Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 66%
$6.6K
$423.64
Smart Money Signal
19 of 30 top traders (63%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $2.4K | $2.4K | +$2.41 | 59% 62001-43068 (105069) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $896.99 | $1.8K | +$858.19 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 82.2¢ | $486.67 | $532.45 | +$45.78 | 57% 7604-5835 (13439) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 82.1¢ | $289.75 | $292.03 | +$3.68 | 60% 11985-7869 (19854) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Upavg 24.7¢ | $591.64 | — | -$267.66 | 54% 14363-12179 (26542) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 70.9¢ | $242.53 | $271.63 | +$29.09 | 56% 13527-10798 (24325) |
SE seeeeeeb | Downavg 89¢ | $240.3 | $270 | +$29.7 | 51% 668-653 (1321) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Upavg 52.5¢ | $155.09 | — | -$155.09 | 58% 50806-36950 (87756) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 57.7¢ | $74.34 | $127.1 | +$52.76 | 51% 16948-16526 (33474) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 46.9¢ | $116.08 | $247.36 | +$131.28 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 57.3¢ | $96.49 | $106.36 | +$9.87 | 59% 6529-4520 (11049) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $94.91 | $97.85 | +$2.94 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 82.2¢ | $98.32 | $112.77 | +$14.45 | 55% 7185-5891 (13076) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.2¢ | $11.3 | — | -$11.3 | 46% 37909-44573 (82482) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $86.83 | $89.99 | +$3.17 | 56% 12251-9464 (21715) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.3¢ | $77.23 | — | -$77.23 | 57% 11790-8783 (20573) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 48% 23081-25212 (48293) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $54.54 | $50 | -$4.54 | 55% 8420-6860 (15280) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 65.1¢ | $48.71 | $51.27 | +$2.56 | 49% 4998-5180 (10178) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $46.05 | $40.47 | -$5.58 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $35 | $50 | +$15 | 55% 23661-19135 (42796) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $21.15 | $20.23 | -$0.92 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $20.32 | $28.43 | +$8.11 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $52.6 | — | -$19.93 | 65% 124345-66513 (190858) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $10.94 | $8 | -$2.94 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
Invested
$2,406.97
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$2.41
Record
59%
62001-43068 (105069)
Invested
$896.99
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$858.19
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
Invested
$486.67
Value
$532.45
PnL
+$45.78
Record
57%
7604-5835 (13439)
Invested
$289.75
Value
$292.03
PnL
+$3.68
Record
60%
11985-7869 (19854)
Invested
$591.64
Value
—
PnL
-$267.66
Record
54%
14363-12179 (26542)
Invested
$242.53
Value
$271.63
PnL
+$29.09
Record
56%
13527-10798 (24325)
Invested
$240.3
Value
$270
PnL
+$29.7
Record
51%
668-653 (1321)
Invested
$155.09
Value
—
PnL
-$155.09
Record
58%
50806-36950 (87756)
Invested
$74.34
Value
$127.1
PnL
+$52.76
Record
51%
16948-16526 (33474)
Invested
$116.08
Value
$247.36
PnL
+$131.28
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
Invested
$96.49
Value
$106.36
PnL
+$9.87
Record
59%
6529-4520 (11049)
Invested
$94.91
Value
$97.85
PnL
+$2.94
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$98.32
Value
$112.77
PnL
+$14.45
Record
55%
7185-5891 (13076)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$11.3
Value
—
PnL
-$11.3
Record
46%
37909-44573 (82482)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$86.83
Value
$89.99
PnL
+$3.17
Record
56%
12251-9464 (21715)
Invested
$77.23
Value
—
PnL
-$77.23
Record
57%
11790-8783 (20573)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
48%
23081-25212 (48293)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$54.54
Value
$50
PnL
-$4.54
Record
55%
8420-6860 (15280)
Invested
$48.71
Value
$51.27
PnL
+$2.56
Record
49%
4998-5180 (10178)
Invested
$46.05
Value
$40.47
PnL
-$5.58
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$35
Value
$50
PnL
+$15
Record
55%
23661-19135 (42796)
Invested
$21.15
Value
$20.23
PnL
-$0.92
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Invested
$20.32
Value
$28.43
PnL
+$8.11
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
Invested
$52.6
Value
—
PnL
-$19.93
Record
65%
124345-66513 (190858)
Invested
$10.94
Value
$8
PnL
-$2.94
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $2.4K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $1.8K
wzbbb
Down — $532.45
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $292.03
tmsd-test
CTRUp — $0
GoodFallen
Down — $271.63
seeeeeeb
Down — $270
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
gansinimen
Down — $127.1
Little-big
Down — $247.36