Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 77%
$5.8K
$155.74
Smart Money Signal
17 of 23 top traders (74%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $2.3K | $2.3K | +$2.29 | 59% 61967-43004 (104971) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.3¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$49.39 | 93% 22557-1734 (24291) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 92¢ | $412.06 | $396.81 | -$15.25 | 57% 7563-5806 (13369) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 75.4¢ | $205.38 | $208.81 | +$3.43 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 69.2¢ | $140.23 | $202.52 | +$62.29 | 57% 11755-8749 (20504) |
 ohioism | Downavg 84.1¢ | $139.2 | $165.58 | +$26.39 | 64% 39712-22672 (62384) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 80.4¢ | $101.54 | $125.05 | +$23.51 | 51% 16928-16513 (33441) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $97.52 | $109.97 | +$12.45 | 49% 4967-5138 (10105) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 97.7¢ | $112.61 | $106 | -$6.61 | 59% 22866-16062 (38928) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 97¢ | $99.91 | $103 | +$3.09 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $63 | $65.05 | +$2.05 | 67% 53118-26542 (79660) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $51 | $60 | +$9 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $49.95 | $98.47 | +$48.52 | 59% 6491-4487 (10978) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $64.74 | $44 | -$20.74 | 55% 7150-5858 (13008) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.9¢ | $28.7 | $27.32 | -$1.04 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.8¢ | $20.08 | — | -$20.08 | 12% 18002-132802 (150804) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $24.53 | $18.75 | -$5.78 | 55% 23617-19104 (42721) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $8.74 | $14.81 | +$6.07 | 55% 8387-6820 (15207) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.58 | — | -$1.58 | 48% 23056-25131 (48187) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.9¢ | $16.03 | — | -$16.03 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 51% 19760-18914 (38674) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.8¢ | $3.82 | — | -$3.82 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3624-2811 (6435) |
Invested
$2,283.69
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$2.29
Record
59%
61967-43004 (104971)
Invested
$1,752.61
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$49.39
Record
93%
22557-1734 (24291)
Invested
$412.06
Value
$396.81
PnL
-$15.25
Record
57%
7563-5806 (13369)
Invested
$205.38
Value
$208.81
PnL
+$3.43
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Invested
$140.23
Value
$202.52
PnL
+$62.29
Record
57%
11755-8749 (20504)
ohioismInvested
$139.2
Value
$165.58
PnL
+$26.39
Record
64%
39712-22672 (62384)
Invested
$101.54
Value
$125.05
PnL
+$23.51
Record
51%
16928-16513 (33441)
Invested
$97.52
Value
$109.97
PnL
+$12.45
Record
49%
4967-5138 (10105)
Invested
$112.61
Value
$106
PnL
-$6.61
Record
59%
22866-16062 (38928)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$99.91
Value
$103
PnL
+$3.09
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
Invested
$63
Value
$65.05
PnL
+$2.05
Record
67%
53118-26542 (79660)
Invested
$51
Value
$60
PnL
+$9
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
Invested
$49.95
Value
$98.47
PnL
+$48.52
Record
59%
6491-4487 (10978)
Invested
$64.74
Value
$44
PnL
-$20.74
Record
55%
7150-5858 (13008)
Invested
$28.7
Value
$27.32
PnL
-$1.04
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$20.08
Value
—
PnL
-$20.08
Record
12%
18002-132802 (150804)
Invested
$24.53
Value
$18.75
PnL
-$5.78
Record
55%
23617-19104 (42721)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$8.74
Value
$14.81
PnL
+$6.07
Record
55%
8387-6820 (15207)
Invested
$1.58
Value
—
PnL
-$1.58
Record
48%
23056-25131 (48187)
Invested
$16.03
Value
—
PnL
-$16.03
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
51%
19760-18914 (38674)
Invested
$3.82
Value
—
PnL
-$3.82
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3624-2811 (6435)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $2.3K
hoodquant
Down — $1.8K
wzbbb
Down — $396.81
Bonereaper
Down — $208.81
EZTRADENL2
Down — $202.52
ohioism
Down — $165.58
gansinimen
Down — $125.05
ply-pm0
Down — $109.97
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $106
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $103