PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

28

Down 72%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.7K

Combined PnL

$33.14

Smart Money Signal

Down

21 of 28 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down21 traders
Total Value$7.2K
Total Shares7,212
Combined PnL+$531.95
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,427
Combined PnL-$498.81
Down — 75%Up — 25%
0X
0x50f7
Down

Invested

$3,016.71

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$8.7

Record

59%

62012-43078 (105090)

WZ
wzbbb
Down

Invested

$2,046.63

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$48.36

Record

57%

7613-5842 (13455)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$963.96

Value

$973.7

PnL

+$9.74

Record

93%

22702-1736 (24438)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$326.96

Value

$454.71

PnL

+$127.75

Record

58%

37423-26662 (64085)

Both legs:

Down$233.6551.4¢+$221.06
Up$93.3143¢-$93.31
PB
PBot-6CTR
Up

Invested

$274.29

Value

—

PnL

-$274.29

Record

58%

50817-36958 (87775)

PL
ply-pm0
Down

Invested

$198.2

Value

$188

PnL

-$10.2

Record

49%

5009-5185 (10194)

TH
thesidehustle
Down

Invested

$179.87

Value

$180

PnL

+$0.13

Record

54%

10483-8946 (19429)

GO
GoodFallen
Down

Invested

$129.11

Value

$184.04

PnL

+$54.93

Record

56%

13533-10808 (24341)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR
Up

Invested

$132

Value

—

PnL

-$132

Record

48%

23092-25227 (48319)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down

Invested

$133.88

Value

$163.2

PnL

+$29.31

Record

55%

7197-5897 (13094)

FairValueMachine<$100
Down

Invested

$62.05

Value

$95

PnL

+$32.95

Record

56%

12260-9471 (21731)

SI
sir-upalot<$100
Down

Invested

$57.36

Value

$70.21

PnL

+$12.85

Record

55%

23669-19145 (42814)

machinelearned<$100
Down

Invested

$48.45

Value

$50

PnL

+$1.55

Record

55%

8430-6868 (15298)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$51.2

Value

—

PnL

-$51.2

Record

59%

6540-4526 (11066)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100
Down

Invested

$53.21

Value

$47.77

PnL

-$5.44

Record

60%

11995-7877 (19872)

EZ
EZTRADENL2<$100
Down

Invested

$47.57

Value

$59.14

PnL

+$11.57

Record

57%

11799-8791 (20590)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$26.19

Value

$25

PnL

-$1.19

Record

66%

124717-64207 (188924)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$16.39

Value

$24.1

PnL

+$7.71

Record

65%

124383-66536 (190919)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$14.07

Value

$21

PnL

+$6.93

Record

55%

44215-36703 (80918)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$14.04

Value

$12

PnL

-$2.04

Record

52%

89516-83965 (173481)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$11.79

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.77

Record

61%

94062-59155 (153217)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.35

Value

—

PnL

-$5.35

Record

34%

18548-35564 (54112)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$4.94

Value

$6.25

PnL

+$1.31

Record

66%

111604-57865 (169469)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$28.8

Value

—

PnL

-$28.8

Record

64%

57632-32369 (90001)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.18

Value

—

PnL

-$4.18

Record

46%

37929-44598 (82527)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb567c390...e6f281
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793226900

Traders in this Market

0X

0x50f7

Down — $3.0K

-$8.7
WZ

wzbbb

Down — $2.1K

+$48.36
HO

hoodquant

Down — $973.7

+$9.74
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$127.75
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Up — $0

-$274.29
PL

ply-pm0

Down — $188

-$10.2
TH

thesidehustle

Down — $180

+$0.13
GO

GoodFallen

Down — $184.04

+$54.93
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Up — $0

-$132
0X

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $163.2

+$29.31
Trade on Polymarket