Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
Down 75%
$1.8K
$14.69
Smart Money Signal
31 of 38 top traders (82%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 66.9¢ | $427.51 | $516.57 | +$89.06 | 59% 22893-16076 (38969) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 34.1¢ | $407.68 | — | -$407.68 | 56% 14079-11055 (25134) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 78.4¢ | $302.94 | $294.28 | -$8.66 | 60% 11970-7849 (19819) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 51.1¢ | $240.32 | $231.66 | +$223 | 59% 21804-15144 (36948) |
ST std0 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $185.64 | $209.99 | +$24.35 | 67% 53140-26556 (79696) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 68¢ | $83.03 | $120 | +$156.97 | 54% 10444-8916 (19360) |
SI sir-upalot | Downavg 82.7¢ | $111.49 | $100.88 | -$10.6 | 55% 23643-19124 (42767) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $71.75 | $92.11 | +$20.36 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 96.5¢ | $124.83 | $88.01 | -$36.82 | 55% 7165-5877 (13042) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $53.9 | $52.48 | -$1.42 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $45.59 | $47 | +$1.41 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $8.48 | $16 | +$7.52 | 57% 10134-7601 (17735) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $8.06 | $8.48 | +$0.42 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $14.4 | — | -$14.4 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 15248-12786 (28034) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 56.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13507-10785 (24292) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3624-2813 (6437) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 12230-9454 (21684) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 77.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 3905-2105 (6010) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 72.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 7585-5821 (13406) |
 NIULAI4CTR | Upavg 4.4¢ | $448.4 | — | -$19.73 | 77% 9286-2735 (12021) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
Invested
$427.51
Value
$516.57
PnL
+$89.06
Record
59%
22893-16076 (38969)
Invested
$407.68
Value
—
PnL
-$407.68
Record
56%
14079-11055 (25134)
Invested
$302.94
Value
$294.28
PnL
-$8.66
Record
60%
11970-7849 (19819)
Invested
$240.32
Value
$231.66
PnL
+$223
Record
59%
21804-15144 (36948)
Invested
$185.64
Value
$209.99
PnL
+$24.35
Record
67%
53140-26556 (79696)
Invested
$83.03
Value
$120
PnL
+$156.97
Record
54%
10444-8916 (19360)
Invested
$111.49
Value
$100.88
PnL
-$10.6
Record
55%
23643-19124 (42767)
Invested
$71.75
Value
$92.11
PnL
+$20.36
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$124.83
Value
$88.01
PnL
-$36.82
Record
55%
7165-5877 (13042)
Invested
$53.9
Value
$52.48
PnL
-$1.42
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$45.59
Value
$47
PnL
+$1.41
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
Invested
$8.48
Value
$16
PnL
+$7.52
Record
57%
10134-7601 (17735)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.06
Value
$8.48
PnL
+$0.42
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
Invested
$14.4
Value
—
PnL
-$14.4
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
15248-12786 (28034)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13507-10785 (24292)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3624-2813 (6437)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
12230-9454 (21684)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
3905-2105 (6010)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
7585-5821 (13406)
NIULAI4CTRInvested
$448.4
Value
—
PnL
-$19.73
Record
77%
9286-2735 (12021)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $516.57
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $294.28
rabadabadoo
Down — $231.66
std0
Down — $209.99
thesidehustle
Down — $120
sir-upalot
Down — $100.88
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $92.11
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $88.01
aaa221
Down — $52.48