Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 87%
2 arb excluded
$4.9K
$257.7
Smart Money Signal
20 of 24 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$15.62 | 93% 22557-1734 (24291) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 98.2¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$5.18 | 57% 7563-5806 (13369) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 95.6¢ | $286.29 | $299.46 | +$13.17 | 54% 10405-8878 (19283) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 85¢ | $233.82 | $275.14 | +$41.32 | 46% 37870-44464 (82334) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 83.7¢ | $180.86 | $201.49 | +$20.63 | 59% 22866-16062 (38928) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100 | Upavg 77.6¢ | $156.21 | $135.26 | -$20.95 | 54% 15229-12771 (28000) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 77.6¢ | $104.91 | $135.26 | +$30.35 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 19.7¢ | $51.3 | — | -$51.3 | |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 83.1¢ | $140.4 | $169 | +$28.6 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
SE seeeeeeb | Upavg 99¢ | $133.65 | $135 | +$1.35 | 50% 661-651 (1312) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 80.1¢ | $100.1 | $125 | +$24.9 | 57% 10121-7584 (17705) |
BO BonereaperARB<$100 | Upavg 78.3¢ | $109.66 | $89 | -$20.66 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 78.3¢ | $69.72 | $89 | +$19.28 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24.8¢ | $39.94 | — | -$39.94 | |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 81.4¢ | $73.3 | $90.06 | +$16.76 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $70.94 | $69.37 | -$1.58 | 49% 4967-5138 (10105) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $70.85 | $120.33 | +$49.47 | 59% 6491-4487 (10978) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $54.6 | $60.67 | +$6.07 | 51% 19760-18914 (38674) |
ST std0<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $41.85 | $45 | +$3.15 | 67% 53118-26542 (79660) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 70.5¢ | $41.46 | $58.81 | +$17.35 | 60% 11944-7844 (19788) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $25.74 | $26 | +$0.26 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $24.83 | $30.66 | +$5.83 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $23.75 | $25 | +$1.25 | 55% 8387-6820 (15207) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $17.5 | $25 | +$7.5 | 12% 18002-132802 (150804) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $11.78 | $10 | -$0.83 | 55% 7150-5858 (13008) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $10.97 | $21.51 | +$10.54 | 62% 43576-26505 (70081) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 57% 11755-8749 (20504) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 56% 13483-10775 (24258) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 48% 23056-25131 (48187) |
Invested
$1,546.38
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$15.62
Record
93%
22557-1734 (24291)
Invested
$1,335.82
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$5.18
Record
57%
7563-5806 (13369)
Invested
$286.29
Value
$299.46
PnL
+$13.17
Record
54%
10405-8878 (19283)
pspspsps5Invested
$233.82
Value
$275.14
PnL
+$41.32
Record
46%
37870-44464 (82334)
Invested
$180.86
Value
$201.49
PnL
+$20.63
Record
59%
22866-16062 (38928)
Invested
$156.21
Value
$135.26
PnL
-$20.95
Record
54%
15229-12771 (28000)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$140.4
Value
$169
PnL
+$28.6
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
Invested
$133.65
Value
$135
PnL
+$1.35
Record
50%
661-651 (1312)
Invested
$100.1
Value
$125
PnL
+$24.9
Record
57%
10121-7584 (17705)
Invested
$109.66
Value
$89
PnL
-$20.66
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Both legs:
Invested
$73.3
Value
$90.06
PnL
+$16.76
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
$70.94
Value
$69.37
PnL
-$1.58
Record
49%
4967-5138 (10105)
Invested
$70.85
Value
$120.33
PnL
+$49.47
Record
59%
6491-4487 (10978)
Invested
$54.6
Value
$60.67
PnL
+$6.07
Record
51%
19760-18914 (38674)
Invested
$41.85
Value
$45
PnL
+$3.15
Record
67%
53118-26542 (79660)
Invested
$41.46
Value
$58.81
PnL
+$17.35
Record
60%
11944-7844 (19788)
Invested
$25.74
Value
$26
PnL
+$0.26
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$24.83
Value
$30.66
PnL
+$5.83
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$23.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
55%
8387-6820 (15207)
Invested
$17.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.5
Record
12%
18002-132802 (150804)
Invested
$11.78
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.83
Record
55%
7150-5858 (13008)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.97
Value
$21.51
PnL
+$10.54
Record
62%
43576-26505 (70081)
Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
57%
11755-8749 (20504)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
56%
13483-10775 (24258)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
23056-25131 (48187)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.6K
wzbbb
Up — $1.3K
thesidehustle
Up — $299.46
pspspsps5
Up — $275.14
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $201.49
dangerously-skip-permissions
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $169
seeeeeeb
Up — $135
trdyugiolkw
Up — $125
Bonereaper
ARBArbitrage — excluded