Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 59%
2 arb excluded
$2.4K
$1.2K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 29 top traders (55%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 46.3¢ | $318.6 | $466.64 | +$148.03 | 56% 13533-10808 (24341) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 57.6¢ | $334.6 | $321.81 | -$12.79 | 49% 5009-5185 (10194) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 81.2¢ | $247.36 | $271.79 | +$24.43 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 40.3¢ | $154.93 | $250.33 | +$95.39 | 56% 12260-9471 (21731) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 74.9¢ | $179.47 | $190.18 | +$10.71 | 60% 11995-7877 (19872) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 63¢ | $183.35 | $178.37 | -$4.99 | 57% 7613-5842 (13455) |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $115.58 | $101.41 | -$14.17 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 32.4¢ | $32.83 | $101.41 | +$68.58 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 23¢ | $82.75 | — | -$82.75 | |
 ohioism | Upavg 90¢ | $122.37 | $135.97 | +$13.6 | 64% 39757-22720 (62477) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $44.28 | $70.48 | +$26.2 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100 | Upavg 42.9¢ | $67.15 | $131.1 | +$63.95 | 57% 11799-8791 (20590) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 42.9¢ | $56.21 | $131.1 | +$74.89 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.8¢ | $10.94 | — | -$10.94 | |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $90.46 | — | -$90.46 | 55% 7197-5897 (13094) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $37.28 | $60.09 | +$22.81 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $39.81 | — | -$39.81 | 59% 6540-4526 (11066) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.9¢ | $23.57 | — | -$23.57 | 34% 18548-35564 (54112) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 97.6¢ | $45.3 | $33.24 | -$12.06 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $26.4 | $60 | +$33.6 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $51.21 | — | -$51.21 | 55% 8430-6868 (15298) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 25.4¢ | $18.32 | $72.18 | +$53.85 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86.4¢ | $28.53 | $17.8 | +$4.34 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $13.6 | $27.76 | +$14.16 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $38.15 | — | -$38.15 | 58% 60164-43933 (104097) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $34.08 | — | -$34.08 | 56% 57642-44528 (102170) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $10.06 | — | -$10.06 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.4¢ | $31.94 | — | -$31.94 | 59% 62012-43078 (105090) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.1¢ | $10.46 | — | -$10.46 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
Invested
$318.6
Value
$466.64
PnL
+$148.03
Record
56%
13533-10808 (24341)
Invested
$334.6
Value
$321.81
PnL
-$12.79
Record
49%
5009-5185 (10194)
Invested
$247.36
Value
$271.79
PnL
+$24.43
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
FairValueMachineInvested
$154.93
Value
$250.33
PnL
+$95.39
Record
56%
12260-9471 (21731)
Invested
$179.47
Value
$190.18
PnL
+$10.71
Record
60%
11995-7877 (19872)
Invested
$183.35
Value
$178.37
PnL
-$4.99
Record
57%
7613-5842 (13455)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$115.58
Value
$101.41
PnL
-$14.17
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Both legs:
ohioismInvested
$122.37
Value
$135.97
PnL
+$13.6
Record
64%
39757-22720 (62477)
Invested
$44.28
Value
$70.48
PnL
+$26.2
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
Invested
$67.15
Value
$131.1
PnL
+$63.95
Record
57%
11799-8791 (20590)
Both legs:
Invested
$90.46
Value
—
PnL
-$90.46
Record
55%
7197-5897 (13094)
Invested
$37.28
Value
$60.09
PnL
+$22.81
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
Invested
$39.81
Value
—
PnL
-$39.81
Record
59%
6540-4526 (11066)
Invested
$23.57
Value
—
PnL
-$23.57
Record
34%
18548-35564 (54112)
Invested
$45.3
Value
$33.24
PnL
-$12.06
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$33.6
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$51.21
Value
—
PnL
-$51.21
Record
55%
8430-6868 (15298)
Invested
$18.32
Value
$72.18
PnL
+$53.85
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$28.53
Value
$17.8
PnL
+$4.34
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$27.76
PnL
+$14.16
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
Invested
$38.15
Value
—
PnL
-$38.15
Record
58%
60164-43933 (104097)
Invested
$34.08
Value
—
PnL
-$34.08
Record
56%
57642-44528 (102170)
Invested
$10.06
Value
—
PnL
-$10.06
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$31.94
Value
—
PnL
-$31.94
Record
59%
62012-43078 (105090)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$10.46
Value
—
PnL
-$10.46
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoodFallen
Up — $466.64
ply-pm0
Up — $321.81
thesidehustle
Up — $271.79
FairValueMachine
Up — $250.33
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $190.18
wzbbb
Up — $178.37
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
Up — $135.97
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $70.48
EZTRADENL2
ARBArbitrage — excluded