Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 71%
2 arb excluded
$12.7K
-$66.2
Smart Money Signal
17 of 25 top traders (68%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $9.0K | $9.0K | +$3.88 | 59% 62001-43068 (105069) |
PB PBot-6ARB<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $848.35 | $874.63 | +$26.28 | 58% 50806-36950 (87756) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.3¢ | $361.4 | — | -$361.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.7¢ | $486.95 | $874.63 | +$387.68 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $439.37 | $448.34 | +$8.97 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 99.5¢ | $427.58 | $420 | -$7.58 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 87.6¢ | $529.27 | $299.71 | -$117.46 | 54% 14363-12179 (26542) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 97.2¢ | $190.43 | $196 | +$5.57 | 55% 44184-36684 (80868) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 79.5¢ | $182.08 | $184.18 | +$5.85 | 60% 11985-7869 (19854) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Downavg 57¢ | $144.96 | $254.51 | +$109.55 | 53% 1988-1792 (3780) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Downavg 97¢ | $118.8 | $120 | +$1.2 | 65% 124345-66513 (190858) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $124.31 | $137.2 | +$12.89 | 59% 6529-4520 (11049) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.3¢ | $90.16 | — | -$90.16 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 69.9¢ | $83.13 | $111.92 | +$28.79 | 57% 11790-8783 (20573) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 96¢ | $137.61 | $100 | -$37.61 | 51% 16948-16526 (33474) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 76.3¢ | $152.5 | $200 | +$47.5 | 55% 23661-19135 (42796) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100 | Downavg 72.1¢ | $96.58 | $103.37 | +$6.79 | 55% 7185-5891 (13076) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 72.1¢ | $74.58 | $103.37 | +$28.79 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 25¢ | $22 | — | -$22 | |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 75.3¢ | $107.6 | $134 | +$26.4 | 56% 13527-10798 (24325) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $38.6 | $40.8 | +$2.19 | 57% 7604-5835 (13439) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 84.4¢ | $48.45 | $50.55 | +$2.1 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $57.47 | $30 | -$27.47 | 49% 4998-5180 (10178) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.1¢ | $8.1 | — | -$8.1 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 48% 23081-25212 (48293) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.4¢ | $5.33 | — | -$5.33 | 46% 37909-44573 (82482) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $10.26 | — | -$10.26 | 55% 8420-6860 (15280) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $8.95 | $5 | -$3.95 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
Invested
$9,002.14
Value
$9.0K
PnL
+$3.88
Record
59%
62001-43068 (105069)
Invested
$848.35
Value
$874.63
PnL
+$26.28
Record
58%
50806-36950 (87756)
Both legs:
Invested
$439.37
Value
$448.34
PnL
+$8.97
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$427.58
Value
$420
PnL
-$7.58
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$529.27
Value
$299.71
PnL
-$117.46
Record
54%
14363-12179 (26542)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$190.43
Value
$196
PnL
+$5.57
Record
55%
44184-36684 (80868)
Invested
$182.08
Value
$184.18
PnL
+$5.85
Record
60%
11985-7869 (19854)
Invested
$144.96
Value
$254.51
PnL
+$109.55
Record
53%
1988-1792 (3780)
Invested
$118.8
Value
$120
PnL
+$1.2
Record
65%
124345-66513 (190858)
Invested
$124.31
Value
$137.2
PnL
+$12.89
Record
59%
6529-4520 (11049)
Invested
$90.16
Value
—
PnL
-$90.16
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
Invested
$83.13
Value
$111.92
PnL
+$28.79
Record
57%
11790-8783 (20573)
Invested
$137.61
Value
$100
PnL
-$37.61
Record
51%
16948-16526 (33474)
Invested
$152.5
Value
$200
PnL
+$47.5
Record
55%
23661-19135 (42796)
Invested
$96.58
Value
$103.37
PnL
+$6.79
Record
55%
7185-5891 (13076)
Both legs:
Invested
$107.6
Value
$134
PnL
+$26.4
Record
56%
13527-10798 (24325)
Invested
$38.6
Value
$40.8
PnL
+$2.19
Record
57%
7604-5835 (13439)
Invested
$48.45
Value
$50.55
PnL
+$2.1
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
Invested
$57.47
Value
$30
PnL
-$27.47
Record
49%
4998-5180 (10178)
Invested
$8.1
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
48%
23081-25212 (48293)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.33
Value
—
PnL
-$5.33
Record
46%
37909-44573 (82482)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$10.26
Value
—
PnL
-$10.26
Record
55%
8420-6860 (15280)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
Invested
$8.95
Value
$5
PnL
-$3.95
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $9.0K
PBot-6
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $448.34
thesidehustle
Down — $420
tmsd-test
Down — $299.71
MayorMamdani
Down — $196
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $184.18
0xdc27...afdd9a
Down — $254.51
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $120
13897651
Down — $137.2