Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Up 65%
$6.6K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 32 top traders (66%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 63.3¢ | $1.6K | $1.5K | -$144.84 | 54% 15224-12760 (27984) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 59.9¢ | $809.05 | $906.39 | +$97.34 | 56% 13474-10768 (24242) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 64.5¢ | $574.56 | $574.34 | -$0.21 | 49% 4961-5126 (10087) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 69.8¢ | $548.45 | $528.48 | -$17.34 | 55% 7142-5848 (12990) |
![]() FairValueMachine | Upavg 62.2¢ | $435.78 | $506.28 | +$70.5 | 56% 12207-9424 (21631) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 48.7¢ | $417.74 | $451 | +$33.25 | 60% 11933-7837 (19770) |
AN antsaslyku | Upavg 52.7¢ | $246.85 | $383.58 | +$136.73 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 63.9¢ | $359.86 | $335.07 | -$24.79 | 57% 7550-5801 (13351) |
GA gansinimenCTR | Downavg 63.1¢ | $478.13 | — | -$478.13 | 51% 16928-16513 (33441) |
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR | Downavg 42.4¢ | $360.98 | — | -$360.98 | 57% 11743-8743 (20486) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR | Downavg 35.5¢ | $301.63 | — | -$301.63 | 12% 17985-132788 (150773) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $237.6 | $240 | +$2.4 | 93% 22538-1732 (24270) |
13 13897651CTR | Downavg 53.2¢ | $192.96 | — | -$192.96 | 29% 368-894 (1262) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $155.04 | $300.07 | +$145.03 | 58% 50774-36908 (87682) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 30.4¢ | $91.28 | $300 | +$208.72 | 48% 23052-25114 (48166) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 71.2¢ | $89 | $125 | +$36 | 57% 10111-7579 (17690) |
![]() ohioism | Upavg 76¢ | $113.25 | $149.01 | +$35.76 | 64% 39705-22669 (62374) |
ST std0 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $102.19 | $98.79 | -$3.4 | 67% 53110-26532 (79642) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $48.55 | $60 | +$11.45 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $46.2 | $58.41 | +$14.73 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 46.8¢ | $28.1 | $59.99 | +$31.9 | 50% 7647-7671 (15318) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 35.7¢ | $23.78 | $38.61 | +$14.83 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $48.25 | $39.99 | +$9.68 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
![]() NIULAI4CTR | Downavg 18.9¢ | $109.62 | — | -$109.62 | 77% 9273-2723 (11996) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 66.4¢ | $27.9 | $23.44 | -$4.46 | 63% 51166-30114 (81280) |
Invested
$1,610.36
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$144.84
Record
54%
15224-12760 (27984)
Invested
$809.05
Value
$906.39
PnL
+$97.34
Record
56%
13474-10768 (24242)
Invested
$574.56
Value
$574.34
PnL
-$0.21
Record
49%
4961-5126 (10087)
Invested
$548.45
Value
$528.48
PnL
-$17.34
Record
55%
7142-5848 (12990)
FairValueMachineInvested
$435.78
Value
$506.28
PnL
+$70.5
Record
56%
12207-9424 (21631)
Invested
$417.74
Value
$451
PnL
+$33.25
Record
60%
11933-7837 (19770)
Invested
$246.85
Value
$383.58
PnL
+$136.73
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
Invested
$359.86
Value
$335.07
PnL
-$24.79
Record
57%
7550-5801 (13351)
Invested
$478.13
Value
—
PnL
-$478.13
Record
51%
16928-16513 (33441)
Invested
$360.98
Value
—
PnL
-$360.98
Record
57%
11743-8743 (20486)
Invested
$301.63
Value
—
PnL
-$301.63
Record
12%
17985-132788 (150773)
Invested
$237.6
Value
$240
PnL
+$2.4
Record
93%
22538-1732 (24270)
Invested
$192.96
Value
—
PnL
-$192.96
Record
29%
368-894 (1262)
Invested
$155.04
Value
$300.07
PnL
+$145.03
Record
58%
50774-36908 (87682)
Invested
$91.28
Value
$300
PnL
+$208.72
Record
48%
23052-25114 (48166)
Invested
$89
Value
$125
PnL
+$36
Record
57%
10111-7579 (17690)
ohioismInvested
$113.25
Value
$149.01
PnL
+$35.76
Record
64%
39705-22669 (62374)
Invested
$102.19
Value
$98.79
PnL
-$3.4
Record
67%
53110-26532 (79642)
Invested
$48.55
Value
$60
PnL
+$11.45
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
Invested
$46.2
Value
$58.41
PnL
+$14.73
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
Invested
$28.1
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$31.9
Record
50%
7647-7671 (15318)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$23.78
Value
$38.61
PnL
+$14.83
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
Invested
$48.25
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$9.68
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
NIULAI4CTRInvested
$109.62
Value
—
PnL
-$109.62
Record
77%
9273-2723 (11996)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$27.9
Value
$23.44
PnL
-$4.46
Record
63%
51166-30114 (81280)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $1.5K
GoodFallen
Up — $906.39
ply-pm0
Up — $574.34
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $528.48

FairValueMachine
Up — $506.28
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $451
antsaslyku
Up — $383.58
wzbbb
Up — $335.07
gansinimen
CTRDown — $0
EZTRADENL2
CTRDown — $0