Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 69%

6 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.5K

Combined PnL

$114.55

Smart Money Signal

21 of 30 top traders (70%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up21 traders

Total Value$4.6K

Total Shares4,552

Combined PnL+$219.31

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,439

Combined PnL-$104.76

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	+$20.16	74% 102141-36314 (138455)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 68.1¢	$429.76	$533.76	+$104	56% 14079-11055 (25134)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 77.7¢	$401.36	$398.35	-$3.01	66% 98635-51024 (149659)
TM tmsd-testARB<$100	Upavg 74.5¢	$1.2K	$240.79	+$52.47	54% 14357-12173 (26530)
└ Up leg	Upavg 74.5¢	$179.42	$240.79	+$163.48
└ Down leg	Downavg 19.1¢	$145.03	—	-$111.02
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 69.7¢	$243.92	$270.56	+$26.63	56% 13507-10785 (24292)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 90¢	$269.37	$250.82	-$18.55	60% 11970-7849 (19819)
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Upavg 69.7¢	$179.19	$209.88	+$30.69	57% 11772-8768 (20540)
└ Up leg	Upavg 69.7¢	$146.19	$209.88	+$63.69
└ Down leg	Downavg 22.3¢	$33	—	-$33
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 77.6¢	$193.82	$178.99	-$14.83	57% 7585-5821 (13406)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100	Upavg 82.4¢	$168	$163.67	-$0.72	55% 7165-5877 (13042)
└ Up leg	Upavg 82.4¢	$134.84	$163.67	+$28.31
└ Down leg	Downavg 16.5¢	$29.03	—	-$29.03
13 13897651ARB<$100	Upavg 48.4¢	$167.52	$197.8	+$30.28	59% 6509-4504 (11013)
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.4¢	$95.71	$197.8	+$102.09
└ Down leg	Downavg 58.1¢	$71.81	—	-$71.81
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$12.1	—	-$12.1	59% 61979-43024 (105003)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 84.2¢	$132.2	$131.2	-$1.01	49% 4982-5160 (10142)
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Upavg 72¢	$102.45	$81.11	-$21.34	57% 69881-53093 (122974)
└ Up leg	Upavg 72¢	$58.4	$81.11	+$22.71
└ Down leg	Downavg 24¢	$44.05	—	-$44.05
GA gansinimen<$100	Upavg 79¢	$84.99	$99.99	+$15	51% 16939-16521 (33460)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 73.7¢	$84.94	$89.63	+$4.69	56% 12230-9454 (21684)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$86.13	$87	+$0.87	93% 22615-1734 (24349)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 76¢	$76.22	$100.29	+$24.07	56% 57594-44483 (102077)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 81.5¢	$68.2	$80.47	+$12.27	55% 17284-13893 (31177)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$13.38	—	-$13.38	49% 77593-80930 (158523)
ST std0<$100	Upavg 86¢	$55.35	$45	-$10.35	67% 53140-26556 (79696)
TR trdyugiolkw<$100	Upavg 59¢	$41.3	$70	+$28.7	57% 10134-7601 (17735)
machinelearnedARB<$100	Downavg 11.9¢	$49.07	$25	-$24.07	55% 8407-6837 (15244)
└ Down leg	Downavg 11.9¢	$25.82	—	-$25.82
└ Up leg	Upavg 93¢	$23.25	$25	+$1.75
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 88¢	$54	$61.36	+$7.36	51% 19791-18936 (38727)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$6	—	-$6	48% 23069-25170 (48239)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 6.6¢	$19.45	—	-$19.45	46% 37887-44532 (82419)

BoneOhio

Invested

$1,995.52

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$20.16

Record

74%

102141-36314 (138455)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$429.76

Value

$533.76

PnL

+$104

Record

56%

14079-11055 (25134)

Bonereaper

Invested

$401.36

Value

$398.35

PnL

-$3.01

Record

66%

98635-51024 (149659)

tmsd-testARB<$100

Invested

$1,166.63

Value

$240.79

PnL

+$52.47

Record

54%

14357-12173 (26530)

Both legs:

Up$179.4274.5¢+$163.48

Down$145.0319.1¢-$111.02

GoodFallen

Invested

$243.92

Value

$270.56

PnL

+$26.63

Record

56%

13507-10785 (24292)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$269.37

Value

$250.82

PnL

-$18.55

Record

60%

11970-7849 (19819)

EZTRADENL2ARB<$100

Invested

$179.19

Value

$209.88

PnL

+$30.69

Record

57%

11772-8768 (20540)

Both legs:

Up$146.1969.7¢+$63.69

Down$3322.3¢-$33

wzbbb

Invested

$193.82

Value

$178.99

PnL

-$14.83

Record

57%

7585-5821 (13406)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100

Invested

$168

Value

$163.67

PnL

-$0.72

Record

55%

7165-5877 (13042)

Both legs:

Up$134.8482.4¢+$28.31

Down$29.0316.5¢-$29.03

13897651ARB<$100

Invested

$167.52

Value

$197.8

PnL

+$30.28

Record

59%

6509-4504 (11013)

Both legs:

Up$95.7148.4¢+$102.09

Down$71.8158.1¢-$71.81

0x50f7CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$12.1

Value

—

PnL

-$12.1

Record

59%

61979-43024 (105003)

ply-pm0

Invested

$132.2

Value

$131.2

PnL

-$1.01

Record

49%

4982-5160 (10142)

uninformedflowwARB<$100

Invested

$102.45

Value

$81.11

PnL

-$21.34

Record

57%

69881-53093 (122974)

Both legs:

Up$58.472¢+$22.71

Down$44.0524¢-$44.05

gansinimen<$100

Invested

$84.99

Value

$99.99

PnL

+$15

Record

51%

16939-16521 (33460)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$84.94

Value

$89.63

PnL

+$4.69

Record

56%

12230-9454 (21684)

hoodquant<$100

Invested

$86.13

Value

$87

PnL

+$0.87

Record

93%

22615-1734 (24349)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$76.22

Value

$100.29

PnL

+$24.07

Record

56%

57594-44483 (102077)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$68.2

Value

$80.47

PnL

+$12.27

Record

55%

17284-13893 (31177)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$13.38

Value

—

PnL

-$13.38

Record

49%

77593-80930 (158523)

std0<$100

Invested

$55.35

Value

$45

PnL

-$10.35

Record

67%

53140-26556 (79696)

trdyugiolkw<$100

Invested

$41.3

Value

$70

PnL

+$28.7

Record

57%

10134-7601 (17735)

machinelearnedARB<$100

Down

Invested

$49.07

Value

$25

PnL

-$24.07

Record

55%

8407-6837 (15244)

Both legs:

Down$25.8211.9¢-$25.82

Up$23.2593¢+$1.75

devonpoll<$100

Invested

$54

Value

$61.36

PnL

+$7.36

Record

51%

19791-18936 (38727)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Down

Invested

Value

—

PnL

-$6

Record

48%

23069-25170 (48239)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$19.45

Value

—

PnL

-$19.45

Record

46%

37887-44532 (82419)

Smart Money Signal

21 of 30 top traders (70%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x94baa465...1ccd64

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793209800

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Up — $2.0K

+$20.16

CrouchPredictions

Up — $533.76

+$104

Bonereaper

Up — $398.35

-$3.01

tmsd-test

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$52.47

GoodFallen

Up — $270.56

+$26.63

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Up — $250.82

-$18.55

EZTRADENL2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$30.69

wzbbb

Up — $178.99

-$14.83

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Arbitrage — excluded