Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 79%
1 arb excluded
$6.0K
-$59.95
Smart Money Signal
22 of 29 top traders (76%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 95¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$24.95 | 57% 7585-5821 (13406) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 76¢ | $850.68 | $942.07 | +$91.39 | 56% 14079-11055 (25134) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.5¢ | $755.63 | $775 | +$19.38 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 68.7¢ | $499.81 | $495.13 | -$4.68 | 54% 15248-12786 (28034) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 72¢ | $283.11 | $313.3 | +$30.19 | 56% 13507-10785 (24292) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 76.8¢ | $298.83 | $262.51 | -$36.32 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 75¢ | $263.1 | $270.32 | +$7.22 | 49% 4982-5160 (10142) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 82.1¢ | $226.53 | $231.1 | +$4.57 | 56% 12230-9454 (21684) |
ST std0 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $166.31 | $178.15 | +$11.84 | 67% 53140-26556 (79696) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 88.5¢ | $207.2 | $155.22 | -$51.98 | 55% 8407-6837 (15244) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 84.2¢ | $146.31 | $144.35 | -$1.96 | 55% 7165-5877 (13042) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 94.9¢ | $167.38 | $127.22 | -$40.16 | 60% 11970-7849 (19819) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 95.2¢ | $127.84 | $130 | +$2.16 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 84.6¢ | $103.55 | $122.45 | +$18.9 | 57% 11772-8768 (20540) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 59.4¢ | $95.72 | $161.11 | +$65.39 | 59% 6509-4504 (11013) |
SI sir-upalotARB<$100 | Downavg 44.1¢ | $81.76 | $61.11 | -$20.65 | 55% 23643-19124 (42767) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.1¢ | $46.35 | — | -$46.35 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 57.9¢ | $35.41 | $61.11 | +$25.7 | |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $61.73 | $71 | +$9.27 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $59.66 | $58.09 | -$0.68 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.6¢ | $49.21 | $57.47 | +$8.26 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $36.8 | $40 | +$3.2 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $42 | $60 | +$18 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $30.6 | $60 | +$29.4 | 57% 10134-7601 (17735) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.9¢ | $32 | — | -$32 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $6.37 | $7.67 | +$1.3 | 65% 3905-2105 (6010) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 50% 7672-7689 (15361) |
Invested
$1,284.9
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$24.95
Record
57%
7585-5821 (13406)
Invested
$850.68
Value
$942.07
PnL
+$91.39
Record
56%
14079-11055 (25134)
Invested
$755.63
Value
$775
PnL
+$19.38
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
Invested
$499.81
Value
$495.13
PnL
-$4.68
Record
54%
15248-12786 (28034)
Invested
$283.11
Value
$313.3
PnL
+$30.19
Record
56%
13507-10785 (24292)
Invested
$298.83
Value
$262.51
PnL
-$36.32
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$263.1
Value
$270.32
PnL
+$7.22
Record
49%
4982-5160 (10142)
FairValueMachineInvested
$226.53
Value
$231.1
PnL
+$4.57
Record
56%
12230-9454 (21684)
Invested
$166.31
Value
$178.15
PnL
+$11.84
Record
67%
53140-26556 (79696)
machinelearnedInvested
$207.2
Value
$155.22
PnL
-$51.98
Record
55%
8407-6837 (15244)
Invested
$146.31
Value
$144.35
PnL
-$1.96
Record
55%
7165-5877 (13042)
Invested
$167.38
Value
$127.22
PnL
-$40.16
Record
60%
11970-7849 (19819)
Invested
$127.84
Value
$130
PnL
+$2.16
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
$103.55
Value
$122.45
PnL
+$18.9
Record
57%
11772-8768 (20540)
Invested
$95.72
Value
$161.11
PnL
+$65.39
Record
59%
6509-4504 (11013)
Invested
$81.76
Value
$61.11
PnL
-$20.65
Record
55%
23643-19124 (42767)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$61.73
Value
$71
PnL
+$9.27
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$59.66
Value
$58.09
PnL
-$0.68
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$49.21
Value
$57.47
PnL
+$8.26
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$36.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$3.2
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$42
Value
$60
PnL
+$18
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$30.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$29.4
Record
57%
10134-7601 (17735)
Invested
$32
Value
—
PnL
-$32
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$6.37
Value
$7.67
PnL
+$1.3
Record
65%
3905-2105 (6010)
Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
50%
7672-7689 (15361)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Up — $1.3K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $942.07
hoodquant
Up — $775
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $495.13
GoodFallen
Up — $313.3
Bonereaper
Up — $262.51
ply-pm0
Up — $270.32
FairValueMachine
Up — $231.1
std0
Up — $178.15
machinelearned
Up — $155.22