Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 73%
2 arb excluded
$5.0K
$259
Smart Money Signal
16 of 24 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.4¢ | $2.0K | $2.1K | +$53.46 | 93% 22557-1734 (24291) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 93.7¢ | $939.72 | $976.51 | +$36.79 | 57% 7563-5806 (13369) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 65.9¢ | $580.45 | $707.69 | +$127.25 | 54% 15229-12771 (28000) |
BO BonereaperARB<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $243.07 | $259.68 | +$16.61 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 75¢ | $194.64 | $259.68 | +$65.04 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.6¢ | $48.43 | — | -$48.43 | |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 85.5¢ | $175.99 | $199.99 | +$24 | 51% 16928-16513 (33441) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 88.5¢ | $154.73 | $154 | -$0.73 | 12% 18002-132802 (150804) |
GO GoodFallenARB<$100 | Downavg 62.2¢ | $91.91 | $95 | +$3.09 | 56% 13483-10775 (24258) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.2¢ | $59.05 | $95 | +$35.95 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 32.5¢ | $32.86 | — | -$32.86 | |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $72.85 | $75 | +$2.15 | 67% 53118-26542 (79660) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $78.82 | $98.14 | +$19.32 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 97.4¢ | $71.59 | $62.22 | -$9.36 | 54% 10405-8878 (19283) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $65.18 | $60 | -$5.18 | 49% 4967-5138 (10105) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $43.61 | $71.43 | +$30.63 | 55% 7150-5858 (13008) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $60.15 | $66.83 | +$6.68 | 55% 8387-6820 (15207) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.6¢ | $35.65 | — | -$35.65 | 29% 368-894 (1262) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $35.03 | $36.08 | +$1.05 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92.1¢ | $31.57 | $34.27 | +$2.7 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $20.83 | $32.34 | +$11.51 | 60% 11944-7844 (19788) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $16.25 | $27.59 | +$11.34 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.6¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 56% 12212-9437 (21649) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 72.6¢ | $17.22 | $23.71 | +$6.49 | 57% 11755-8749 (20504) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 48% 23056-25131 (48187) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 46% 37870-44464 (82334) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $4.86 | — | -$4.86 | 66% 111557-57803 (169360) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19760-18914 (38674) |
Invested
$2,014.82
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$53.46
Record
93%
22557-1734 (24291)
Invested
$939.72
Value
$976.51
PnL
+$36.79
Record
57%
7563-5806 (13369)
Invested
$580.45
Value
$707.69
PnL
+$127.25
Record
54%
15229-12771 (28000)
Invested
$243.07
Value
$259.68
PnL
+$16.61
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Both legs:
Invested
$175.99
Value
$199.99
PnL
+$24
Record
51%
16928-16513 (33441)
Invested
$154.73
Value
$154
PnL
-$0.73
Record
12%
18002-132802 (150804)
Invested
$91.91
Value
$95
PnL
+$3.09
Record
56%
13483-10775 (24258)
Both legs:
Invested
$72.85
Value
$75
PnL
+$2.15
Record
67%
53118-26542 (79660)
Invested
$78.82
Value
$98.14
PnL
+$19.32
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
Invested
$71.59
Value
$62.22
PnL
-$9.36
Record
54%
10405-8878 (19283)
Invested
$65.18
Value
$60
PnL
-$5.18
Record
49%
4967-5138 (10105)
Invested
$43.61
Value
$71.43
PnL
+$30.63
Record
55%
7150-5858 (13008)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$60.15
Value
$66.83
PnL
+$6.68
Record
55%
8387-6820 (15207)
Invested
$35.65
Value
—
PnL
-$35.65
Record
29%
368-894 (1262)
Invested
$35.03
Value
$36.08
PnL
+$1.05
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
$31.57
Value
$34.27
PnL
+$2.7
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$20.83
Value
$32.34
PnL
+$11.51
Record
60%
11944-7844 (19788)
Invested
$16.25
Value
$27.59
PnL
+$11.34
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
56%
12212-9437 (21649)
Invested
$17.22
Value
$23.71
PnL
+$6.49
Record
57%
11755-8749 (20504)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
23056-25131 (48187)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
46%
37870-44464 (82334)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
Invested
$4.86
Value
—
PnL
-$4.86
Record
66%
111557-57803 (169360)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19760-18914 (38674)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $2.1K
wzbbb
Down — $976.51
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $707.69
Bonereaper
ARBArbitrage — excluded
gansinimen
Down — $199.99
Hsilverbasher
Down — $154
GoodFallen
ARBArbitrage — excluded
std0
Down — $75
uninformedfloww
Down — $98.14
thesidehustle
Down — $62.22