Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Down 92%
$4.7K
$477.37
Smart Money Signal
25 of 28 top traders (89%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 61.5¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$122.66 | 54% 15224-12760 (27984) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 59.7¢ | $320.09 | $389.76 | +$69.67 | 56% 13474-10768 (24242) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 68¢ | $290.15 | $311 | +$20.85 | 66% 98506-50940 (149446) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 70.2¢ | $254.35 | $320.42 | +$66.08 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 58.4¢ | $253.38 | $234.69 | -$18.69 | 56% 12207-9424 (21631) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 64.9¢ | $193.35 | $249.97 | +$56.63 | 55% 8379-6810 (15189) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 70.6¢ | $211.64 | $234.21 | +$22.57 | 57% 7550-5801 (13351) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $532.6 | $228.09 | +$59.11 | 29% 368-894 (1262) |
PB PBot-6 | Downavg 52¢ | $208 | $400 | +$192 | 58% 50774-36908 (87682) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $153.22 | $173.13 | +$19.91 | 57% 11743-8743 (20486) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 54¢ | $137.38 | $133.32 | -$4.06 | 49% 4961-5126 (10087) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 70.5¢ | $145 | $120 | -$25 | 54% 10390-8862 (19252) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Downavg 85¢ | $131.4 | $121.41 | -$9.99 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 99¢ | $146 | $100 | -$46 | 51% 16928-16513 (33441) |
DV dvasdkasodk | Downavg 77¢ | $106.8 | $107.53 | +$0.73 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $98.02 | $90 | -$8.02 | 67% 53110-26532 (79642) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 54.4¢ | $69.92 | $73.42 | +$3.5 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 56.9¢ | $68.11 | $65 | -$3.11 | 12% 17985-132788 (150773) |
TR trdyugiolkw<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $44.48 | $66.46 | +$21.98 | 57% 10111-7579 (17690) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 72.5¢ | $30.08 | $41.51 | +$11.43 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 72.1¢ | $35.88 | $25.9 | -$9.98 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $41.76 | — | -$36.39 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $10.36 | $19.18 | +$8.82 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $39.42 | — | -$39.42 | 58% 12492-9149 (21641) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $30.53 | $8.42 | -$3.31 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
Invested
$1,031.83
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$122.66
Record
54%
15224-12760 (27984)
Invested
$320.09
Value
$389.76
PnL
+$69.67
Record
56%
13474-10768 (24242)
Invested
$290.15
Value
$311
PnL
+$20.85
Record
66%
98506-50940 (149446)
Invested
$254.35
Value
$320.42
PnL
+$66.08
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
FairValueMachineInvested
$253.38
Value
$234.69
PnL
-$18.69
Record
56%
12207-9424 (21631)
machinelearnedInvested
$193.35
Value
$249.97
PnL
+$56.63
Record
55%
8379-6810 (15189)
Invested
$211.64
Value
$234.21
PnL
+$22.57
Record
57%
7550-5801 (13351)
Invested
$532.6
Value
$228.09
PnL
+$59.11
Record
29%
368-894 (1262)
Invested
$208
Value
$400
PnL
+$192
Record
58%
50774-36908 (87682)
Invested
$153.22
Value
$173.13
PnL
+$19.91
Record
57%
11743-8743 (20486)
Invested
$137.38
Value
$133.32
PnL
-$4.06
Record
49%
4961-5126 (10087)
Invested
$145
Value
$120
PnL
-$25
Record
54%
10390-8862 (19252)
Invested
$131.4
Value
$121.41
PnL
-$9.99
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
Invested
$146
Value
$100
PnL
-$46
Record
51%
16928-16513 (33441)
Invested
$106.8
Value
$107.53
PnL
+$0.73
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
Invested
$98.02
Value
$90
PnL
-$8.02
Record
67%
53110-26532 (79642)
Invested
$69.92
Value
$73.42
PnL
+$3.5
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
Invested
$68.11
Value
$65
PnL
-$3.11
Record
12%
17985-132788 (150773)
Invested
$44.48
Value
$66.46
PnL
+$21.98
Record
57%
10111-7579 (17690)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$30.08
Value
$41.51
PnL
+$11.43
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$35.88
Value
$25.9
PnL
-$9.98
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
Invested
$41.76
Value
—
PnL
-$36.39
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$10.36
Value
$19.18
PnL
+$8.82
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$39.42
Value
—
PnL
-$39.42
Record
58%
12492-9149 (21641)
Invested
$30.53
Value
$8.42
PnL
-$3.31
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $1.2K
GoodFallen
Down — $389.76
Bonereaper
Down — $311
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $320.42
FairValueMachine
Down — $234.69
machinelearned
Down — $249.97
wzbbb
Down — $234.21
13897651
Down — $228.09
PBot-6
Down — $400
EZTRADENL2
Down — $173.13