Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 80%
$4.3K
$183.24
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 97¢ | $2.5K | $2.6K | +$67.37 | 57% 7536-5796 (13332) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $361.17 | $364.82 | +$3.65 | 56% 29221-23027 (52248) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 91.8¢ | $227.98 | $230 | +$2.02 | 49% 4950-5122 (10072) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 69.8¢ | $150 | $188.14 | +$38.14 | 54% 15205-12741 (27946) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 60.5¢ | $151.18 | $249.83 | +$98.66 | 29% 359-888 (1247) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 73.8¢ | $109.3 | $135 | +$25.7 | 56% 13466-10757 (24223) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 82.5¢ | $111.76 | $133.43 | +$21.68 | 55% 8367-6803 (15170) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $70.78 | $94.47 | +$23.68 | 55% 7132-5836 (12968) |
ST std0<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $54 | $60 | +$6 | 67% 53099-26522 (79621) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $75.87 | $109.83 | +$33.96 | 56% 57536-44436 (101972) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $46.52 | $52.23 | +$5.71 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $45 | $60.81 | +$15.81 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $20.4 | $30 | +$9.6 | 56% 12197-9415 (21612) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $11.47 | $13.18 | +$1.71 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $9.99 | $12.92 | +$2.93 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
0X 0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $12.4 | — | -$12.4 | 51% 867-843 (1710) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $3.42 | — | -$3.42 | 46% 37841-44422 (82263) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 17.4¢ | $156.3 | — | -$156.3 | 48% 23042-25099 (48141) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $4.43 | $6.24 | +$1.81 | 60% 11921-7827 (19748) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3623-2810 (6433) |
Invested
$2,507.63
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$67.37
Record
57%
7536-5796 (13332)
Invested
$361.17
Value
$364.82
PnL
+$3.65
Record
56%
29221-23027 (52248)
Invested
$227.98
Value
$230
PnL
+$2.02
Record
49%
4950-5122 (10072)
Invested
$150
Value
$188.14
PnL
+$38.14
Record
54%
15205-12741 (27946)
Invested
$151.18
Value
$249.83
PnL
+$98.66
Record
29%
359-888 (1247)
Invested
$109.3
Value
$135
PnL
+$25.7
Record
56%
13466-10757 (24223)
machinelearnedInvested
$111.76
Value
$133.43
PnL
+$21.68
Record
55%
8367-6803 (15170)
Invested
$70.78
Value
$94.47
PnL
+$23.68
Record
55%
7132-5836 (12968)
Invested
$54
Value
$60
PnL
+$6
Record
67%
53099-26522 (79621)
Invested
$75.87
Value
$109.83
PnL
+$33.96
Record
56%
57536-44436 (101972)
Invested
$46.52
Value
$52.23
PnL
+$5.71
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$45
Value
$60.81
PnL
+$15.81
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$20.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$9.6
Record
56%
12197-9415 (21612)
Invested
$11.47
Value
$13.18
PnL
+$1.71
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$9.99
Value
$12.92
PnL
+$2.93
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
Invested
$12.4
Value
—
PnL
-$12.4
Record
51%
867-843 (1710)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.42
Value
—
PnL
-$3.42
Record
46%
37841-44422 (82263)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
Invested
$156.3
Value
—
PnL
-$156.3
Record
48%
23042-25099 (48141)
Invested
$4.43
Value
$6.24
PnL
+$1.81
Record
60%
11921-7827 (19748)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3623-2810 (6433)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $2.6K
THG.
Down — $364.82
ply-pm0
Down — $230
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $188.14
13897651
Down — $249.83
GoodFallen
Down — $135
machinelearned
Down — $133.43
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $94.47
std0
Down — $60
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $109.83