Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

Total Value

$10.0K

Combined PnL

$449.25

Smart Money Signal

23 of 29 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$10.0K

Total Shares10,011

Combined PnL+$526.77

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares594

Combined PnL-$77.52

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	+$3.01	59% 62001-43068 (105069)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 96.5¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	+$88.91	93% 22666-1735 (24401)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 93.1¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	-$25.64	57% 7604-5835 (13439)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 77.5¢	$357.98	$399.98	+$42	51% 16948-16526 (33474)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 98.2¢	$399.77	$393.12	-$6.65	54% 10483-8946 (19429)
TM tmsd-test	Upavg 79.1¢	$641.35	$340.59	-$18.36	54% 14363-12179 (26542)
13 13897651	Upavg 55.9¢	$252.12	$450.92	+$198.8	59% 6529-4520 (11049)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 78.4¢	$165.46	$209.57	+$44.11	60% 11985-7869 (19854)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 77.8¢	$125.98	$151.87	+$25.89	56% 13527-10798 (24325)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 82.7¢	$147.59	$132.41	-$15.18	55% 7185-5891 (13076)
LI Little-big	Upavg 57.6¢	$144.1	$250	+$105.9	34% 18536-35559 (54095)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 88.2¢	$111.29	$117.64	+$6.35	66% 124678-64187 (188865)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 99.2¢	$111.1	$112	+$0.9	55% 44184-36684 (80868)
TR trdyugiolkw	Upavg 81.9¢	$159.85	$195.07	+$35.22	57% 10156-7610 (17766)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 87¢	$65.28	$69.32	+$4.04	55% 8420-6860 (15280)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 77¢	$106.6	$138.45	+$31.85	57% 11790-8783 (20573)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 80¢	$54.15	$67.71	+$13.56	55% 17349-13981 (31330)
0X 0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$47.52	—	-$47.52	53% 1988-1792 (3780)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 90.2¢	$48.55	$53.81	+$5.26	58% 60145-43906 (104051)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 95.5¢	$240	$50	-$6.42	65% 124345-66513 (190858)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 91¢	$44.69	$29.99	-$14.7	56% 12251-9464 (21715)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 99¢	$42.4	$30	-$12.4	49% 4998-5180 (10178)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 77.4¢	$36.04	$46.57	+$10.53	61% 94030-59124 (153154)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 78.1¢	$34.91	$44.69	+$9.78	52% 89477-83931 (173408)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$6.9	—	-$6.9	55% 23661-19135 (42796)

0x50f7

Invested

$3,005

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$3.01

Record

59%

62001-43068 (105069)

hoodquant

Invested

$2,461.09

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$88.91

Record

93%

22666-1735 (24401)

wzbbb

Invested

$1,195.14

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$25.64

Record

57%

7604-5835 (13439)

gansinimen

Invested

$357.98

Value

$399.98

PnL

+$42

Record

51%

16948-16526 (33474)

thesidehustle

Invested

$399.77

Value

$393.12

PnL

-$6.65

Record

54%

10483-8946 (19429)

tmsd-test

Invested

$641.35

Value

$340.59

PnL

-$18.36

Record

54%

14363-12179 (26542)

13897651

Invested

$252.12

Value

$450.92

PnL

+$198.8

Record

59%

6529-4520 (11049)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$165.46

Value

$209.57

PnL

+$44.11

Record

60%

11985-7869 (19854)

GoodFallen

Invested

$125.98

Value

$151.87

PnL

+$25.89

Record

56%

13527-10798 (24325)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$147.59

Value

$132.41

PnL

-$15.18

Record

55%

7185-5891 (13076)

Little-big

Invested

$144.1

Value

$250

PnL

+$105.9

Record

34%

18536-35559 (54095)

asdaefef

Invested

$111.29

Value

$117.64

PnL

+$6.35

Record

66%

124678-64187 (188865)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$111.1

Value

$112

PnL

+$0.9

Record

55%

44184-36684 (80868)

trdyugiolkw

Invested

$159.85

Value

$195.07

PnL

+$35.22

Record

57%

10156-7610 (17766)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$65.28

Value

$69.32

PnL

+$4.04

Record

55%

8420-6860 (15280)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$106.6

Value

$138.45

PnL

+$31.85

Record

57%

11790-8783 (20573)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$54.15

Value

$67.71

PnL

+$13.56

Record

55%

17349-13981 (31330)

0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$47.52

Value

—

PnL

-$47.52

Record

53%

1988-1792 (3780)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$48.55

Value

$53.81

PnL

+$5.26

Record

58%

60145-43906 (104051)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$240

Value

$50

PnL

-$6.42

Record

65%

124345-66513 (190858)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$44.69

Value

$29.99

PnL

-$14.7

Record

56%

12251-9464 (21715)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$42.4

Value

$30

PnL

-$12.4

Record

49%

4998-5180 (10178)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$36.04

Value

$46.57

PnL

+$10.53

Record

61%

94030-59124 (153154)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$34.91

Value

$44.69

PnL

+$9.78

Record

52%

89477-83931 (173408)

sir-upalotCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$6.9

Value

—

PnL

-$6.9

Record

55%

23661-19135 (42796)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 29 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfedd062c...7f7e09

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793217600

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $3.0K

+$3.01

hoodquant

Up — $2.5K

+$88.91

wzbbb

Up — $1.2K

-$25.64

gansinimen

Up — $399.98

+$42

thesidehustle

Up — $393.12

-$6.65

tmsd-test

Up — $340.59

-$18.36

13897651

Up — $450.92

+$198.8

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $209.57

+$44.11

GoodFallen

Up — $151.87

+$25.89

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Up — $132.41

-$15.18

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