Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 77%

8 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.9K

Combined PnL

$184.91

Smart Money Signal

17 of 23 top traders (74%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up17 traders

Total Value$3.5K

Total Shares3,515

Combined PnL+$482.63

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares680

Combined PnL-$297.71

Up — 74%Down — 26%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 93.2¢	$906.15	$913.53	+$7.38	57% 7604-5835 (13439)
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100	Upavg 76.9¢	$756.04	$711.44	-$44.6	56% 14155-11105 (25260)
└ Up leg	Upavg 76.9¢	$547.43	$711.44	+$164.01
└ Down leg	Downavg 31.3¢	$208.61	—	-$208.61
TM tmsd-test	Upavg 66.9¢	$858.97	$799.52	+$147.84	54% 14363-12179 (26542)
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Upavg 62.4¢	$360.47	$403.28	+$42.82	56% 13527-10798 (24325)
└ Up leg	Upavg 62.4¢	$251.67	$403.28	+$151.62
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.9¢	$108.8	—	-$108.8
machinelearned	Upavg 82.3¢	$302.47	$355	+$52.53	55% 8420-6860 (15280)
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 71.9¢	$236.5	$257.59	+$21.09	49% 4998-5180 (10178)
└ Up leg	Upavg 71.9¢	$185.19	$257.59	+$72.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 23.5¢	$51.31	—	-$51.31
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Upavg 78¢	$295.76	$283.45	-$12.31	57% 11790-8783 (20573)
└ Up leg	Upavg 78¢	$221.08	$283.45	+$62.37
└ Down leg	Downavg 43.3¢	$74.68	—	-$74.68
TH thesidehustleARB<$100	Upavg 77.4¢	$236.91	$237.84	+$0.93	54% 10483-8946 (19429)
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.4¢	$184.11	$237.84	+$53.73
└ Down leg	Downavg 22¢	$52.8	—	-$52.8
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 48.9¢	$214.48	—	-$214.48	58% 37406-26644 (64050)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 66.5¢	$211.02	$264.27	+$53.25	56% 12251-9464 (21715)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 58.6¢	$197.18	$243.05	+$45.87	64% 57631-32367 (89998)
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.6¢	$142.52	$243.05	+$100.53
└ Down leg	Downavg 36.8¢	$54.67	—	-$54.67
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100	Upavg 82.1¢	$185.28	$143.15	-$42.13	55% 7185-5891 (13076)
└ Up leg	Upavg 82.1¢	$117.57	$143.15	+$25.58
└ Down leg	Downavg 30.3¢	$67.71	—	-$67.71
13 13897651	Upavg 50.5¢	$165.03	$171.16	+$6.13	59% 6529-4520 (11049)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 76.8¢	$150.11	$192.64	+$42.53	60% 11985-7869 (19854)
NIULAI4	Upavg 80¢	$151.2	$189	+$37.8	77% 9292-2740 (12032)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 65¢	$98.06	$150.8	+$52.75	56% 57617-44504 (102121)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 88¢	$88	$100	+$12	51% 16948-16526 (33474)
SI sir-upalot	Upavg 72.3¢	$74	$102.32	+$28.32	55% 23661-19135 (42796)
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100	Upavg 66.1¢	$46.15	$65	+$18.85	57% 10156-7610 (17766)
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.1¢	$42.95	$65	+$22.05
└ Down leg	Downavg 5¢	$3.2	—	-$3.2
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 80.1¢	$56.4	$70.37	+$13.97	66% 124678-64187 (188865)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 89.9¢	$60.76	$67.56	+$6.8	61% 94030-59124 (153154)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 79¢	$47.4	$60	+$12.6	65% 124345-66513 (190858)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$27.61	—	-$27.61	34% 18536-35559 (54095)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 10.7¢	$7.68	—	-$7.68	46% 37909-44573 (82482)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 80¢	$24	$30	+$6	65% 21845-12018 (33863)

wzbbb

Invested

$906.15

Value

$913.53

PnL

+$7.38

Record

57%

7604-5835 (13439)

CrouchPredictionsARB<$100

Invested

$756.04

Value

$711.44

PnL

-$44.6

Record

56%

14155-11105 (25260)

Both legs:

Up$547.4376.9¢+$164.01

Down$208.6131.3¢-$208.61

tmsd-test

Invested

$858.97

Value

$799.52

PnL

+$147.84

Record

54%

14363-12179 (26542)

GoodFallenARB<$100

Invested

$360.47

Value

$403.28

PnL

+$42.82

Record

56%

13527-10798 (24325)

Both legs:

Up$251.6762.4¢+$151.62

Down$108.829.9¢-$108.8

machinelearned

Invested

$302.47

Value

$355

PnL

+$52.53

Record

55%

8420-6860 (15280)

ply-pm0ARB<$100

Invested

$236.5

Value

$257.59

PnL

+$21.09

Record

49%

4998-5180 (10178)

Both legs:

Up$185.1971.9¢+$72.4

Down$51.3123.5¢-$51.31

EZTRADENL2ARB<$100

Invested

$295.76

Value

$283.45

PnL

-$12.31

Record

57%

11790-8783 (20573)

Both legs:

Up$221.0878¢+$62.37

Down$74.6843.3¢-$74.68

thesidehustleARB<$100

Invested

$236.91

Value

$237.84

PnL

+$0.93

Record

54%

10483-8946 (19429)

Both legs:

Up$184.1177.4¢+$53.73

Down$52.822¢-$52.8

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$214.48

Value

—

PnL

-$214.48

Record

58%

37406-26644 (64050)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$211.02

Value

$264.27

PnL

+$53.25

Record

56%

12251-9464 (21715)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Invested

$197.18

Value

$243.05

PnL

+$45.87

Record

64%

57631-32367 (89998)

Both legs:

Up$142.5258.6¢+$100.53

Down$54.6736.8¢-$54.67

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100

Invested

$185.28

Value

$143.15

PnL

-$42.13

Record

55%

7185-5891 (13076)

Both legs:

Up$117.5782.1¢+$25.58

Down$67.7130.3¢-$67.71

13897651

Invested

$165.03

Value

$171.16

PnL

+$6.13

Record

59%

6529-4520 (11049)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$150.11

Value

$192.64

PnL

+$42.53

Record

60%

11985-7869 (19854)

NIULAI4

Invested

$151.2

Value

$189

PnL

+$37.8

Record

77%

9292-2740 (12032)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$98.06

Value

$150.8

PnL

+$52.75

Record

56%

57617-44504 (102121)

gansinimen

Invested

$88

Value

$100

PnL

+$12

Record

51%

16948-16526 (33474)

sir-upalot

Invested

$74

Value

$102.32

PnL

+$28.32

Record

55%

23661-19135 (42796)

trdyugiolkwARB<$100

Invested

$46.15

Value

$65

PnL

+$18.85

Record

57%

10156-7610 (17766)

Both legs:

Up$42.9566.1¢+$22.05

Down$3.25¢-$3.2

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$56.4

Value

$70.37

PnL

+$13.97

Record

66%

124678-64187 (188865)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$60.76

Value

$67.56

PnL

+$6.8

Record

61%

94030-59124 (153154)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$47.4

Value

$60

PnL

+$12.6

Record

65%

124345-66513 (190858)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$27.61

Value

—

PnL

-$27.61

Record

34%

18536-35559 (54095)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$7.68

Value

—

PnL

-$7.68

Record

46%

37909-44573 (82482)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$24

Value

$30

PnL

+$6

Record

65%

21845-12018 (33863)

Smart Money Signal

17 of 23 top traders (74%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xc97cf5a8...44fe00

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793222100

Traders in this Market

wzbbb

Up — $913.53

+$7.38

CrouchPredictions

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$44.6

tmsd-test

Up — $799.52

+$147.84

GoodFallen

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$42.82

machinelearned

Up — $355

ply-pm0

Arbitrage — excluded

EZTRADENL2

Arbitrage — excluded

thesidehustle

Arbitrage — excluded

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$214.48

FairValueMachine

Up — $264.27

+$53.25

Trade on Polymarket