Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 81%
$5.8K
-$539.64
Smart Money Signal
17 of 22 top traders (77%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 97.5¢ | $2.7K | $2.8K | +$52.57 | 57% 7613-5842 (13455) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.08 | 93% 22702-1736 (24438) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Upavg 28.5¢ | $875 | — | -$875 | 34% 91-173 (264) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 91.1¢ | $325.8 | $357.48 | +$31.68 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 86¢ | $260.44 | $300 | +$39.56 | 55% 8430-6868 (15298) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 96.4¢ | $193.89 | $201.04 | +$7.15 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 81¢ | $174.6 | $180 | +$5.4 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 91.4¢ | $137.35 | $137.34 | -$0.01 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 51¢ | $94.35 | $184.99 | +$90.65 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 56.3¢ | $87.31 | $155.13 | +$67.82 | 59% 6540-4526 (11066) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $60.77 | $79.66 | +$18.89 | 56% 13533-10808 (24341) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $32.26 | — | -$32.26 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $57.29 | $67.34 | +$10.04 | 55% 7197-5897 (13094) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $53.44 | $60.35 | +$6.91 | 60% 11995-7877 (19872) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $53.37 | $66.67 | +$13.3 | 49% 5009-5185 (10194) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $36.55 | $42.42 | +$5.87 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 87.5¢ | $34.01 | $38.89 | +$4.88 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88.4¢ | $17.82 | $20.15 | +$2.33 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $6.57 | $9 | +$2.43 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $4.6 | — | -$2.76 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 55% 23669-19145 (42814) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3625-2814 (6439) |
Invested
$2,720.37
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$52.57
Record
57%
7613-5842 (13455)
Invested
$1,074.92
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.08
Record
93%
22702-1736 (24438)
Invested
$875
Value
—
PnL
-$875
Record
34%
91-173 (264)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$325.8
Value
$357.48
PnL
+$31.68
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
machinelearnedInvested
$260.44
Value
$300
PnL
+$39.56
Record
55%
8430-6868 (15298)
pspspsps5Invested
$193.89
Value
$201.04
PnL
+$7.15
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
Invested
$174.6
Value
$180
PnL
+$5.4
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$137.35
Value
$137.34
PnL
-$0.01
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$94.35
Value
$184.99
PnL
+$90.65
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$87.31
Value
$155.13
PnL
+$67.82
Record
59%
6540-4526 (11066)
Invested
$60.77
Value
$79.66
PnL
+$18.89
Record
56%
13533-10808 (24341)
Invested
$32.26
Value
—
PnL
-$32.26
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
Invested
$57.29
Value
$67.34
PnL
+$10.04
Record
55%
7197-5897 (13094)
Invested
$53.44
Value
$60.35
PnL
+$6.91
Record
60%
11995-7877 (19872)
Invested
$53.37
Value
$66.67
PnL
+$13.3
Record
49%
5009-5185 (10194)
Invested
$36.55
Value
$42.42
PnL
+$5.87
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$34.01
Value
$38.89
PnL
+$4.88
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$17.82
Value
$20.15
PnL
+$2.33
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$6.57
Value
$9
PnL
+$2.43
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
55%
23669-19145 (42814)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3625-2814 (6439)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $2.8K
hoodquant
Down — $1.1K
Imgonnadoit
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $357.48
machinelearned
Down — $300
pspspsps5
Down — $201.04
thesidehustle
Down — $180
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $137.34
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $184.99
13897651
Down — $155.13