Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
33
Up 57%
$3.4K
$288.7
Smart Money Signal
25 of 33 top traders (76%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$1.81 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
TE Telawin | Upavg 51.5Β’ | $500 | $971.58 | +$471.58 | 51% 338-327 (665) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 75.5Β’ | $198.44 | $245.46 | +$47.02 | 59% 22893-16076 (38969) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 70Β’ | $78.36 | $111.91 | +$33.55 | 57% 10134-7601 (17735) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 85.1Β’ | $105.13 | $107.57 | +$2.43 | 60% 11970-7849 (19819) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $92.16 | $75.18 | -$16.98 | 67% 53140-26556 (79696) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 26.5Β’ | $175.74 | β | -$175.74 | 56% 14079-11055 (25134) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 91Β’ | $40.12 | $44 | +$3.88 | 55% 7165-5877 (13042) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $20.89 | $24.01 | +$3.12 | 55% 23643-19124 (42767) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.5Β’ | $8.81 | β | -$8.81 | 54% 10444-8916 (19360) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.3Β’ | $69.99 | β | -$3.29 | 59% 21804-15144 (36948) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.4Β’ | $12.75 | β | -$12.75 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Upavg 71.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 15248-12786 (28034) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 70.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 13507-10785 (24292) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3624-2813 (6437) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 76.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
![]() FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 78.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 12230-9454 (21684) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 97.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 7585-5821 (13406) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 20Β’ | $85.98 | β | -$17.2 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 87.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 7672-7689 (15361) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 81.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 86.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 4982-5160 (10142) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Downavg 8.8Β’ | $451.25 | β | -$39.94 | 48% 23069-25170 (48239) |
Invested
$1,810.23
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.81
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
Invested
$500
Value
$971.58
PnL
+$471.58
Record
51%
338-327 (665)
Invested
$198.44
Value
$245.46
PnL
+$47.02
Record
59%
22893-16076 (38969)
Invested
$78.36
Value
$111.91
PnL
+$33.55
Record
57%
10134-7601 (17735)
Invested
$105.13
Value
$107.57
PnL
+$2.43
Record
60%
11970-7849 (19819)
Invested
$92.16
Value
$75.18
PnL
-$16.98
Record
67%
53140-26556 (79696)
Invested
$175.74
Value
β
PnL
-$175.74
Record
56%
14079-11055 (25134)
Invested
$40.12
Value
$44
PnL
+$3.88
Record
55%
7165-5877 (13042)
Invested
$20.89
Value
$24.01
PnL
+$3.12
Record
55%
23643-19124 (42767)
Invested
$8.81
Value
β
PnL
-$8.81
Record
54%
10444-8916 (19360)
Invested
$69.99
Value
β
PnL
-$3.29
Record
59%
21804-15144 (36948)
Invested
$12.75
Value
β
PnL
-$12.75
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
15248-12786 (28034)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13507-10785 (24292)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3624-2813 (6437)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
12230-9454 (21684)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
7585-5821 (13406)
Invested
$85.98
Value
β
PnL
-$17.2
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
7672-7689 (15361)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
4982-5160 (10142)
Invested
$451.25
Value
β
PnL
-$39.94
Record
48%
23069-25170 (48239)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up β $1.8K
Telawin
Up β $971.58
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up β $245.46
trdyugiolkw
Up β $111.91
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up β $107.57
std0
Up β $75.18
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown β $0
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up β $44
sir-upalot
Up β $24.01
thesidehustle
CTRDown β $0