Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 56%
$2.9K
-$788.39
Smart Money Signal
14 of 26 top traders (54%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 90.3¢ | $824.41 | $803.35 | -$21.06 | 57% 7563-5806 (13369) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 59.7¢ | $676.11 | $711.92 | +$35.81 | 56% 14075-11053 (25128) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Upavg 48¢ | $413.3 | — | -$413.3 | 54% 15229-12771 (28000) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 56.7¢ | $283.49 | $295.73 | +$12.24 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 82.9¢ | $196.77 | $224.39 | +$27.62 | 59% 22866-16062 (38928) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 82.9¢ | $123.16 | $134.94 | +$13.73 | 60% 11944-7844 (19788) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 76.1¢ | $136.38 | $123.77 | -$12.61 | 49% 4967-5138 (10105) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 49.9¢ | $67.26 | $133.1 | +$65.84 | 56% 12212-9437 (21649) |
ST std0 | Downavg 86.9¢ | $104.1 | $104 | -$0.1 | 67% 53118-26542 (79660) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 84.1¢ | $117.34 | $104.98 | -$12.36 | 55% 7150-5858 (13008) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 87¢ | $158.13 | $99 | -$59.13 | 51% 16928-16513 (33441) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 48.4¢ | $128.93 | — | -$128.93 | 56% 13483-10775 (24258) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 78.4¢ | $94.32 | — | -$94.32 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.8¢ | $41.99 | — | -$41.99 | 12% 18002-132802 (150804) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $45.09 | — | -$45.09 | 59% 61967-43004 (104971) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $49.82 | $53 | +$3.18 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Upavg 49.5¢ | $110.01 | — | -$110.01 | 57% 11755-8749 (20504) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.2¢ | $35.76 | $34.13 | -$1.63 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $14.3 | $55 | +$40.7 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.7¢ | $11.19 | — | -$11.19 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $20.47 | — | -$20.47 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $11.03 | — | -$11.03 | 56% 57568-44448 (102016) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 55% 23617-19104 (42721) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.6 | $5 | +$2.4 | 59% 6491-4487 (10978) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.68 | — | -$0.68 | 55% 8387-6820 (15207) |
Invested
$824.41
Value
$803.35
PnL
-$21.06
Record
57%
7563-5806 (13369)
Invested
$676.11
Value
$711.92
PnL
+$35.81
Record
56%
14075-11053 (25128)
Invested
$413.3
Value
—
PnL
-$413.3
Record
54%
15229-12771 (28000)
Invested
$283.49
Value
$295.73
PnL
+$12.24
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Invested
$196.77
Value
$224.39
PnL
+$27.62
Record
59%
22866-16062 (38928)
Invested
$123.16
Value
$134.94
PnL
+$13.73
Record
60%
11944-7844 (19788)
Invested
$136.38
Value
$123.77
PnL
-$12.61
Record
49%
4967-5138 (10105)
FairValueMachineInvested
$67.26
Value
$133.1
PnL
+$65.84
Record
56%
12212-9437 (21649)
Invested
$104.1
Value
$104
PnL
-$0.1
Record
67%
53118-26542 (79660)
Invested
$117.34
Value
$104.98
PnL
-$12.36
Record
55%
7150-5858 (13008)
Invested
$158.13
Value
$99
PnL
-$59.13
Record
51%
16928-16513 (33441)
Invested
$128.93
Value
—
PnL
-$128.93
Record
56%
13483-10775 (24258)
Invested
$94.32
Value
—
PnL
-$94.32
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
Invested
$41.99
Value
—
PnL
-$41.99
Record
12%
18002-132802 (150804)
Invested
$45.09
Value
—
PnL
-$45.09
Record
59%
61967-43004 (104971)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$49.82
Value
$53
PnL
+$3.18
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
Invested
$110.01
Value
—
PnL
-$110.01
Record
57%
11755-8749 (20504)
Invested
$35.76
Value
$34.13
PnL
-$1.63
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$14.3
Value
$55
PnL
+$40.7
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
$11.19
Value
—
PnL
-$11.19
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
$20.47
Value
—
PnL
-$20.47
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
Invested
$11.03
Value
—
PnL
-$11.03
Record
56%
57568-44448 (102016)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
55%
23617-19104 (42721)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
59%
6491-4487 (10978)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$0.68
Value
—
PnL
-$0.68
Record
55%
8387-6820 (15207)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $803.35
CrouchPredictions
Down — $711.92
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRUp — $0
Bonereaper
Down — $295.73
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $224.39
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $134.94
ply-pm0
Down — $123.77
FairValueMachine
Down — $133.1
std0
Down — $104
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $104.98