Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 49% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
39
Up 51%
$6.2K
$-2.6K
Smart Money Signal
19 of 39 top traders (49%)20 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99Β’ | $2.9K | $3.0K | +$29.56 | 56% 29238-23027 (52265) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $1.1K | β | $-1.1K | 54% 15237-12781 (28018) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 44.9Β’ | $731.71 | β | -$731.71 | 56% 14078-11054 (25132) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Downavg 44.1Β’ | $485.88 | β | -$485.88 | 56% 13497-10779 (24276) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 36.9Β’ | $214.95 | $400.16 | +$185.21 | 66% 98615-51003 (149618) |
![]() FairValueMachineCTR | Downavg 41.8Β’ | $302.96 | β | -$302.96 | 56% 12222-9446 (21668) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 58.2Β’ | $219 | β | -$219 | 55% 8396-6829 (15225) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Downavg 53.9Β’ | $312.32 | β | -$312.32 | 55% 7159-5867 (13026) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR | Downavg 58.3Β’ | $268.37 | β | -$268.37 | 59% 22866-16062 (38928) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 45.8Β’ | $254.96 | $319.71 | +$64.75 | 57% 7575-5812 (13387) |
ST std0CTR | Downavg 59.7Β’ | $172.9 | β | -$172.9 | 67% 53126-26552 (79678) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 59.2Β’ | $249.55 | $216.44 | -$31.91 | 60% 11959-7846 (19805) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 52.6Β’ | $141.1 | $227.93 | +$86.83 | 12% 18018-132811 (150829) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 47.7Β’ | $192.1 | β | -$192.1 | 49% 4975-5148 (10123) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 45.6Β’ | $150.44 | $329.74 | +$179.3 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 54.6Β’ | $252.77 | $332.53 | +$79.76 | 57% 11765-8757 (20522) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 85.6Β’ | $153.18 | $152 | -$1.18 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Upavg 64.1Β’ | $159.93 | $146.54 | -$13.4 | 46% 37880-44497 (82377) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 81.6Β’ | $109.19 | $98.9 | -$10.29 | 66% 124477-64080 (188557) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 67.6Β’ | $92.48 | β | -$92.48 | 55% 17240-13879 (31119) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 42.9Β’ | $79.99 | $105.8 | +$25.81 | 55% 23618-19104 (42722) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 8.5Β’ | $51 | $600 | +$549 | 48% 23064-25156 (48220) |
GA gansinimenCTR<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $75.6 | β | -$75.6 | 51% 16933-16515 (33448) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 57.1Β’ | $62.5 | $59.88 | +$3.84 | 61% 93938-59036 (152974) |
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.7Β’ | $18.52 | β | -$18.52 | 63% 1754-1020 (2774) |
Invested
$2,926.44
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$29.56
Record
56%
29238-23027 (52265)
Invested
$1,103.83
Value
β
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
54%
15237-12781 (28018)
Invested
$731.71
Value
β
PnL
-$731.71
Record
56%
14078-11054 (25132)
Invested
$485.88
Value
β
PnL
-$485.88
Record
56%
13497-10779 (24276)
Invested
$214.95
Value
$400.16
PnL
+$185.21
Record
66%
98615-51003 (149618)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$302.96
Value
β
PnL
-$302.96
Record
56%
12222-9446 (21668)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$219
Value
β
PnL
-$219
Record
55%
8396-6829 (15225)
Invested
$312.32
Value
β
PnL
-$312.32
Record
55%
7159-5867 (13026)
Invested
$268.37
Value
β
PnL
-$268.37
Record
59%
22866-16062 (38928)
Invested
$254.96
Value
$319.71
PnL
+$64.75
Record
57%
7575-5812 (13387)
Invested
$172.9
Value
β
PnL
-$172.9
Record
67%
53126-26552 (79678)
Invested
$249.55
Value
$216.44
PnL
-$31.91
Record
60%
11959-7846 (19805)
Invested
$141.1
Value
$227.93
PnL
+$86.83
Record
12%
18018-132811 (150829)
Invested
$192.1
Value
β
PnL
-$192.1
Record
49%
4975-5148 (10123)
Invested
$150.44
Value
$329.74
PnL
+$179.3
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$252.77
Value
$332.53
PnL
+$79.76
Record
57%
11765-8757 (20522)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$153.18
Value
$152
PnL
-$1.18
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
pspspsps5Invested
$159.93
Value
$146.54
PnL
-$13.4
Record
46%
37880-44497 (82377)
Invested
$109.19
Value
$98.9
PnL
-$10.29
Record
66%
124477-64080 (188557)
Invested
$92.48
Value
β
PnL
-$92.48
Record
55%
17240-13879 (31119)
Invested
$79.99
Value
$105.8
PnL
+$25.81
Record
55%
23618-19104 (42722)
Invested
$51
Value
$600
PnL
+$549
Record
48%
23064-25156 (48220)
Invested
$75.6
Value
β
PnL
-$75.6
Record
51%
16933-16515 (33448)
Invested
$62.5
Value
$59.88
PnL
+$3.84
Record
61%
93938-59036 (152974)
Invested
$18.52
Value
β
PnL
-$18.52
Record
63%
1754-1020 (2774)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up β $3.0K
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown β $0
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown β $0
GoodFallen
CTRDown β $0
Bonereaper
Up β $400.16

FairValueMachine
CTRDown β $0

machinelearned
CTRDown β $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
CTRDown β $0
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
CTRDown β $0
wzbbb
Up β $319.71