-6868 (15298) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 51.8¢ | $125.08 | — | -$125.08 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Upavg 80.7¢ | $114.87 | — | -$114.87 | 55% 50080-40707 (90787) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 42.8¢ | $34.2 | $79.76 | +$45.56 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $87.56 | $68.1 | -$19.46 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $57 | $60 | +$3 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $53.07 | — | -$53.07 | 59% 6540-4526 (11066) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $68.1 | — | -$68.1 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
SI sir-upalotCTR | Upavg 64.7¢ | $119.8 | — | -$119.8 | 55% 23669-19145 (42814) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 45.8¢ | $28.39 | $62 | +$33.61 | 58% 50817-36958 (87775) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 87.6¢ | $35.05 | — | -$35.05 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $20.64 | — | -$20.64 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $25.29 | — | -$25.29 | 62% 43616-26566 (70182) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $20.5 | — | -$20.5 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 65% 3921-2112 (6033) |
Invested
$1,569.64
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$122.36
Record
57%
7613-5842 (13455)
Invested
$605.64
Value
—
PnL
-$605.64
Record
56%
13533-10808 (24341)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$576.56
Value
—
PnL
-$576.56
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
NIULAI4Invested
$263.77
Value
$522
PnL
+$258.23
Record
77%
9298-2742 (12040)
FairValueMachineInvested
$358.61
Value
$480.8
PnL
+$122.18
Record
56%
12260-9471 (21731)
Invested
$494.89
Value
—
PnL
-$494.89
Record
49%
5009-5185 (10194)
Invested
$313.69
Value
—
PnL
-$313.04
Record
55%
7197-5897 (13094)
Invested
$240.09
Value
—
PnL
-$240.09
Record
57%
11799-8791 (20590)
Invested
$192.71
Value
—
PnL
-$192.71
Record
60%
11995-7877 (19872)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$255.42
Value
—
PnL
-$255.42
Record
55%
8430-6868 (15298)
Invested
$125.08
Value
—
PnL
-$125.08
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$114.87
Value
—
PnL
-$114.87
Record
55%
50080-40707 (90787)
Invested
$34.2
Value
$79.76
PnL
+$45.56
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$87.56
Value
$68.1
PnL
-$19.46
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$57
Value
$60
PnL
+$3
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
Invested
$53.07
Value
—
PnL
-$53.07
Record
59%
6540-4526 (11066)
Invested
$68.1
Value
—
PnL
-$68.1
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$119.8
Value
—
PnL
-$119.8
Record
55%
23669-19145 (42814)
Invested
$28.39
Value
$62
PnL
+$33.61
Record
58%
50817-36958 (87775)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$35.05
Value
—
PnL
-$35.05
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$20.64
Value
—
PnL
-$20.64
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$25.29
Value
—
PnL
-$25.29
Record
62%
43616-26566 (70182)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$20.5
Value
—
PnL
-$20.5
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
65%
3921-2112 (6033)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $1.7K
GoodFallen
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
NIULAI4
Down — $522
FairValueMachine
Down — $480.8
ply-pm0
CTRUp — $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
CTRUp — $0
EZTRADENL2
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
CTRUp — $0