Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 79%

Total Value

$3.6K

Combined PnL

$231.03

Smart Money Signal

Down

24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down24 traders

Total Value$3.6K

Total Shares3,592

Combined PnL+$293.28

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,091

Combined PnL-$62.25

Down — 80%Up — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	+$10.33	93% 22615-1734 (24349)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 80.1¢	$444.48	$507.64	+$63.16	56% 14079-11055 (25134)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 77.4¢	$446.87	$577.07	+$130.2	57% 69881-53093 (122974)
ST std0	Downavg 95.8¢	$204.32	$199.14	-$5.19	67% 53140-26556 (79696)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 78.4¢	$192.63	$171.92	-$20.7	66% 98635-51024 (149659)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 79¢	$193.94	$157.57	-$36.37	54% 15248-12786 (28034)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 51¢	$103.02	$202	+$98.98	58% 37375-26622 (63997)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 75¢	$105.13	$90	-$15.13	56% 13507-10785 (24292)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 75¢	$74.8	$88	+$13.2	55% 7165-5877 (13042)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Downavg 94.2¢	$97.44	$87.55	-$9.9	49% 4982-5160 (10142)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 83.4¢	$51.72	$62	+$10.28	55% 44030-36522 (80552)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Downavg 72.2¢	$56.76	$53	-$3.76	57% 7585-5821 (13406)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 79¢	$41.79	$49	+$7.21	49% 77593-80930 (158523)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 91¢	$41.06	$39.3	-$1.76	46% 37887-44532 (82419)
machinelearned<$100	Downavg 90.1¢	$42.45	$45.9	+$3.45	55% 8407-6837 (15244)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 86.2¢	$30.56	$35.47	+$4.91	66% 124478-64082 (188560)
FairValueMachine<$100	Downavg 70¢	$28.2	$30	+$1.8	56% 12230-9454 (21684)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 73¢	$43.8	$60	+$16.2	65% 124286-66473 (190759)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 86.2¢	$25.56	$28.33	+$2.77	61% 93968-59068 (153036)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 48.6¢	$17.46	—	-$17.46	58% 50799-36936 (87735)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Downavg 73¢	$20.44	$28	+$7.56	12% 18033-132824 (150857)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 52.6¢	$13.09	$24.9	+$11.81	59% 6509-4504 (11013)
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100	Upavg 11.8¢	$10.98	—	-$10.98	60% 11970-7849 (19819)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 75¢	$12.9	$17.2	+$4.3	65% 21722-11935 (33657)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$10.02	—	-$10.02	59% 61979-43024 (105003)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$1,022.49

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$10.33

Record

93%

22615-1734 (24349)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$444.48

Value

$507.64

PnL

+$63.16

Record

56%

14079-11055 (25134)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$446.87

Value

$577.07

PnL

+$130.2

Record

57%

69881-53093 (122974)

std0

Down

Invested

$204.32

Value

$199.14

PnL

-$5.19

Record

67%

53140-26556 (79696)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$192.63

Value

$171.92

PnL

-$20.7

Record

66%

98635-51024 (149659)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$193.94

Value

$157.57

PnL

-$36.37

Record

54%

15248-12786 (28034)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$103.02

Value

$202

PnL

+$98.98

Record

58%

37375-26622 (63997)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$105.13

Value

$90

PnL

-$15.13

Record

56%

13507-10785 (24292)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$74.8

Value

$88

PnL

+$13.2

Record

55%

7165-5877 (13042)

ply-pm0<$100

Down

Invested

$97.44

Value

$87.55

PnL

-$9.9

Record

49%

4982-5160 (10142)

MayorMamdani<$100

Down

Invested

$51.72

Value

$62

PnL

+$10.28

Record

55%

44030-36522 (80552)

wzbbb<$100

Down

Invested

$56.76

Value

$53

PnL

-$3.76

Record

57%

7585-5821 (13406)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Down

Invested

$41.79

Value

$49

PnL

+$7.21

Record

49%

77593-80930 (158523)

pspspsps5<$100

Down

Invested

$41.06

Value

$39.3

PnL

-$1.76

Record

46%

37887-44532 (82419)

machinelearned<$100

Down

Invested

$42.45

Value

$45.9

PnL

+$3.45

Record

55%

8407-6837 (15244)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$30.56

Value

$35.47

PnL

+$4.91

Record

66%

124478-64082 (188560)

FairValueMachine<$100

Down

Invested

$28.2

Value

$30

PnL

+$1.8

Record

56%

12230-9454 (21684)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$43.8

Value

$60

PnL

+$16.2

Record

65%

124286-66473 (190759)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$25.56

Value

$28.33

PnL

+$2.77

Record

61%

93968-59068 (153036)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Invested

$17.46

Value

—

PnL

-$17.46

Record

58%

50799-36936 (87735)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Down

Invested

$20.44

Value

$28

PnL

+$7.56

Record

12%

18033-132824 (150857)

13897651<$100

Down

Invested

$13.09

Value

$24.9

PnL

+$11.81

Record

59%

6509-4504 (11013)

Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100

Invested

$10.98

Value

—

PnL

-$10.98

Record

60%

11970-7849 (19819)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$12.9

Value

$17.2

PnL

+$4.3

Record

65%

21722-11935 (33657)

0x50f7CTR<$100

Invested

$10.02

Value

—

PnL

-$10.02

Record

59%

61979-43024 (105003)

Smart Money Signal

Down

24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe81083d0...63b9a5

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793206800

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $1.0K

+$10.33

CrouchPredictions

Down — $507.64

+$63.16

uninformedfloww

Down — $577.07

+$130.2

std0

Down — $199.14

-$5.19

Bonereaper

Down — $171.92

-$20.7

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $157.57

-$36.37

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $202

+$98.98

GoodFallen

Down — $90

-$15.13

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $88

+$13.2

ply-pm0

Down — $87.55

-$9.9

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