Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 88%
$935.53
$185.84
Smart Money Signal
27 of 31 top traders (87%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ST std0 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $234.58 | $222.62 | -$11.97 | 67% 53140-26556 (79696) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 60.7¢ | $185.83 | $211.4 | +$25.57 | 59% 22893-16076 (38969) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 22.2¢ | $149.92 | — | -$149.92 | 56% 14079-11055 (25134) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 57.7¢ | $129.98 | $118.26 | -$11.72 | 60% 11970-7849 (19819) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 45.3¢ | $78.72 | $111.69 | +$32.97 | 55% 7165-5877 (13042) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 44.9¢ | $76.56 | $103.41 | +$130.25 | 59% 21804-15144 (36948) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 35.5¢ | $62.4 | $99.7 | +$37.3 | 55% 23643-19124 (42767) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $67.16 | $68.46 | +$69.76 | 54% 10444-8916 (19360) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 15248-12786 (28034) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 45.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13507-10785 (24292) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3624-2813 (6437) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 58.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 49.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 12230-9454 (21684) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 7585-5821 (13406) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 4982-5160 (10142) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 8407-6837 (15244) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
NE never-stop-clicking<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 77-181 (258) |
Invested
$234.58
Value
$222.62
PnL
-$11.97
Record
67%
53140-26556 (79696)
Invested
$185.83
Value
$211.4
PnL
+$25.57
Record
59%
22893-16076 (38969)
Invested
$149.92
Value
—
PnL
-$149.92
Record
56%
14079-11055 (25134)
Invested
$129.98
Value
$118.26
PnL
-$11.72
Record
60%
11970-7849 (19819)
Invested
$78.72
Value
$111.69
PnL
+$32.97
Record
55%
7165-5877 (13042)
Invested
$76.56
Value
$103.41
PnL
+$130.25
Record
59%
21804-15144 (36948)
Invested
$62.4
Value
$99.7
PnL
+$37.3
Record
55%
23643-19124 (42767)
Invested
$67.16
Value
$68.46
PnL
+$69.76
Record
54%
10444-8916 (19360)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
15248-12786 (28034)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13507-10785 (24292)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3624-2813 (6437)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
12230-9454 (21684)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
7585-5821 (13406)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
4982-5160 (10142)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
machinelearned<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8407-6837 (15244)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
77-181 (258)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
std0
Down — $222.62
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $211.4
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $118.26
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $111.69
rabadabadoo
Down — $103.41
sir-upalot
Down — $99.7
thesidehustle
Down — $68.46
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $0
GoodFallen
Down — $0