Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Up 82%
$4.0K
-$424.44
Smart Money Signal
28 of 34 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 74.2¢ | $610.34 | $626.04 | +$15.71 | 56% 14167-11114 (25281) |
TE TelawinCTR | Downavg 44¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 51% 339-327 (666) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 62.4¢ | $275.75 | $425 | +$149.25 | 55% 8430-6868 (15298) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 63.4¢ | $312.04 | $352.3 | +$40.26 | 56% 13533-10808 (24341) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 49.3¢ | $329.5 | — | -$329.5 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 30¢ | $375 | — | -$375 | 34% 91-173 (264) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 63.9¢ | $187.83 | $234.99 | +$47.16 | 56% 12260-9471 (21731) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 73.6¢ | $182.16 | $207.14 | +$24.98 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $172.03 | $210.98 | +$38.95 | 57% 11799-8791 (20590) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 61¢ | $135.47 | $180 | +$44.53 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 74.2¢ | $178.52 | $185.28 | +$6.76 | 49% 5009-5185 (10194) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 72.4¢ | $130.7 | $170.33 | +$39.63 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 50.7¢ | $139.3 | $274.84 | +$135.54 | 34% 18548-35564 (54112) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 63.9¢ | $127.6 | $194.16 | +$66.57 | 59% 22905-16085 (38990) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 71.8¢ | $95.29 | $117.65 | +$22.36 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $93.93 | $96.84 | +$2.91 | 93% 22702-1736 (24438) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $81.45 | $83.15 | +$1.7 | 55% 7197-5897 (13094) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $50.35 | $66.73 | +$16.37 | 60% 11995-7877 (19872) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $61.78 | $121.78 | +$60 | 59% 6540-4526 (11066) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 74.7¢ | $58.34 | $59.99 | +$1.65 | 57% 7613-5842 (13455) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 60¢ | $60.17 | $100.29 | +$40.12 | 56% 57642-44528 (102170) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 97.7¢ | $58.31 | $59.66 | +$1.35 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $51 | $62.96 | +$11.96 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 73.7¢ | $38.68 | $52.49 | +$13.81 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $42.82 | $41.21 | +$13.38 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
Invested
$610.34
Value
$626.04
PnL
+$15.71
Record
56%
14167-11114 (25281)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
51%
339-327 (666)
machinelearnedInvested
$275.75
Value
$425
PnL
+$149.25
Record
55%
8430-6868 (15298)
Invested
$312.04
Value
$352.3
PnL
+$40.26
Record
56%
13533-10808 (24341)
Invested
$329.5
Value
—
PnL
-$329.5
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$375
Value
—
PnL
-$375
Record
34%
91-173 (264)
FairValueMachineInvested
$187.83
Value
$234.99
PnL
+$47.16
Record
56%
12260-9471 (21731)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$182.16
Value
$207.14
PnL
+$24.98
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$172.03
Value
$210.98
PnL
+$38.95
Record
57%
11799-8791 (20590)
Invested
$135.47
Value
$180
PnL
+$44.53
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$178.52
Value
$185.28
PnL
+$6.76
Record
49%
5009-5185 (10194)
Invested
$130.7
Value
$170.33
PnL
+$39.63
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
Invested
$139.3
Value
$274.84
PnL
+$135.54
Record
34%
18548-35564 (54112)
Invested
$127.6
Value
$194.16
PnL
+$66.57
Record
59%
22905-16085 (38990)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$95.29
Value
$117.65
PnL
+$22.36
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$93.93
Value
$96.84
PnL
+$2.91
Record
93%
22702-1736 (24438)
Invested
$81.45
Value
$83.15
PnL
+$1.7
Record
55%
7197-5897 (13094)
Invested
$50.35
Value
$66.73
PnL
+$16.37
Record
60%
11995-7877 (19872)
Invested
$61.78
Value
$121.78
PnL
+$60
Record
59%
6540-4526 (11066)
Invested
$58.34
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$1.65
Record
57%
7613-5842 (13455)
Invested
$60.17
Value
$100.29
PnL
+$40.12
Record
56%
57642-44528 (102170)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$58.31
Value
$59.66
PnL
+$1.35
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
Invested
$51
Value
$62.96
PnL
+$11.96
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
Invested
$38.68
Value
$52.49
PnL
+$13.81
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$42.82
Value
$41.21
PnL
+$13.38
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $626.04
Telawin
CTRDown — $0
machinelearned
Up — $425
GoodFallen
Up — $352.3
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
FairValueMachine
Up — $234.99
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $207.14
EZTRADENL2
Up — $210.98
thesidehustle
Up — $180