Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Up 77%
$5.7K
-$442.52
Smart Money Signal
23 of 31 top traders (74%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$16.35 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 48¢ | $688.5 | $789.13 | +$100.63 | 54% 15248-12786 (28034) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 22.9¢ | $338.47 | — | -$338.47 | 56% 14079-11055 (25134) |
ST std0 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $401.55 | $405.97 | +$4.42 | 67% 53140-26556 (79696) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 45.1¢ | $351.04 | $404 | +$52.95 | 56% 13507-10785 (24292) |
![]() FairValueMachine | Upavg 60.2¢ | $290.82 | $359.98 | +$69.16 | 56% 12230-9454 (21684) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 46.4¢ | $203.95 | $297.13 | +$94.17 | 60% 11970-7849 (19819) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 52¢ | $263.02 | $287.5 | +$24.48 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 51.5¢ | $287.49 | — | -$287.49 | 49% 4982-5160 (10142) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 58¢ | $127.88 | $198.64 | +$70.76 | 57% 11772-8768 (20540) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 52.4¢ | $141.31 | $151.76 | +$10.45 | 57% 7585-5821 (13406) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 96¢ | $144.08 | $150.08 | +$6 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 82.7¢ | $116.91 | $120.72 | +$3.81 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 57.3¢ | $122.03 | — | -$122.03 | 55% 8407-6837 (15244) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Upavg 89.2¢ | $94.92 | $106.48 | +$11.55 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 55¢ | $95.38 | $100 | +$4.62 | 55% 23643-19124 (42767) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 83¢ | $128 | $100 | -$28 | 57% 10134-7601 (17735) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Downavg 64.7¢ | $127.18 | — | -$127.18 | 55% 7165-5877 (13042) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $65.4 | $80.42 | +$15.02 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $87.97 | $157.53 | +$69.57 | 59% 6509-4504 (11013) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 62.8¢ | $68.75 | $67 | -$1.75 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $74.1 | — | -$74.1 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $80.87 | $60 | -$18.4 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 64.5¢ | $46.07 | $46.38 | +$1.85 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 70.4¢ | $66.38 | $83.93 | +$17.55 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
BoneOhioInvested
$1,618.56
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$16.35
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
Invested
$688.5
Value
$789.13
PnL
+$100.63
Record
54%
15248-12786 (28034)
Invested
$338.47
Value
—
PnL
-$338.47
Record
56%
14079-11055 (25134)
Invested
$401.55
Value
$405.97
PnL
+$4.42
Record
67%
53140-26556 (79696)
Invested
$351.04
Value
$404
PnL
+$52.95
Record
56%
13507-10785 (24292)
FairValueMachineInvested
$290.82
Value
$359.98
PnL
+$69.16
Record
56%
12230-9454 (21684)
Invested
$203.95
Value
$297.13
PnL
+$94.17
Record
60%
11970-7849 (19819)
Invested
$263.02
Value
$287.5
PnL
+$24.48
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$287.49
Value
—
PnL
-$287.49
Record
49%
4982-5160 (10142)
Invested
$127.88
Value
$198.64
PnL
+$70.76
Record
57%
11772-8768 (20540)
Invested
$141.31
Value
$151.76
PnL
+$10.45
Record
57%
7585-5821 (13406)
Invested
$144.08
Value
$150.08
PnL
+$6
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$116.91
Value
$120.72
PnL
+$3.81
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$122.03
Value
—
PnL
-$122.03
Record
55%
8407-6837 (15244)
pspspsps5Invested
$94.92
Value
$106.48
PnL
+$11.55
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
Invested
$95.38
Value
$100
PnL
+$4.62
Record
55%
23643-19124 (42767)
Invested
$128
Value
$100
PnL
-$28
Record
57%
10134-7601 (17735)
Invested
$127.18
Value
—
PnL
-$127.18
Record
55%
7165-5877 (13042)
Invested
$65.4
Value
$80.42
PnL
+$15.02
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$87.97
Value
$157.53
PnL
+$69.57
Record
59%
6509-4504 (11013)
Invested
$68.75
Value
$67
PnL
-$1.75
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
$74.1
Value
—
PnL
-$74.1
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$80.87
Value
$60
PnL
-$18.4
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$46.07
Value
$46.38
PnL
+$1.85
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$66.38
Value
$83.93
PnL
+$17.55
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

BoneOhio
Up — $1.6K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $789.13
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0
std0
Up — $405.97
GoodFallen
Up — $404

FairValueMachine
Up — $359.98
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $297.13
Bonereaper
Up — $287.5
ply-pm0
CTRDown — $0
EZTRADENL2
Up — $198.64