Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 89%
$5.7K
$401.22
Smart Money Signal
25 of 29 top traders (86%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $2.3K | $2.3K | +$22.79 | 56% 29258-23027 (52285) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 77¢ | $556.05 | $627.74 | +$71.69 | 56% 14167-11114 (25281) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 79¢ | $319.91 | $375.51 | +$55.59 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 73.7¢ | $257.91 | $339.18 | +$81.26 | 57% 11799-8791 (20590) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $208.19 | $223.75 | +$15.57 | 49% 5009-5185 (10194) |
![]() ohioism | Upavg 74.2¢ | $192.15 | $258.96 | +$66.81 | 64% 39757-22720 (62477) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 77.6¢ | $210.55 | $149.32 | -$61.23 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 75.6¢ | $159.12 | $162.63 | +$3.51 | 56% 13533-10808 (24341) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 81.8¢ | $131.67 | $139.5 | +$7.83 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 61.5¢ | $145.08 | $236 | +$90.92 | 59% 6540-4526 (11066) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 73.8¢ | $86.7 | $109.74 | +$23.04 | 60% 11995-7877 (19872) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $93 | $97.91 | +$4.91 | 55% 7197-5897 (13094) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 82.9¢ | $75.67 | $91.28 | +$15.61 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 90.9¢ | $80.06 | $82.76 | +$2.7 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95.1¢ | $78 | $74 | -$4 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.6¢ | $82.97 | $59.8 | -$1.09 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 73¢ | $73.21 | $100.29 | +$27.08 | 56% 57642-44528 (102170) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $46.8 | $60 | +$13.2 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 67.9¢ | $28.16 | $40.8 | +$12.64 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
![]() machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $40.97 | $25 | -$15.97 | 55% 8430-6868 (15298) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $42.85 | $65 | +$22.15 | 57% 10169-7617 (17786) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91.7¢ | $26.68 | $29.1 | +$2.42 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $24.48 | $34.48 | +$10 | 59% 22905-16085 (38990) |
![]() FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $26 | — | -$26 | 56% 12260-9471 (21731) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.8¢ | $42.9 | — | -$42.9 | 57% 7613-5842 (13455) |
Invested
$2,256.02
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$22.79
Record
56%
29258-23027 (52285)
Invested
$556.05
Value
$627.74
PnL
+$71.69
Record
56%
14167-11114 (25281)
Invested
$319.91
Value
$375.51
PnL
+$55.59
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$257.91
Value
$339.18
PnL
+$81.26
Record
57%
11799-8791 (20590)
Invested
$208.19
Value
$223.75
PnL
+$15.57
Record
49%
5009-5185 (10194)
ohioismInvested
$192.15
Value
$258.96
PnL
+$66.81
Record
64%
39757-22720 (62477)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$210.55
Value
$149.32
PnL
-$61.23
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$159.12
Value
$162.63
PnL
+$3.51
Record
56%
13533-10808 (24341)
Invested
$131.67
Value
$139.5
PnL
+$7.83
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
Invested
$145.08
Value
$236
PnL
+$90.92
Record
59%
6540-4526 (11066)
Invested
$86.7
Value
$109.74
PnL
+$23.04
Record
60%
11995-7877 (19872)
Invested
$93
Value
$97.91
PnL
+$4.91
Record
55%
7197-5897 (13094)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$75.67
Value
$91.28
PnL
+$15.61
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$80.06
Value
$82.76
PnL
+$2.7
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$78
Value
$74
PnL
-$4
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$82.97
Value
$59.8
PnL
-$1.09
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$73.21
Value
$100.29
PnL
+$27.08
Record
56%
57642-44528 (102170)
Invested
$46.8
Value
$60
PnL
+$13.2
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$28.16
Value
$40.8
PnL
+$12.64
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$40.97
Value
$25
PnL
-$15.97
Record
55%
8430-6868 (15298)
Invested
$42.85
Value
$65
PnL
+$22.15
Record
57%
10169-7617 (17786)
Invested
$26.68
Value
$29.1
PnL
+$2.42
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$24.48
Value
$34.48
PnL
+$10
Record
59%
22905-16085 (38990)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$26
Value
—
PnL
-$26
Record
56%
12260-9471 (21731)
Invested
$42.9
Value
—
PnL
-$42.9
Record
57%
7613-5842 (13455)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up — $2.3K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $627.74
thesidehustle
Up — $375.51
EZTRADENL2
Up — $339.18
ply-pm0
Up — $223.75

ohioism
Up — $258.96

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $149.32
GoodFallen
Up — $162.63
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $139.5
13897651
Up — $236