Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Up 88%
$11.6K
$45.91
Smart Money Signal
29 of 34 top traders (85%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35.08 | 59% 61993-43042 (105035) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $2.3K | $2.3K | +$23.18 | 93% 22640-1735 (24375) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 59.9¢ | $749.49 | $899.58 | +$150.1 | 66% 98656-51035 (149691) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 85.8¢ | $783.4 | $784.49 | +$1.08 | 57% 7595-5825 (13420) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 60.1¢ | $464.3 | $493.86 | +$29.56 | 56% 14140-11096 (25236) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 65.4¢ | $1.0K | $484.35 | -$88.52 | 54% 14359-12176 (26535) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 64¢ | $454.59 | $463.44 | +$8.85 | 56% 13515-10791 (24306) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $353.62 | $372.07 | +$18.45 | 49% 4990-5166 (10156) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 82.3¢ | $303.94 | $272.14 | -$31.8 | 57% 11780-8773 (20553) |
![]() FairValueMachine | Upavg 69.5¢ | $276.75 | $223.76 | -$52.99 | 56% 12236-9461 (21697) |
![]() ohioism | Upavg 88.1¢ | $224.99 | $218.1 | -$6.89 | 64% 39732-22693 (62425) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $163.19 | $205.5 | +$42.31 | 58% 37384-26627 (64011) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 70.5¢ | $178.83 | $200.68 | +$21.85 | 56% 57606-44494 (102100) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 82.8¢ | $209.21 | $181.73 | -$27.48 | 55% 7173-5882 (13055) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 95¢ | $178.48 | $180 | +$1.52 | 54% 10468-8936 (19404) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 80.4¢ | $143.73 | $145.38 | +$1.65 | 60% 11977-7856 (19833) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 59¢ | $87.59 | $120 | +$32.4 | 51% 16944-16523 (33467) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $95.73 | $100.29 | +$4.56 | 58% 60135-43896 (104031) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 72.7¢ | $101.13 | $98.54 | -$2.59 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 86.2¢ | $88.94 | $88.82 | -$0.12 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 55.4¢ | $102.95 | — | -$102.95 | 59% 6517-4510 (11027) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $59.4 | $60.7 | +$1.3 | 57% 10140-7604 (17744) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $55.63 | $60.54 | +$4.91 | 55% 17309-13927 (31236) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 96.8¢ | $58.09 | $59.99 | +$1.9 | 51% 19801-18940 (38741) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $35.53 | $39.92 | +$4.39 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
Invested
$3,472.93
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35.08
Record
59%
61993-43042 (105035)
Invested
$2,294.82
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$23.18
Record
93%
22640-1735 (24375)
Invested
$749.49
Value
$899.58
PnL
+$150.1
Record
66%
98656-51035 (149691)
Invested
$783.4
Value
$784.49
PnL
+$1.08
Record
57%
7595-5825 (13420)
Invested
$464.3
Value
$493.86
PnL
+$29.56
Record
56%
14140-11096 (25236)
Invested
$1,036.94
Value
$484.35
PnL
-$88.52
Record
54%
14359-12176 (26535)
Invested
$454.59
Value
$463.44
PnL
+$8.85
Record
56%
13515-10791 (24306)
Invested
$353.62
Value
$372.07
PnL
+$18.45
Record
49%
4990-5166 (10156)
Invested
$303.94
Value
$272.14
PnL
-$31.8
Record
57%
11780-8773 (20553)
FairValueMachineInvested
$276.75
Value
$223.76
PnL
-$52.99
Record
56%
12236-9461 (21697)
ohioismInvested
$224.99
Value
$218.1
PnL
-$6.89
Record
64%
39732-22693 (62425)
Invested
$163.19
Value
$205.5
PnL
+$42.31
Record
58%
37384-26627 (64011)
Invested
$178.83
Value
$200.68
PnL
+$21.85
Record
56%
57606-44494 (102100)
Invested
$209.21
Value
$181.73
PnL
-$27.48
Record
55%
7173-5882 (13055)
Invested
$178.48
Value
$180
PnL
+$1.52
Record
54%
10468-8936 (19404)
Invested
$143.73
Value
$145.38
PnL
+$1.65
Record
60%
11977-7856 (19833)
Invested
$87.59
Value
$120
PnL
+$32.4
Record
51%
16944-16523 (33467)
Invested
$95.73
Value
$100.29
PnL
+$4.56
Record
58%
60135-43896 (104031)
Invested
$101.13
Value
$98.54
PnL
-$2.59
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
Invested
$88.94
Value
$88.82
PnL
-$0.12
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
Invested
$102.95
Value
—
PnL
-$102.95
Record
59%
6517-4510 (11027)
Invested
$59.4
Value
$60.7
PnL
+$1.3
Record
57%
10140-7604 (17744)
Invested
$55.63
Value
$60.54
PnL
+$4.91
Record
55%
17309-13927 (31236)
Invested
$58.09
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$1.9
Record
51%
19801-18940 (38741)
Invested
$35.53
Value
$39.92
PnL
+$4.39
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.5K
hoodquant
Up — $2.3K
Bonereaper
Up — $899.58
wzbbb
Up — $784.49
CrouchPredictions
Up — $493.86
tmsd-test
Up — $484.35
GoodFallen
Up — $463.44
ply-pm0
Up — $372.07
EZTRADENL2
Up — $272.14

FairValueMachine
Up — $223.76